@article{YangYaoLietal.2022, author = {Yang, Xuting and Yao, Wanqiang and Li, Pengfei and Hu, Jinfei and Latifi, Hooman and Kang, Li and Wang, Ningjing and Zhang, Dingming}, title = {Changes of SOC content in China's Shendong coal mining area during 1990-2020 investigated using remote sensing techniques}, series = {Sustainability}, volume = {14}, journal = {Sustainability}, number = {12}, issn = {2071-1050}, doi = {10.3390/su14127374}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-278939}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Coal mining, an important human activity, disturbs soil organic carbon (SOC) accumulation and decomposition, eventually affecting terrestrial carbon cycling and the sustainability of human society. However, changes of SOC content and their relation with influential factors in coal mining areas remained unclear. In the study, predictive models of SOC content were developed based on field sampling and Landsat images for different land-use types (grassland, forest, farmland, and bare land) of the largest coal mining area in China (i.e., Shendong). The established models were employed to estimate SOC content across the Shendong mining area during 1990-2020, followed by an investigation into the impacts of climate change and human disturbance on SOC content by a Geo-detector. Results showed that the models produced satisfactory results (R\(^2\) > 0.69, p < 0.05), demonstrating that SOC content over a large coal mining area can be effectively assessed using remote sensing techniques. Results revealed that average SOC content in the study area rose from 5.67 gC·kg\(^{-1}\) in 1990 to 9.23 gC·kg\(^{-1}\) in 2010 and then declined to 5.31 gC·Kg\(^{-1}\) in 2020. This could be attributed to the interaction between the disturbance of soil caused by coal mining and the improvement of eco-environment by land reclamation. Spatially, the SOC content of farmland was the highest, followed by grassland, and that of bare land was the lowest. SOC accumulation was inhibited by coal mining activities, with the effect of high-intensity mining being lower than that of moderate- and low-intensity mining activities. Land use was found to be the strongest individual influencing factor for SOC content changes, while the interaction between vegetation coverage and precipitation exerted the most significant influence on the variability of SOC content. Furthermore, the influence of mining intensity combined with precipitation was 10 times higher than that of mining intensity alone.}, language = {en} } @article{WabnitzSchwienhorstStichAsbecketal.2023, author = {Wabnitz, Katharina and Schwienhorst-Stich, Eva-Maria and Asbeck, Franziska and Fellmann, Cara Sophie and Gepp, Sophie and Leberl, Jana and Mezger, Nikolaus Christian Simon and Eichinger, Michael}, title = {National Planetary Health learning objectives for Germany: A steppingstone for medical education to promote transformative change}, series = {Frontiers in Public Health}, volume = {10}, journal = {Frontiers in Public Health}, issn = {2296-2565}, doi = {10.3389/fpubh.2022.1093720}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-306027}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Physicians play an important role in adapting to and mitigating the adverse health effects of the unfolding climate and ecological crises. To fully harness this potential, future physicians need to acquire knowledge, values, skills, and leadership attributes to care for patients presenting with environmental change-related conditions and to initiate and propel transformative change in healthcare and other sectors of society including, but not limited to, the decarbonization of healthcare systems, the transition to renewable energies and the transformation of transport and food systems. Despite the potential of Planetary Health Education (PHE) to support medical students in becoming agents of change, best-practice examples of mainstreaming PHE in medical curricula remain scarce both in Germany and internationally. The process of revising and updating the Medical Licensing Regulations and the National Competency-based Catalog of Learning Objectives for Medical Education in Germany provided a window of opportunity to address this implementation challenge. In this article, we describe the development and content of national Planetary Health learning objectives for Germany. We anticipate that the learning objectives will stimulate the development and implementation of innovative Planetary Health teaching, learning and exam formats in medical schools and inform similar initiatives in other health professions. The availability of Planetary Health learning objectives in other countries will provide opportunities for cross-country and interdisciplinary exchange of experiences and validation of content, thus supporting the consolidation of Planetary Health learning objectives and the improvement of PHE for all health professionals globally.