@article{DubovykMenzConradetal.2012, author = {Dubovyk, Olena and Menz, Gunter and Conrad, Christopher and Kann, Elena and Machwitz, Miriam and Khamzina, Asia}, title = {Spatio-temporal analyses of cropland degradation in the irrigated lowlands of Uzbekistan using remote-sensing and logistic regression modeling}, series = {Environmental Monitoring and Assessment}, volume = {185}, journal = {Environmental Monitoring and Assessment}, number = {6}, doi = {10.1007/s10661-012-2904-6}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-129912}, pages = {4775-4790}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Advancing land degradation in the irrigated areas of Central Asia hinders sustainable development of this predominantly agricultural region. To support decisions on mitigating cropland degradation, this study combines linear trend analysis and spatial logistic regression modeling to expose a land degradation trend in the Khorezm region, Uzbekistan, and to analyze the causes. Time series of the 250-m MODIS NDVI, summed over the growing seasons of 2000-2010, were used to derive areas with an apparent negative vegetation trend; this was interpreted as an indicator of land degradation. About one third (161,000 ha) of the region's area experienced negative trends of different magnitude. The vegetation decline was particularly evident on the low-fertility lands bordering on the natural sandy desert, suggesting that these areas should be prioritized in mitigation planning. The results of logistic modeling indicate that the spatial pattern of the observed trend is mainly associated with the level of the groundwater table (odds = 330 \%), land-use intensity (odds = 103 \%), low soil quality (odds = 49 \%), slope (odds = 29 \%), and salinity of the groundwater (odds = 26 \%). Areas, threatened by land degradation, were mapped by fitting the estimated model parameters to available data. The elaborated approach, combining remote-sensing and GIS, can form the basis for developing a common tool for monitoring land degradation trends in irrigated croplands of Central Asia.}, language = {en} } @article{ErmertFinkMorseetal.2012, author = {Ermert, Volker and Fink, Andreas H. and Morse, Andrew P. and Paeth, Heiko}, title = {The Impact of Regional Climate Change on Malaria Risk due to Greenhouse Forcing and Land-Use Changes in Tropical Africa}, series = {Environmental Health Perspectives}, volume = {120}, journal = {Environmental Health Perspectives}, number = {1}, doi = {10.1289/ehp.1103681}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-135562}, pages = {77-84}, year = {2012}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change will probably alter the spread and transmission intensity of malaria in Africa. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we assessed potential changes in the malaria transmission via an integrated weather disease model. METHODS: We simulated mosquito biting rates using the Liverpool Malaria Model (LMM). The input data for the LMM were bias-corrected temperature and precipitation data from the regional model (REMO) on a 0.5 degrees latitude longitude grid. A Plasmodium falciparum infection model expands the LMM simulations to incorporate information on the infection rate among children. Malaria projections were carried out with this integrated weather disease model for 2001 to 2050 according to two climate scenarios that include the effect of anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on climate. RESULTS: Model-based estimates for the present climate (1960 to 2000) are consistent with observed data for the spread of malaria in Africa. In the model domain, the regions where malaria is epidemic are located in the Sahel as well as in various highland territories. A decreased spread of malaria over most parts of tropical Africa is projected because of simulated increased surface temperatures and a significant reduction in annual rainfall. However, the likelihood of malaria epidemics is projected to increase in the southern part of the Sahel. In most of East Africa, the intensity of malaria transmission is expected to increase. Projections indicate that highland areas that were formerly unsuitable for malaria will become epidemic, whereas in the lower-altitude regions of the East African highlands, epidemic risk will decrease. CONCLUSIONS: We project that climate changes driven by greenhouse-gas and land-use changes will significantly affect the spread of malaria in tropical Africa well before 2050. The geographic distribution of areas where malaria is epidemic might have to be significantly altered in the coming decades.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Gerend2012, author = {Gerend, Jennifer}, title = {U.S. and German Approaches to Regulating Retail Development: Urban Planning Tools and Local Policies}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-70257}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2012}, abstract = {This dissertation examines retail development regulation in the U.S. and in Germany, comparing the various urban planning tools and policies in use by municipal governments. These similarities and differences are explored through research into three case study cities in each country, with special attention paid to how these governments regulate large-scale or "big box" retail.