@article{SteiningerAbelZiegleretal.2023,
  author    = {Steininger, Michael and Abel, Daniel and Ziegler, Katrin and Krause, Anna and Paeth, Heiko and Hotho, Andreas},
  title     = {ConvMOS: climate model output statistics with deep learning},
  series = {Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery},
  volume    = {37},
  journal   = {Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery},
  number    = {1},
  issn      = {1384-5810},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10618-022-00877-6},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-324213},
  pages     = {136-166},
  year      = {2023},
  abstract  = {Climate models are the tool of choice for scientists researching climate change. Like all models they suffer from errors, particularly systematic and location-specific representation errors. One way to reduce these errors is model output statistics (MOS) where the model output is fitted to observational data with machine learning. In this work, we assess the use of convolutional Deep Learning climate MOS approaches and present the ConvMOS architecture which is specifically designed based on the observation that there are systematic and location-specific errors in the precipitation estimates of climate models. We apply ConvMOS models to the simulated precipitation of the regional climate model REMO, showing that a combination of per-location model parameters for reducing location-specific errors and global model parameters for reducing systematic errors is indeed beneficial for MOS performance. We find that ConvMOS models can reduce errors considerably and perform significantly better than three commonly used MOS approaches and plain ResNet and U-Net models in most cases. Our results show that non-linear MOS models underestimate the number of extreme precipitation events, which we alleviate by training models specialized towards extreme precipitation events with the imbalanced regression method DenseLoss. While we consider climate MOS, we argue that aspects of ConvMOS may also be beneficial in other domains with geospatial data, such as air pollution modeling or weather forecasts.},
  subject      = {Klima},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SponslerRequierKallniketal.2022,
  author    = {Sponsler, Douglas B. and Requier, Fabrice and Kallnik, Katharina and Classen, Alice and Maihoff, Fabienne and Sieger, Johanna and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf},
  title     = {Contrasting patterns of richness, abundance, and turnover in mountain bumble bees and their floral hosts},
  series = {Ecology},
  volume    = {103},
  journal   = {Ecology},
  number    = {7},
  doi       = {10.1002/ecy.3712},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-287199},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Environmental gradients generate and maintain biodiversity on Earth. Mountain slopes are among the most pronounced terrestrial environmental gradients, and the elevational structure of species and their interactions can provide unique insight into the processes that govern community assembly and function in mountain ecosystems. We recorded bumble bee-flower interactions over 3 years along a 1400-m elevational gradient in the German Alps. Using nonlinear modeling techniques, we analyzed elevational patterns at the levels of abundance, species richness, species β-diversity, and interaction β-diversity. Though floral richness exhibited a midelevation peak, bumble bee richness increased with elevation before leveling off at the highest sites, demonstrating the exceptional adaptation of these bees to cold temperatures and short growing seasons. In terms of abundance, though, bumble bees exhibited divergent species-level responses to elevation, with a clear separation between species preferring low versus high elevations. Overall interaction β-diversity was mainly caused by strong turnover in the floral community, which exhibited a well-defined threshold of β-diversity rate at the tree line ecotone. Interaction β-diversity increased sharply at the upper extreme of the elevation gradient (1800-2000 m), an interval over which we also saw steep decline in floral richness and abundance. Turnover of bumble bees along the elevation gradient was modest, with the highest rate of β-diversity occurring over the interval from low- to mid-elevation sites. The contrast between the relative robustness bumble bee communities and sensitivity of plant communities to the elevational gradient in our study suggests that the strongest effects of climate change on mountain bumble bees may be indirect effects mediated by the responses of their floral hosts, though bumble bee species that specialize in high-elevation habitats may also experience significant direct effects of warming.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GanuzaRedlichUhleretal.2022,
  author    = {Ganuza, Cristina and Redlich, Sarah and Uhler, Johannes and Tobisch, Cynthia and Rojas-Botero, Sandra and Peters, Marcell K. and Zhang, Jie and Benjamin, Caryl S. and Englmeier, Jana and Ewald, J{\"o}rg and Fricke, Ute and Haensel, Maria and Kollmann, Johannes and Riebl, Rebekka and Uphus, Lars and M{\"u}ller, J{\"o}rg and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf},