}, language = {en} } @article{VillagomezNuernbergerRequieretal.2021, author = {Villagomez, Gemma N. and N{\"u}rnberger, Fabian and Requier, Fabrice and Schiele, Susanne and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingo}, title = {Effects of temperature and photoperiod on the seasonal timing of Western honey bee colonies and an early spring flowering plant}, series = {Ecology and Evolution}, volume = {11}, journal = {Ecology and Evolution}, number = {12}, doi = {10.1002/ece3.7616}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-258770}, pages = {7834-7849}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Temperature and photoperiod are important Zeitgebers for plants and pollinators to synchronize growth and reproduction with suitable environmental conditions and their mutualistic interaction partners. Global warming can disturb this temporal synchronization since interacting species may respond differently to new combinations of photoperiod and temperature under future climates, but experimental studies on the potential phenological responses of plants and pollinators are lacking. We simulated current and future combinations of temperature and photoperiod to assess effects on the overwintering and spring phenology of an early flowering plant species (Crocus sieberi) and the Western honey bee (Apis mellifera). We could show that increased mean temperatures in winter and early spring advanced the flowering phenology of C. sieberi and intensified brood rearing activity of A. mellifera but did not advance their brood rearing activity. Flowering phenology of C. sieberi also relied on photoperiod, while brood rearing activity of A. mellifera did not. The results confirm that increases in temperature can induce changes in phenological responses and suggest that photoperiod can also play a critical role in these responses, with currently unknown consequences for real-world ecosystems in a warming climate.}, language = {en} } @article{UphusLuepkeYuanetal.2021, author = {Uphus, Lars and L{\"u}pke, Marvin and Yuan, Ye and Benjamin, Caryl and Englmeier, Jana and Fricke, Ute and Ganuza, Cristina and Schwindl, Michael and Uhler, Johannes and Menzel, Annette}, title = {Climate effects on vertical forest phenology of Fagus sylvatica L., sensed by Sentinel-2, time lapse camera, and visual ground observations}, series = {Remote Sensing}, volume = {13}, journal = {Remote Sensing}, number = {19}, issn = {2072-4292}, doi = {10.3390/rs13193982}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-248419}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Contemporary climate change leads to earlier spring phenological events in Europe. In forests, in which overstory strongly regulates the microclimate beneath, it is not clear if further change equally shifts the timing of leaf unfolding for the over- and understory of main deciduous forest species, such as Fagus sylvatica L. (European beech). Furthermore, it is not known yet how this vertical phenological (mis)match — the phenological difference between overstory and understory — affects the remotely sensed satellite signal. To investigate this, we disentangled the start of season (SOS) of overstory F.sylvatica foliage from understory F. sylvatica foliage in forests, within nine quadrants of 5.8 × 5.8 km, stratified over a temperature gradient of 2.5 °C in Bavaria, southeast Germany, in the spring seasons of 2019 and 2020 using time lapse cameras and visual ground observations. We explained SOS dates and vertical phenological (mis)match by canopy temperature and compared these to Sentinel-2 derived SOS in response to canopy temperature. We found that overstory SOS advanced with higher mean April canopy temperature (visual ground observations: -2.86 days per °C; cameras: -2.57 days per °C). However, understory SOS was not significantly affected by canopy temperature. This led to an increase of vertical phenological mismatch with increased canopy temperature (visual ground observations: +3.90 days per °C; cameras: +2.52 days per °C). These results matched Sentinel-2-derived SOS responses, as pixels of higher canopy height advanced more by increased canopy temperature than pixels of lower canopy height. The results may indicate that, with further climate change, spring phenology of F. sylvatica overstory will advance more than F. sylvatica understory, leading to increased vertical phenological mismatch in temperate deciduous forests. This may have major ecological effects, but also methodological consequences for the field of remote sensing, as what the signal senses highly depends on the pixel mean canopy height and the vertical (mis)match.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Tran2011, author = {Tran, Nam Binh}, title = {Climate change assessment in Southeast Asia and implications for agricultural production in Vietnam}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-64570}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2011}, abstract = {Seit vielen Jahren ist die Erforschung von Klimawandel und -schwankungen das zentrale Thema der Klimatologie. Besonderes deutlich wird dies anhand der IPCC-Berichte, ebenso wie der zahlreichen Einzelstudien zur Entwicklung des Klimas auf unterschiedlichsten raum-zeitlichen Skalen. Insbesondere seit den 1980er Jahren befassen sich zahlreiche Forschungsgruppen weltweit mit der systematischen Sammlung, Aufbereitung und auch Auswertung von Klimadaten. Diese Datengrundlage erlaubt Analysen zur Entwicklung der globalen Lufttemperatur, des Niederschlags und anderer Klimaelemente (Jones et al., 1986; Hansen und Lebedeff, 1987; Vinnikov et al., 1987, 1990). Das wichtigste {\"u}bergreifende Ergebnis dieser Untersuchungen ist die Feststellung einer globalen Erw{\"a}rmung w{\"a}hrend des 20. Jahrhunderts, die sich in den beiden letzten Jahrzehnten besonders intensivierte. Absch{\"a}tzungen {\"u}ber die Art und St{\"a}rke des Klimawandels auf gr{\"o}ßeren, planungsrelevanten Massst{\"a}ben sind jedoch nach wie vor mit großen Unsicherheiten verbunden. F{\"u}r eine detailliertere Erforschung der Auswirkungen der globalen Erw{\"a}rmung auf regionaler oder gar lokaler Ebene besteht daher noch großer Forschungsbedarf. In dieser Dissertation wird zu diesem Zweck ein