}, subject = {Einzelhandel}, language = {en} } @article{HolstHolstHirschfelderetal.2012, author = {Holst, Alexandra Ioana and Holst, Stefan and Hirschfelder, Ursula and von Seckendorff, Volker}, title = {Retrieval analysis of different orthodontic brackets: the applicability of electron microprobe techniques for determining material heterogeneities and corrosive potential}, series = {Journal of applied oral science}, volume = {20}, journal = {Journal of applied oral science}, number = {4}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-130415}, pages = {478- 485}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Objective: The objective of this study was to investigate the applicability of microanalytical methods with high spatial resolution to the characterization of the composition and corrosion behavior of two bracket systems. Material and methods: The surfaces of six nickel-free brackets and six nickel-containing brackets were examined for signs of corrosion and qualitative surface analysis using an electron probe microanalyzer (EPMA), prior to bonding to patient's tooth surfaces and four months after clinical use. The surfaces were characterized qualitatively by secondary electron (SE) images and back scattered electron (BSE) images in both compositional and topographical mode. Qualitative and quantitative wavelength-dispersive analyses were performed for different elements, and by utilizing qualitative analysis the relative concentration of selected elements was mapped two-dimensionally. The absolute concentration of the elements was determined in specially prepared brackets by quantitative analysis using pure element standards for calibration and calculating correction-factors (ZAF). Results: Clear differences were observed between the different bracket types. The nickel-containing stainless steel brackets consist of two separate pieces joined by a brazing alloy. Compositional analysis revealed two different alloy compositions, and reaction zones on both sides of the brazing alloy. The nickel-free bracket was a single piece with only slight variation in element concentration, but had a significantly rougher surface. After clinical use, no corrosive phenomena were detectable with the methods applied. Traces of intraoral wear at the contact areas between the bracket slot and the arch wire were verified. Conclusion: Electron probe microanalysis is a valuable tool for the characterization of element distribution and quantitative analysis for corrosion studies.}, language = {en} } @article{KotteLoewHuberetal.2012, author = {Kotte, K. and L{\"o}w, F. and Huber, S. G. and Krause, T. and Mulder, I. and Sch{\"o}ler, H. F.}, title = {Organohalogen emissions from saline environments - spatial extrapolation using remote sensing as most promising tool}, series = {Biogeosciences}, volume = {9}, journal = {Biogeosciences}, number = {3}, doi = {10.5194/bg-9-1225-2012}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-134265}, pages = {1225-1235}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Due to their negative water budget most recent semi-/arid regions are characterized by vast evaporates (salt lakes and salty soils). We recently identified those hyper-saline environments as additional sources for a multitude of volatile halogenated organohalogens (VOX). These compounds can affect the ozone layer of the stratosphere and play a key role in the production of aerosols. A remote sensing based analysis was performed in the Southern Aral Sea basin, providing information of major soil types as well as their extent and spatial and temporal evolution. VOX production has been determined in dry and moist soil samples after 24 h. Several C1- and C2 organohalogens have been found in hyper-saline topsoil profiles, including CH3Cl, CH3Br, CHBr3 and CHCl3. The range of organohalogens also includes trans-1,2-dichloroethene (DCE), which is reported here to be produced naturally for the first time. Using MODIS time series and supervised image classification a daily production rate for DCE has been calculated for the 15 000 km\(^2\) ranging research area in the southern Aralkum. The applied laboratory setup simulates a short-term change in climatic conditions, starting from dried-out saline soil that is instantly humidified during rain events or flooding. It describes the general VOX production potential, but allows only for a rough estimation of resulting emission loads. VOX emissions are expected to increase in the future since the area of salt affected soils is expanding due to the regressing Aral Sea. Opportunities, limits and requirements of satellite based rapid change detection and salt classification are discussed.