  title     = {Interactive effects of climate and land use on pollinator diversity differ among taxa and scales},
  series = {Science Advances},
  volume    = {8},
  journal   = {Science Advances},
  number    = {18},
  doi       = {10.1126/sciadv.abm9359},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-301303},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Changes in climate and land use are major threats to pollinating insects, an essential functional group. Here, we unravel the largely unknown interactive effects of both threats on seven pollinator taxa using a multiscale space-for-time approach across large climate and land-use gradients in a temperate region. Pollinator community composition, regional gamma diversity, and community dissimilarity (beta diversity) of pollinator taxa were shaped by climate-land-use interactions, while local alpha diversity was solely explained by their additive effects. Pollinator diversity increased with reduced land-use intensity (forest < grassland < arable land < urban) and high flowering-plant diversity at different spatial scales, and higher temperatures homogenized pollinator communities across regions. Our study reveals declines in pollinator diversity with land-use intensity at multiple spatial scales and regional community homogenization in warmer and drier climates. Management options at several scales are highlighted to mitigate impacts of climate change on pollinators and their ecosystem services.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{FrickeRedlichZhangetal.2022,
  author    = {Fricke, Ute and Redlich, Sarah and Zhang, Jie and Tobisch, Cynthia and Rojas-Botero, Sandra and Benjamin, Caryl S. and Englmeier, Jana and Ganuza, Cristina and Riebl, Rebekka and Uhler, Johannes and Uphus, Lars and Ewald, J{\"o}rg and Kollmann, Johannes and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf},
  title     = {Plant richness, land use and temperature differently shape invertebrate leaf-chewing herbivory on plant functional groups},
  series = {Oecologia},
  volume    = {199},
  journal   = {Oecologia},
  number    = {2},
  doi       = {10.1007/s00442-022-05199-4},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-325079},
  pages     = {407-417},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Higher temperatures can increase metabolic rates and carbon demands of invertebrate herbivores, which may shift leaf-chewing herbivory among plant functional groups differing in C:N (carbon:nitrogen) ratios. Biotic factors influencing herbivore species richness may modulate these temperature effects. Yet, systematic studies comparing leaf-chewing herbivory among plant functional groups in different habitats and landscapes along temperature gradients are lacking. This study was conducted on 80 plots covering large gradients of temperature, plant richness and land use in Bavaria, Germany. We investigated proportional leaf area loss by chewing invertebrates ('herbivory') in three plant functional groups on open herbaceous vegetation. As potential drivers, we considered local mean temperature (range 8.4-18.8 °C), multi-annual mean temperature (range 6.5-10.0 °C), local plant richness (species and family level, ranges 10-51 species, 5-25 families), adjacent habitat type (forest, grassland, arable field, settlement), proportion of grassland and landscape diversity (0.2-3 km scale). We observed differential responses of leaf-chewing herbivory among plant functional groups in response to plant richness (family level only) and habitat type, but not to grassland proportion, landscape diversity and temperature—except for multi-annual mean temperature influencing herbivory on grassland plots. Three-way interactions of plant functional group, temperature and predictors of plant richness or land use did not substantially impact herbivory. We conclude that abiotic and biotic factors can assert different effects on leaf-chewing herbivory among plant functional groups. At present, effects of plant richness and habitat type outweigh effects of temperature and landscape-scale land use on herbivory among legumes, forbs and grasses.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Fricke2022,
  author    = {Fricke, Ute},
  title     = {Herbivory, predation and pest control in the context of climate and land use},
  doi       = {10.25972/OPUS-28732},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-287328},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Chapter 1 - General introduction Anthropogenic land-use and climate change are the major drivers of the global biodiversity loss. Yet, biodiversity is essential for human well-being, as we depend on the availability of potable water, sufficient food and further benefits obtained from nature. Each species makes a somewhat unique contribution to these ecosystem services. Furthermore, species tolerate environmental stressors, such as climate change, differently. Thus, biodiversity is both the "engine" and the "insurance" for human well-being in a changing climate. Here, I investigate the effects of temperature and land use on herbivory (Chapter 2), predation (Chapter 3) and pest control (Chapter 4), and at the same time identify features of habitats (e.g. plant richness, proximity to different habitat types) and landscapes (e.g. landscape diversity, proportion of oilseed rape area) as potential management targets in an adaptation strategy to climate change. Finally, I discuss the similarities and differences between factors influencing herbivory, predation and pest control, while placing the observations in the context of climate change as a multifaceted phenomenon, and highlighting starting points for sustainable insect pest management (Chapter 5). Chapter 2 - Plant richness, land use and temperature differently shape invertebrate leaf-chewing herbivory on major plant functional groups Invertebrate herbivores are temperature-sensitive. Rising temperatures increase their metabolic rates and thus their demand for carbon-rich relative to protein-rich resources, which can lead to changes in the diets of generalist herbivores. Here, we quantified leaf-area loss to chewing invertebrates among three plant functional groups (legumes, non-leguminous forbs and grasses), which largely differ in C:N (carbon:nitrogen) ratio. This reseach was conducted along spatial temperature and land-use gradients in open herbaceous vegetation adjacent to different habitat types (forest, grassland, arable field, settlement). Herbivory largely differed among plant functional groups and was higher on legumes than forbs and grasses, except in open areas in forests. There, herbivory was similar among plant functional groups and on legumes lower than in grasslands. Also the presence of many plant families lowered herbivory on legumes. This suggests that open areas in forests and diverse vegetation provide certain protection against leaf damage to some plant families (e.g. legumes). This could be used as part of a conservation strategy for protected species. Overall, the effects of the dominant habitat type in the vicinity and diverse vegetation outweighed those of temperature and large-scale land use (e.g. grassland proportion, landscape diversity) on herbivory of legumes, forbs and grasses at the present time. Chapter 3 - Landscape diversity and local temperature, but not climate, affect arthropod predation among habitat types Herbivorous insects underlie top-down regulation by arthropod predators. Thereby, predation rates depend on predator community composition and behaviour, which is shaped by temperature, plant richness and land use. How the interaction of these factors affects the regulatory performance of predators was unknown. Therefore, we assessed arthropod predation rates on artificial caterpillars along temperature, and land-use gradients. On plots with low local mean temperature (≤ 7°C) often not a single caterpillar was attacked, which may be due to the temperature-dependent inactivity of arthropods. However, multi-annual mean temperature, plant richness and the dominant habitat type in the vicinity did not substantially affect arthropod predation rates. Highest arthropod predation rates were observed in diverse landscapes (2-km scale) independently of the locally dominanting habitat type. As landscape diversity, but not multi-annual mean temperature, affected arthropod predation rates, the diversification of landscapes may also support top-down regulation of herbivores independent of moderate increases of multi-annual mean temperature in the near future. Chapter 4 - Pest control and yield of winter oilseed rape depend on spatiotemporal crop-cover dynamics and flowering onset: implications for global warming Winter oilseed rape is an important oilseed crop in Europe, yet its seed yield is diminished through pests such as the pollen beetle and stem weevils. Damage from pollen beetles depends on pest abundances, but also on the timing of infestation relative to crop development as the bud stage is particularly vulnerable. The development of both oilseed rape and pollen beetles is temperature-dependent, while temperature effects on pest abundances are yet unknown, which brings opportunities and dangers to oilseed rape cropping under increased temperatures. We obtained measures of winter oilseed rape (flowering time, seed yield) and two of its major pests (pollen beetle, stem weevils) for the first time along both land-use and temperature gradients. Infestation with stem weevils was not influenced by any temperature or land-use aspect considered, and natural pest regulation of pollen beetles in terms of parasitism rates of pollen beetle larvae was low (< 30\%), except on three out of 29 plots. Nonetheless, we could identify conditions favouring low pollen beetle abundances per plant and high seed yields. Low pollen beetle densities were favoured by a constant oilseed rape area relative to the preceding year (5-km scale), whereas a strong reduction in area (> 40\%) caused high pest densities (concentration effect). This occurred more frequently in warmer regions, due to drought around sowing, which contributed to increased pollen beetle numbers in those regions. Yet, in warmer regions, oilseed rape flowered early, which possibly led to partial escape from pollen beetle