@article{GrabenhenrichReichFischeretal.2014,
  author    = {Grabenhenrich, Linus B. and Reich, Andreas and Fischer, Felix and Zepp, Fred and Forster, Johannes and Schuster, Antje and Bauer, Carl-Peter and Bergmann, Renate L. and Bergmann, Karl E. and Wahn, Ulrich and Keil, Thomas and Lau, Susanne},
  title     = {The Novel 10-Item Asthma Prediction Tool: External Validation in the German MAS Birth Cohort},
  series = {PLOS ONE},
  volume    = {9},
  journal   = {PLOS ONE},
  number    = {12},
  issn      = {1932-6203},
  doi       = {10.1371/journal.pone.0115852},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-114202},
  pages     = {e115852},
  year      = {2014},
  abstract  = {Background: A novel non-invasive asthma prediction tool from the Leicester Cohort, UK, forecasts asthma at age 8 years based on 10 predictors assessed in early childhood, including current respiratory symptoms, eczema, and parental history of asthma. Objective: We aimed to externally validate the proposed asthma prediction method in a German birth cohort. Methods: The MAS-90 study (Multicentre Allergy Study) recorded details on allergic diseases prospectively in about yearly follow-up assessments up to age 20 years in a cohort of 1,314 children born 1990. We replicated the scoring method from the Leicester cohort and assessed prediction, performance and discrimination. The primary outcome was defined as the combination of parent-reported wheeze and asthma drugs (both in last 12 months) at age 8. Sensitivity analyses assessed model performance for outcomes related to asthma up to age 20 years. Results: For 140 children parents reported current wheeze or cough at age 3 years. Score distribution and frequencies of later asthma resembled the Leicester cohort: 9\% vs. 16\% (MAS-90 vs. Leicester) of children at low risk at 3 years had asthma at 8 years, at medium risk 45\% vs. 48\%. Performance of the asthma prediction tool in the MAS-90 cohort was similar (Brier score 0.22 vs. 0.23) and discrimination slightly better than in the original cohort (area under the curve, AUC 0.83 vs. 0.78). Prediction and discrimination were robust against changes of inclusion criteria, scoring and outcome definitions. The secondary outcome 'physicians' diagnosed asthma at 20 years' showed the highest discrimination (AUC 0.89). Conclusion: The novel asthma prediction tool from the Leicester cohort, UK, performed well in another population, a German birth cohort, supporting its use and further development as a simple aid to predict asthma risk in clinical settings.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarenholzEsparzaGordilloRueschendorfetal.2015,
  author    = {Marenholz, Ingo and Esparza-Gordillo, Jorge and R{\"u}schendorf, Franz and Bauerfeind, Anja and Strachan, David P. and Spycher, Ben D. and Baurecht, Hansj{\"o}rg and Magaritte-Jeannin, Patricia and S{\"a}{\"a}f, Annika and Kerkhof, Marjan and Ege, Markus and Baltic, Svetlana and Matheson, Melanie C. and Li, Jin and Michel, Sven and Ang, Wei Q. and McArdle, Wendy and Arnold, Andreas and Homuth, Georg and Demenais, Florence and Bouzigon, Emmanuelle and S{\"o}derh{\"a}ll, Cilla and Pershagen, G{\"o}ran and de Jongste, Johan C. and Postma, Dirkje S. and Braun-Fahrl{\"a}nder, Charlotte and Horak, Elisabeth and Ogorodova, Ludmila M. and Puzyrev, Valery P. and Bragina, Elena Yu and Hudson, Thomas J. and Morin, Charles and Duffy, David L. and Marks, Guy B. and Robertson, Colin F. and Montgomery, Grant W. and Musk, Bill and Thompson, Philip J. and Martin, Nicholas G. and James, Alan and Sleiman, Patrick and Toskala, Elina and Rodriguez, Elke and F{\"o}lster-Holst, Regina and Franke, Andre and Lieb, Wolfgang and Gieger, Christian and Heinzmann, Andrea and Rietschel, Ernst and Keil, Thomas and Cichon, Sven and N{\"o}then, Markus M. and Pennel, Craig E. and Sly, Peter D. and Schmidt, Carsten O. and Matanovic, Anja and Schneider, Valentin and Heinig, Matthias and H{\"u}bner, Norbert and Holt, Patrick G. and Lau, Susanne and Kabesch, Michael and Weidinger, Stefan and Hakonarson, Hakon and Ferreira, Manuel A. R. and Laprise, Catherine and Freidin, Maxim B. and Genuneit, Jon and Koppelman, Gerard H. and Mel{\´e}n, Erik and Dizier, Marie-H{\´e}l{\`e}ne and Henderson, A. John and Lee, Young Ae},
  title     = {Meta-analysis identifies seven susceptibility loci involved in the atopic march},
  series = {Nature Communications},
  volume    = {6},
  journal   = {Nature Communications},
  number    = {8804},
  doi       = {10.1038/ncomms9804},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-139835},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {Eczema often precedes the development of asthma in a disease course called the 'atopic march'. To unravel the genes underlying this characteristic pattern of allergic disease, we conduct a multi-stage genome-wide association study on infantile eczema followed by childhood asthma in 12 populations including 2,428 cases and 17,034 controls. Here we report two novel loci specific for the combined eczema plus asthma phenotype, which are associated with allergic disease for the first time; rs9357733 located in EFHC1 on chromosome 6p12.3 (OR 1.27; P = 2.1 x 10(-8)) and rs993226 between TMTC2 and SLC6A15 on chromosome 12q21.3 (OR 1.58; P = 5.3 x 10(-9)). Additional susceptibility loci identified at genome-wide significance are FLG (1q21.3), IL4/KIF3A (5q31.1), AP5B1/OVOL1 (11q13.1), C11orf30/LRRC32 (11q13.5) and IKZF3 (17q21). We show that predominantly eczema loci increase the risk for the atopic march. Our findings suggest that eczema may play an important role in the development of asthma after eczema.},
  language  = {en}
}