@phdthesis{Duenkeloh2011,
  author    = {D{\"u}nkeloh, Armin},
  title     = {Water Balance Dynamics of Cyprus - Actual State and Impacts of Climate Change},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-75165},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg},
  year      = {2011},
  abstract  = {A completely revised and enhanced version of the water balance model MODBIL of the regional water balance dynamics of Cyprus was developed for this study. The model is based on a physical, process-oriented, spatially distributed concept and is applied for the calculation of all important water balance components of the island for the time period of 1961-2004. The calibrated results are statistically analysed and visualised for the whole island area, and evaluated with respect to the renewability of natural water resources. Climate variability and changes of the past decades are analysed with regard to their influence on water balances. A further part of the study focusses on the simulation of impacts of potential climate change. The water balances are simulated under changing climatic conditions on the base of theoretical precipitation, temperature and relative humidity changes and the revealed impacts on the water balances and renewable resources are discussed. Furthermore, a first principal water balance scenario is developed for the assessment of the regional hydrological changes expected for Cyprus by the end of the 21st century. The scenarios are based on recently calculated climate change assessments for this part of the Mediterranean, under an assumed further increase of greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere.},
  subject      = {Wasserhaushalt},
  language  = {en}
}