}, language = {en} } @article{NaidooDuPreezStuartHilletal.2012, author = {Naidoo, Robin and Du Preez, Pierre and Stuart-Hill, Greg and Jago, Mark and Wegmann, Martin}, title = {Home on the Range: Factors Explaining Partial Migration of African Buffalo in a Tropical Environment}, series = {PLoS One}, volume = {7}, journal = {PLoS One}, number = {5}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0036527}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-134935}, pages = {e36527}, year = {2012}, abstract = {Partial migration (when only some individuals in a population undertake seasonal migrations) is common in many species and geographical contexts. Despite the development of modern statistical methods for analyzing partial migration, there have been no studies on what influences partial migration in tropical environments. We present research on factors affecting partial migration in African buffalo (Syncerus caffer) in northeastern Namibia. Our dataset is derived from 32 satellite tracking collars, spans 4 years and contains over 35,000 locations. We used remotely sensed data to quantify various factors that buffalo experience in the dry season when making decisions on whether and how far to migrate, including potential man-made and natural barriers, as well as spatial and temporal heterogeneity in environmental conditions. Using an information-theoretic, non-linear regression approach, our analyses showed that buffalo in this area can be divided into 4 migratory classes: migrants, non-migrants, dispersers, and a new class that we call "expanders". Multimodel inference from least-squares regressions of wet season movements showed that environmental conditions (rainfall, fires, woodland cover, vegetation biomass), distance to the nearest barrier (river, fence, cultivated area) and social factors (age, size of herd at capture) were all important in explaining variation in migratory behaviour. The relative contributions of these variables to partial migration have not previously been assessed for ungulates in the tropics. Understanding the factors driving migratory decisions of wildlife will lead to better-informed conservation and land-use decisions in this area.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Paxian2012, author = {Paxian, Andreas}, title = {Future changes in climate means and extremes in the Mediterranean region deduced from a regional climate model}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-72155}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2012}, abstract = {The Mediterranean area reveals a strong vulnerability to future climate change due to a high exposure to projected impacts and a low capacity for adaptation highlighting the need for robust regional or local climate change projections, especially for extreme events strongly affecting the Mediterranean environment. The prevailing study investigates two major topics of the Mediterranean climate variability: the analysis of dynamical downscaling of present-day and future temperature and precipitation means and extremes from global to regional scale and the comprehensive investigation of temperature and rainfall extremes including the estimation of uncertainties and the comparison of different statistical methods for precipitation extremes. For these investigations, several observational datasets of CRU, E-OBS and original stations are used as well as ensemble simulations of the regional climate model REMO driven by the coupled global general circulation model ECHAM5/MPI-OM and applying future greenhouse gas (GHG) emission and land degradation scenarios.}, subject = {Mittelmeerraum}, language = {en} } @article{SamimiFinkPaeth2012, author = {Samimi, C. and Fink, A. H. and Paeth, H.}, title = {The 2007 flood in the Sahel: causes, characteristics and its presentation in the media and FEWS NET}, series = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences}, volume = {12}, journal = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences}, number = {2}, doi = {10.5194/nhess-12-313-2012}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-131790}, pages = {313 -- 325}, year = {2012}, abstract = {During the rainy season in 2007, reports about exceptional rains and floodings in the Sahel were published in the media, especially in August and September. Institutions and organizations like the World Food Programme (WFP) and FEWS NET put the events on the agenda and released alerts and requested help. The partly controversial picture was that most of the Sahel faced a crisis caused by widespread floodings. Our study shows that the rainy season in 2007 was exceptional with regard to rainfall amount and return periods. In many areas the event had a return period between 1 and 50 yr with high spatial heterogeneity, with the exception of the Upper Volta basin, which yielded return periods of up to 1200 yr. Despite the strong rainfall, the interpretation of satellite images show that the floods were mainly confined to lakes and river beds. However, the study also proves the difficulties in assessing the meteorological processes and the demarcation of flooded areas in satellite images without ground truthing. These facts and the somewhat vague and controversial reports in the media and FEWS NET demonstrate that it is crucial to thoroughly analyze such events at a regional and local scale involving the local population.}, language = {en} }