statistischer Ansatz verfolgt. Dieser erlaubt die Identifikation systematischer Unterschiede zwischen den Auspr{\"a}gungen klimatologischer Feldgr{\"o}ßen (bodennahe Lufttemperatur und Niederschlag) wie sie von sogenannten General Circulation Models (GCMs) simuliert werden im Vergleich zu den betreffenden Parametern aus Beobachtungsdaten. Als Beobachtungsdaten werden die NCEP Reanalysen, die statistisch interpolierten Datens{\"a}tze der CRU sowie Stationsdaten aus Vietnam verwendet. Hierbei zeigt sich, dass die aktuellen Klimamodelle die r{\"a}umlichen Muster der betrachteten Variablen in befriedigender Weise reproduzieren. Die Analyse des regionalen Klimawandels in S{\"u}dost-Asien erfolgt durch die Auswertung von Klimamodellrechnungen. Diese wurden von verschiedenen GCMs durchgef{\"u}hrt, wobei unterschiedliche Annahmen {\"u}ber die zuk{\"u}nftigen Treibhausgasemissionen ber{\"u}cksichtigt wurden. Der Fokus dieser Dissertation ist die Analyse der projizierten zeitlichen Entwicklung von bodennaher Temperatur und Niederschlag im 21. Jahrhundert. Hierbei werden sowohl j{\"a}hrliche als auch saisonale Mittelwerte bzw. Summen ber{\"u}cksichtigt. Neben diesen rein physikalisch-klimatologischen Betrachtungen behandelt diese Dissertation auch einen angewandten Aspekt, n{\"a}mlich den Impakt des Klimawandels auf die Landwirtschaft, exemplarisch untersucht am Beispiel Vietnams. F{\"u}r die Absch{\"a}tzung der Vulnerabilit{\"a}t dieses essentiellen Wirtschaftsbereiches wird ein statistisches Modell entwickelt in das an klimatischen Parametern die bodennahe temperatur sowie der Niederschlag einfliessen. Diese Untersuchung leistet damit einen wichtigen Beitrag zum Wissenstand {\"u}ber die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels in den niederen Breiten. Die sozio-{\"o}konomische Entwicklung jedes Staates der Erde wird von den Folgen des Klimawandels beeinflusst, allerdings variiert der Grad der Beeintr{\"a}chtigung erheblich. Vermutlich werden Entwicklungsl{\"a}nder wie Vietnam die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels besonders stark zu sp{\"u}ren bekommen. Die Ursachen f{\"u}r diese hohe Vulnerabilit{\"a}t liegen unter anderem in der Wirtschaftsstruktur: der allgemein hohe Stellenwert nat{\"u}rlicher Ressourcen und eine geringe Diversit{\"a}t verringern hier die M{\"o}glichkeiten zur Adaption an die beobachteten und projizierten Ver{\"a}nderungen. Die vorliegende Dissertation gliedert sich wie folgt: In Kapitel 1 stellt eine allgemeine Einf{\"u}hrung zur Thematik dar. Die Begriffe Klima und Klimawandel sowie einige {\"u}bliche Modelle zum Klimawandel, verbunden mit einer Abw{\"a}gung der spezifischen Vor- und Nachteile, werden erl{\"a}utert. Kapitel 2 besch{\"a}ftigt sich mit der Methodik. Hier werden die r{\"a}umliche Interpolation sowie die angewendeten explorativen und inferentiellen statistischen Verfahren diskutiert. Die Kapitel 3 und 4 beschreiben die Datengrundlage und die betrachtete Region. Im Kapitel 5 werden die Untersuchungsergebnisse dargelegt. In Kapitel 6 erfolgt die Abschlussbetrachtung und ein Ausblick auf die Zukunft. Am Ende der Dissertation finden sich die verwendeten Quellen sowie ein Appendix mit landwirtschaftlichen Daten.}, subject = {Klima{\"a}nderung}, language = {en} } @article{ThornChaoBernhardtRoemermannetal.2020, author = {Thorn, Simon and Chao, Anne and Bernhardt-R{\"o}mermann, Markus and Chen, Yan-Han and Georgiev, Kostadin B. and Heibl, Christoph and M{\"u}ller, J{\"o}rg and Sch{\"a}fer, Hanno and B{\"a}ssler, Claus}, title = {Rare species, functional groups, and evolutionary lineages drive successional trajectories in disturbed forests}, series = {Ecology}, volume = {101}, journal = {Ecology}, number = {3}, doi = {10.1002/ecy.2949}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-212378}, pages = {e02949}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Following natural disturbances, additional anthropogenic disturbance may alter community recovery by affecting the occurrences of species, functional groups, and evolutionary lineages. However, our understanding of whether rare, common, or dominant species, functional groups, or evolutionary lineages are most strongly affected by an additional disturbance, particularly across multiple taxa, is limited. Here, we used a generalized diversity concept based on Hill numbers to quantify the community differences of vascular plants, bryophytes, lichens, wood-inhabiting fungi, saproxylic beetles, and birds in a storm-disturbed, experimentally salvage logged forest. Communities of all investigated species groups showed dissimilarities between logged and unlogged plots. Most species groups showed no significant changes in dissimilarities between logged and unlogged plots over the first seven years of succession, indicating a lack of community recovery. In general, the dissimilarities of communities were mainly driven by rare species. Convergence of dissimilarities occurred more often than divergence during the early stages of succession for rare species, indicating a major role in driving decreasing taxonomic dissimilarities between logged and unlogged plots over time. Trends in species dissimilarities only partially match the trends in dissimilarities of functional groups and evolutionary lineages, with little significant changes in successional trajectories. Nevertheless, common and dominant species contributed to a convergence of dissimilarities over time in the case of the functional dissimilarities of wood-inhabiting fungi. Our study shows that salvage logging following disturbances can alter successional trajectories in early stages of forest succession following natural disturbances. However, community changes over time may differ remarkably in different taxonomic groups and are best detected based on taxonomic, rather than functional or phylogenetic dissimilarities.