infestation in the most vulnerable bud stage. This is also suggested by higher seed yields of early flowering oilseed rape fields, but not per se at higher temperatures. Thus, early flowering (e.g. cultivar selection) and the interannual coordination of oilseed rape area offer opportunities for environmental-friendly pollen beetle management. Chapter 5 - General discussion Anthropogenic land-use and climate change are major threats to biodiversity, and consequently to ecosystem functions, although I could show that ecosystem functions such as herbivory and predation barely responded to temperature along a spatial gradient at present time. Yet, it is important to keep several points in mind: (i) The high rate of climate warming likely reduces the time that species will have to adapt to temperature in the future; (ii) Beyond mean temperatures, many aspects of climate will change; (iii) The compensation of biodiversity loss through functional redundancy in arthropod communities may be depleted at some point; (iv) Measures of ecosystem functions are limited by methodological filters, so that changes may be captured incompletely. Although much uncertainty of the effects of climate and land-use change on ecosystem functions remains, actions to halt biodiversity loss and to interfere with natural processes in an environmentally friendly way, e.g. reduction of herbivory on crops, are urgently needed. With this thesis, I contribute options to the environment-friendly regulation of herbivory, which are at least to some extent climate resilient, and at the same time make a contribution to halt biodiversity loss. Yet, more research and a transformation process is needed to make human action more sustainable. In terms of crop protection, this means that the most common method of treating pests with fast-acting pesticides is not necessarily the most sustainable. To realize sustainable strategies, collective efforts will be needed targeted at crop damage prevention through reducing pest populations and densities in the medium to long term. The sooner we transform human action from environmentally damaging to biodiversity promoting, the higher is our insurance asset that secures human well-being under a changing climate.},
  subject      = {{\"O}kologie},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{Drenckhahn2021,
  author    = {Drenckhahn, Detlev},
  title     = {Zur Vegetation der Seedeiche der Nordseek{\"u}ste Schleswig-Holsteins - Implikationen f{\"u}r die Umsetzung des Generalplans K{\"u}stenschutz},
  series = {Forum Geobotanicum},
  volume    = {10},
  journal   = {Forum Geobotanicum},
  issn      = {1867-9315},
  doi       = {10.3264/FG.2021.0825a},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-243795},
  pages     = {28-37},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {Bis zum Jahr 2100 prognostiziert der Weltklimarat (IPCC 2021) einen Anstieg des Meeresspiegels von bis zu 63-101 cm gegen{\"u}ber heutigen Wasserst{\"a}nden. Im Rahmen des Generalplans K{\"u}stenschutz Schleswig-Holstein(GKSH) soll als Klimafolgeanpassung eine Erh{\"o}hung und Profil{\"a}nderung der meisten Nordseedeiche und Elbedeiche erfolgen (zusammen 363,3 km mit einer Vegetationsfl{\"a}che von 3.500 ha). Diese Maßnahmen werden mit einem vollst{\"a}ndigen Verlust der alten Deichvegetation einhergehen und zur Freisetzung von großen Mengen an CO₂ aus dem Bodenkohlenstoff f{\"u}hren. Die Seedeiche der Nordseek{\"u}ste (262 km) z{\"a}hlen zu den artenreichen, semi-nat{\"u}rlichen und von Schafen beweideten Grasl{\"a}ndern (Fl{\"a}che von 2600 ha) in Schleswig-Holstein mit bis zu 18 Gras- und 64 zweikeim-bl{\"a}ttrigen Bl{\"u}tenpflanzen und an die Vegetation gebundene 800-1000 Arten von Invertebraten (darunter 200 K{\"a}ferarten). Auf die Außenb{\"o}schung dringen Pflanzen der Salzwiesengesellschaften vor. Die steileren, w{\"a}rmeexponierten ({\"u}berwiegend nach Osten und S{\"u}den ausgerichtet) und durch Vertritt l{\"u}ckigen Innenb{\"o}schungen der Seedeiche sind wertvolle Refugien w{\"a}rmeliebender, konkurrenzschwacher Arten von Magerstandorten und Trittgesellschaften wie die folgenden mediterran-subatlantischen Arten: Knotenklettenkerbel (Torilis nodosa), Zwergklee/Armbl{\"u}tiger Klee (Trifolium micranthum) und Vogelfußklee (Trifolium ornithopodioides). F{\"u}r die Erhaltung beider Kleearten (die aktuelle Verbreitung wird dokumentiert) besitzt Schleswig-Holstein eine nationale und nordwest-europ{\"a}isch-kontinentale Verantwortlichkeit. Folgende Maßnahmen zum Schutz der reichhaltigen Deichvegetation und Teilen seiner Invertebratenfauna bei der Deichverst{\"a}rkung im Rahmen des GKSH werden vorgeschlagen: 1. Abheben der Grasnarbe mit Wurzelraum und zeitnahe Wiederverlegung der alten Grasnarbe (Soden) auf das neue Deichprofil; das ist auch wichtig zum Erhalt des Bodenkohlenstoffs (Klimaschutz). 2. Einsaat von neuen Deichprofilen mit Saatgut von artenreichen Deichabschnitten. 3. Aufnahme substanzieller Forschungsprogramme/Forschungsf{\"o}rderung zur {\"O}kologie der Seedeiche. Weiterhin sollte auf den Einsatz von Herbiziden auf Deichen zur Bek{\"a}mpfung von Disteln verzichtet werden.},
  subject      = {Seedeich},
  language  = {de}
}