}, language = {en} } @misc{Streckel2013, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Streckel, Christian}, title = {Migration im Kontext von Umwelteinfl{\"u}ssen und Klimawandel}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-102334}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2013}, abstract = {Klimawandelbedingte bzw. potenziell klimawandelbedingte Umweltmigration ist ein sehr komplexes und breites Feld. Es existiert eine F{\"u}lle von Studien, die sich in ihrer Herangehensweise unterscheiden, weshalb hier ein Systematisierungsvorschlag aufgezeigt wird. Mittels einer an den Richtlinien der Grounded Theory orientierten Analyse wurden Studien auf zentrale gemeinsame Kategorien hin untersucht und als Modell pr{\"a}sentiert. Dieses stellt jedoch kein abgeschlossenes System dar, sondern dient durch seine Offenheit als Ger{\"u}st, das mit Ergebnissen aus weiteren Fallstudien gefestigt werden kann.}, subject = {Anthropogene Klima{\"a}nderung}, language = {de} } @article{SimonParisiWabnitzetal.2023, author = {Simon, Johanna and Parisi, Sandra and Wabnitz, Katharina and Simmenroth, Anne and Schwienhorst-Stich, Eva-Maria}, title = {Ten characteristics of high-quality planetary health education}, series = {Frontiers in Public Health}, volume = {11}, journal = {Frontiers in Public Health}, issn = {2296-2565}, doi = {10.3389/fpubh.2023.1143751}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-313856}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Aim: The climate and ecological crises are considered fundamental threats to human health. Healthcare workers in general and doctors in particular can contribute as change agents in mitigation and adaptation. Planetary health education (PHE) aims to harness this potential. This study explores perspectives among stakeholders involved in PHE at German medical schools on the characteristics of high-quality PHE and compares them to existing PHE frameworks. Methods: In 2021, we conducted a qualitative interview study with stakeholders from German medical schools involved in PHE. Three different groups were eligible: faculty members, medical students actively involved in PHE, and study deans of medical schools. Recruitment was performed through national PHE networks and snowball sampling. Thematic qualitative text analysis according to Kuckartz was used for the analysis. Results were systematically compared to three existing PHE frameworks. Results: A total of 20 participants (13 female) from 15 different medical schools were interviewed. Participants covered a wide range of professional backgrounds and experience in PHE education. The analysis revealed ten key themes: (1) Complexity and systems thinking, (2) inter- and transdisciplinarity, (3) ethical dimension, (4) responsibility of health professionals, (5) transformative competencies including practical skills, (6) space for reflection and resilience building, (7) special role of students, (8) need for curricular integration, (9) innovative and proven didactic methods, and (10) education as a driver of innovation. Six of our themes showed substantial overlap with existing PHE frameworks. Two of our themes were only mentioned in one of the frameworks, and two others were not explicitly mentioned. Few important elements of the frameworks did not emerge from our data. Conclusions: In the light of increased attention regarding the connections of the climate and ecological crises and health, our results can be useful for anyone working toward the integration of planetary health into medical schools' and any health professions' curricula and should be considered when designing and implementing new educational activities.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Seybold2003, author = {Seybold, Marc}, title = {Internationale Umweltregime - neue Formen der Konfliktbearbeitung in der internationalen Politik? Untersuchungen am Beispiel des Klimaschutzregimes : eine integrative regimetheoretische Untersuchung zum Einfluß von Nichtregierungsorganisationen und Wissenschaftlicher Gemeinschaften auf das internationale Klimaschutzregime}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-12403}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2003}, abstract = {Die Arbeit untersucht den Einfluss von Nichtregierungsorganisationen (NGOs)und Wissenschaftlicher Gemeinschaften auf Internationale Regime. Ausgehend vom Kooperationsproblem in einer anarchischen Staatenwelt wird der Leistungsbeitrag der beiden nichtstaatlichen Akteure auf das Zustandekommen von Kooperation analysiert und seine schwankende Rolle im Verlauf des Regimeprozesses untersucht. Das Fallbeispiel bildet dabei das internationale Klimaschutzregime, wobei der Untersuchungszeitraum von den ersten Anf{\"a}ngen der Thematisierung des Klimawandels bis hin zu der in Marrakesch erreichten Ausformulierung des Kyoto-Protokolls reicht.}, subject = {Umweltschutz}, language = {de} } @article{SamimiFinkPaeth2012, author = {Samimi, C. and Fink, A. H. and Paeth, H.}, title = {The 2007 flood in the Sahel: causes, characteristics and its presentation in the media and FEWS NET}, series = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences}, volume = {12}, journal = {Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences}, number = {2}, doi = {10.5194/nhess-12-313-2012}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-131790}, pages = {313 -- 325}, year = {2012}, abstract = {During the rainy season in 2007, reports about exceptional rains and floodings in the Sahel were published in the media, especially in August and September. Institutions and organizations like the World Food Programme (WFP) and FEWS NET put the events on the agenda and released alerts and requested help. The partly controversial picture was that most of the Sahel faced a crisis caused by widespread floodings. Our study shows that the rainy season in 2007 was exceptional with regard to rainfall amount and return periods. In many areas the event had a return period between 1 and 50 yr with high spatial heterogeneity, with the exception of the Upper Volta basin, which yielded return periods of up to 1200 yr. Despite the strong rainfall, the interpretation of satellite images show that the floods were mainly confined to lakes and river beds. However, the study also proves the difficulties in assessing the meteorological processes and the demarcation of flooded areas in satellite images without ground truthing. These facts and the somewhat vague and controversial reports in the media and FEWS NET demonstrate that it is crucial to thoroughly analyze such events at a regional and local scale involving the local population.}, language = {en} } @article{SaddiqueUsmanBernhofer2019, author = {Saddique, Naeem and Usman, Muhammad and Bernhofer, Christian}, title = {Simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrological regimes of a sparsely gauged mountainous basin, northern Pakistan}, series = {Water}, volume = {11}, journal = {Water}, number = {10}, issn = {2073-4441}, doi = {10.3390/w11102141}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-193175}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Projected climate changes for the 21st century may cause great uncertainties on the hydrology of a river basin. This study explored the impacts of climate change on the water balance and hydrological regime of the Jhelum River Basin using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Two downscaling methods (SDSM, Statistical Downscaling Model and LARS-WG, Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator), three Global Circulation Models (GCMs), and two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for three future periods (2030s, 2050s, and 2090s) were used to assess the climate change impacts on flow regimes. The results exhibited that both downscaling methods suggested an increase in annual streamflow over the river basin. There is generally an increasing trend of winter and autumn discharge, whereas it is complicated for summer and spring to conclude if the trend is increasing or decreasing depending on the downscaling methods. Therefore, the uncertainty associated with the downscaling of climate simulation needs to consider, for the best estimate, the impact of climate change, with its uncertainty, on a particular basin. The study also resulted that water yield and evapotranspiration in the eastern part of the basin (sub-basins at high elevation) would be most affected by climate change. The outcomes of this study would be useful for providing guidance in water management and planning for the river basin under climate change.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Roth2021, author = {Roth, Nicolas M{\´e}riadec Max Andr{\´e}}, title = {Temporal development of communities with a focus on insects, in time series of one to four decades}, doi = {10.25972/OPUS-23549}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-235499}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Changes and development are fundamental principles in biocenoses and can affect a multitude of ecological processes. In insect communities phenological and density changes, changes in species richness and community composition, as well as interactions between those changes, are the most important macro processes. However, climate change and other factors like habitat degradation and loss alter these processes leading to shifts and general biodiversity declines. Even though knowledge about insect decline in central Europe increased during the last decades, there are significant knowledge gaps about the development of insect communities in certain habitats and taxa. For example, insect communities in small lentic as well as in forested habitats are under-sampled and reported to be less endangered than communities in other habitats. Furthermore, the changes within habitats and taxa are additionally influenced by certain traits, like host or feeding specialization. To disentangle these influences and to increase the knowledge about the general long-term development of insect communities, comprehensive long-term monitoring studies are needed. In addition, long-term effects of conservation strategies should also be evaluated on large time scales in order to be able to decide on a scientific base which strategies are effective in promoting possibly declining taxa. Hence, this thesis also tackles the effects of an integrative conservation strategy on wood dependent beetle and fungi, beside the development of water beetle and macro moth communities over multiple decades. In Chapter 2 I present a study on the development of water beetle communities (Dytiscidae, Haliplidae, Noteridae) in 33 water bodies in Southern Germany from 1991 to 2018. Time-standardized capture per waterbody was used during three periods: between 1991 and 1995, 2007 and 2008, and 2017 and 2018. Results showed annual declines in both species number (ca. -1\%) and abundance (ca. -2\%). In addition, community composition shifted over time in part due to changing pH values. Hence, the recorded changes during the 28-year study period partly reflect natural succession processes. However, since also moor-related beetle species decreased significantly, it is likely that water beetles in southern Germany are also threatened by non-successional factors, including desiccation, increased nitrogen input and/or mineralization, as well as the loss of specific habitats. The results suggest, that in small to midsize lentic waterbodies, current development should aim for constant creation of new water bodies and protection of moor waterbodies in order to protect water beetle communities on a landscape scale. In Chapter 3 I present an analysis of the development of nocturnal macro moth species richness, abundance and biomass over four decades in forests of southern Germany. Two local scale data sets featuring a coppiced oak forest as well as an oak high forest were analysed separately from a regional data set representing all forest types in the temperate zone of Central Europe. At the regional scale species richness, abundance and biomass showed annual declines of ca. 1 \%, 1.3 \% and 1.4 \%, respectively. These declines were more pronounced in plant host specialists and in dark coloured species. In contrast, species richness increased by ca. 1.5 \% annually in the coppiced forest, while no significant trends were found in the high forest. In contrast to past assumptions, insect decline apparently affects also hyper diverse insect groups in forests. Since host specialists and dark coloured species were affected more heavily by the decline than other groups, habitat loss and climate change seem to be potential drivers of the observed trends. However, the positive development of species richness in the coppiced oak forest indicates that maintaining complex and diverse forest ecosystems through active management might compensate for negative trends in biodiversity. Chapter 4 features a study specifically aiming to investigate the long-term effect of deadwood enrichment as an integrative conservation strategy on saproxylic beetles and fungi in a central European beech forest at a landscape scale. A before-after control-impact design, was used to compare assemblages and gamma diversities of saproxylic organisms (beetles and fungi) in strictly protected old-growth forest areas (reserves) and previously moderately and intensively managed forest areas. Forests were sampled one year before and a decade after starting a landscape-wide strategy of dead-wood enrichment. Ten years after the start of the dead-wood enrichment, neither gamma diversities of saproxylic organisms nor species composition of beetles did reflect the previous management types anymore. However, fungal species composition still mirrored the previous management gradient. The results demonstrated that intentional enrichment of dead wood at the landscape scale can effectively restore communities of saproxylic organisms and may thus be a suitable strategy in addition to permanent strict reserves in order to protect wood dependent organisms in Europe. In this thesis I showed, that in contrast to what was assumed and partly reported so far, also water beetles in lentic water bodies and macro moths in forests decreased in species richness, abundance and biomass during the last three to four decades. In line with earlier studies, especially dark coloured species and specialists decreased more than light-coloured species and generalists. The reasons for these declines could partly be attributed to natural processes and pollution and possibly to climate change. However, further studies, especially experimental ones, will be needed to achieve a better understanding of the reasons for insect decline. Furthermore, analyses of time series data should be interpreted cautiously especially if the number of sampling years is smaller than ten years. In addition, validation techniques such as left- and right- censoring and cross validation should be used in order to proof the robustness of the analyses. However, the lack of knowledge, we are still facing today, should not prevent scientists and practitioners from applying conservation measures. In order to prove the effectiveness of such measures, long-term monitoring is crucial. Such control of success is essential for evidence based and thus adapted conservation strategies of threatened organisms.}, subject = {climate change}, language = {en} } @article{RothHackerHeidrichetal.2021, author = {Roth, Nicolas and Hacker, Herrmann Heinrich and Heidrich, Lea and Friess, Nicolas and Garc{\´i}a-Barroas, Enrique and Habel, Jan Christian and Thorn, Simon and M{\"u}ler, J{\"o}rg}, title = {Host specificity and species colouration mediate the regional decline of nocturnal moths in central European forests}, series = {Ecography}, volume = {44}, journal = {Ecography}, number = {6}, doi = {10.1111/ecog.05522}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-258731}, pages = {941-952}, year = {2021}, abstract = {The high diversity of insects has limited the volume of long-term community data with a high taxonomic resolution and considerable geographic replications, especially in forests. Therefore, trends and causes of changes are poorly understood. Here we analyse trends in species richness, abundance and biomass of nocturnal macro moths in three quantitative data sets collected over four decades in forests in southern Germany. Two local data sets, one from coppiced oak forests and one from high oak forests included 125K and 48K specimens from 559 and 532 species, respectively. A third regional data set, representing all forest types in the temperate zone of central Europe comprised 735K specimens from 848 species. Generalized additive mixed models revealed temporal declines in species richness (-38\%), abundance (-53\%) and biomass (-57\%) at the regional scale. These were more pronounced in plant host specialists and in dark coloured species. In contrast, the local coppiced oak forests showed an increase, in species richness (+62\%), while the high oak forests showed no clear trends. Left and right censoring as well as cross validation confirmed the robustness of the analyses, which led to four conclusions. First, the decline in insects appears in hyper diverse insect groups in forests and affects species richness, abundance and biomass. Second, the pronounced decline in host specialists suggests habitat loss as an important driver of the observed decline. Third, the more severe decline in dark species might be an indication of global warming as a potential driver. Fourth, the trends in coppiced oak forests indicate that maintaining complex and diverse forest ecosystems through active management may be a promising conservation strategy in order to counteract negative trends in biodiversity, alongside rewilding approaches.}, language = {en} } @article{RinawatiSteinLindner2013, author = {Rinawati, Fitria and Stein, Katharina and Lindner, Andr{\´e}}, title = {Climate change impacts on biodiversity-the setting of a lingering global crisis}, series = {Diversity}, volume = {5}, journal = {Diversity}, number = {1}, doi = {10.3390/d50100114}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-131866}, pages = {114-123}, year = {2013}, abstract = {Climate change has created potential major threats to global biodiversity. The multiple components of climate change are projected to affect all pillars of biodiversity, from genes over species to biome level. Of particular concerns are "tipping points" where the exceedance of ecosystem thresholds will possibly lead to irreversible shifts of ecosystems and their functioning. As biodiversity underlies all goods and services provided by ecosystems that are crucial for human survival and wellbeing, this paper presents potential effects of climate change on biodiversity, its plausible impacts on human society as well as the setting in addressing a global crisis. Species affected by climate change may respond in three ways: change, move or die. Local species extinctions or a rapidly affected ecosystem as a whole respectively might move toward its particular "tipping point", thereby probably depriving its services to human society and ending up in a global crisis. Urgent and appropriate actions within various scenarios of climate change impacts on biodiversity, especially in tropical regions, are needed to be considered. Foremost a multisectoral approach on biodiversity issues with broader policies, stringent strategies and programs at international, national and local levels is essential to meet the challenges of climate change impacts on biodiversity.}, language = {en} } @article{ReinersSobrinoKuenzer2023, author = {Reiners, Philipp and Sobrino, Jos{\´e} and Kuenzer, Claudia}, title = {Satellite-derived land surface temperature dynamics in the context of global change — a review}, series = {Remote Sensing}, volume = {15}, journal = {Remote Sensing}, number = {7}, issn = {2072-4292}, doi = {10.3390/rs15071857}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-311120}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Satellite-derived Land Surface Temperature (LST) dynamics have been increasingly used to study various geophysical processes. This review provides an extensive overview of the applications of LST in the context of global change. By filtering a selection of relevant keywords, a total of 164 articles from 14 international journals published during the last two decades were analyzed based on study location, research topic, applied sensor, spatio-temporal resolution and scale and employed analysis methods. It was revealed that China and the USA were the most studied countries and those that had the most first author affiliations. The most prominent research topic was the Surface Urban Heat Island (SUHI), while the research topics related to climate change were underrepresented. MODIS was by far the most used sensor system, followed by Landsat. A relatively small number of studies analyzed LST dynamics on a global or continental scale. The extensive use of MODIS highly determined the study periods: A majority of the studies started around the year 2000 and thus had a study period shorter than 25 years. The following suggestions were made to increase the utilization of LST time series in climate research: The prolongation of the time series by, e.g., using AVHRR LST, the better representation of LST under clouds, the comparison of LST to traditional climate change measures, such as air temperature and reanalysis variables, and the extension of the validation to heterogenous sites.}, language = {en} } @article{ReinermannGessnerAsametal.2019, author = {Reinermann, Sophie and Gessner, Ursula and Asam, Sarah and Kuenzer, Claudia and Dech, Stefan}, title = {The Effect of Droughts on Vegetation Condition in Germany: An Analysis Based on Two Decades of Satellite Earth Observation Time Series and Crop Yield Statistics}, series = {Remote Sensing}, volume = {11}, journal = {Remote Sensing}, number = {15}, doi = {10.3390/rs11151783}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-225165}, pages = {1783, 1-21}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Central Europe experienced several droughts in the recent past, such as in the year 2018, which was characterized by extremely low rainfall rates and high temperatures, resulting in substantial agricultural yield losses. Time series of satellite earth observation data enable the characterization of past drought events over large temporal and spatial scales. Within this study, Moderate Resolution Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) (MOD13Q1) 250 m time series were investigated for the vegetation periods of 2000 to 2018. The spatial and temporal development of vegetation in 2018 was compared to other dry and hot years in Europe, like the drought year 2003. Temporal and spatial inter- and intra-annual patterns of EVI anomalies were analyzed for all of Germany and for its cropland, forest, and grassland areas individually. While vegetation development in spring 2018 was above average, the summer months of 2018 showed negative anomalies in a similar magnitude as in 2003, which was particularly apparent within grassland and cropland areas in Germany. In contrast, the year 2003 showed negative anomalies during the entire growing season. The spatial pattern of vegetation status in 2018 showed high regional variation, with north-eastern Germany mainly affected in June, north-western parts in July, and western Germany in August. The temporal pattern of satellite-derived EVI deviances within the study period 2000-2018 were in good agreement with crop yield statistics for Germany. The study shows that the EVI deviation of the summer months of 2018 were among the most extreme in the study period compared to other years. The spatial pattern and temporal development of vegetation condition between the drought years differ.}, language = {en} } @article{RedlichZhangBenjaminetal.2022, author = {Redlich, Sarah and Zhang, Jie and Benjamin, Caryl and Dhillon, Maninder Singh and Englmeier, Jana and Ewald, J{\"o}rg and Fricke, Ute and Ganuza, Cristina and Haensel, Maria and Hovestadt, Thomas and Kollmann, Johannes and Koellner, Thomas and K{\"u}bert-Flock, Carina and Kunstmann, Harald and Menzel, Annette and Moning, Christoph and Peters, Wibke and Riebl, Rebekka and Rummler, Thomas and Rojas-Botero, Sandra and Tobisch, Cynthia and Uhler, Johannes and Uphus, Lars and M{\"u}ller, J{\"o}rg and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf}, title = {Disentangling effects of climate and land use on biodiversity and ecosystem services—A multi-scale experimental design}, series = {Methods in Ecology and Evolution}, volume = {13}, journal = {Methods in Ecology and Evolution}, number = {2}, doi = {10.1111/2041-210X.13759}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-258270}, pages = {514-527}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Climate and land-use change are key drivers of environmental degradation in the Anthropocene, but too little is known about their interactive effects on biodiversity and ecosystem services. Long-term data on biodiversity trends are currently lacking. Furthermore, previous ecological studies have rarely considered climate and land use in a joint design, did not achieve variable independence or lost statistical power by not covering the full range of environmental gradients. Here, we introduce a multi-scale space-for-time study design to disentangle effects of climate and land use on biodiversity and ecosystem services. The site selection approach coupled extensive GIS-based exploration (i.e. using a Geographic information system) and correlation heatmaps with a crossed and nested design covering regional, landscape and local scales. Its implementation in Bavaria (Germany) resulted in a set of study plots that maximise the potential range and independence of environmental variables at different spatial scales. Stratifying the state of Bavaria into five climate zones (reference period 1981-2010) and three prevailing land-use types, that is, near-natural, agriculture and urban, resulted in 60 study regions (5.8 × 5.8 km quadrants) covering a mean annual temperature gradient of 5.6-9.8°C and a spatial extent of ~310 × 310 km. Within these regions, we nested 180 study plots located in contrasting local land-use types, that is, forests, grasslands, arable land or settlement (local climate gradient 4.5-10°C). This approach achieved low correlations between climate and land use (proportional cover) at the regional and landscape scale with |r ≤ 0.33| and |r ≤ 0.29| respectively. Furthermore, using correlation heatmaps for local plot selection reduced potentially confounding relationships between landscape composition and configuration for plots located in forests, arable land and settlements. The suggested design expands upon previous research in covering a significant range of environmental gradients and including a diversity of dominant land-use types at different scales within different climatic contexts. It allows independent assessment of the relative contribution of multi-scale climate and land use on biodiversity and ecosystem services. Understanding potential interdependencies among global change drivers is essential to develop effective restoration and mitigation strategies against biodiversity decline, especially in expectation of future climatic changes. Importantly, this study also provides a baseline for long-term ecological monitoring programs.}, language = {en} } @article{PaethPollinger2019, author = {Paeth, Heiko and Pollinger, Felix}, title = {Changes in mean flow and atmospheric wave activity in the North Atlantic sector}, series = {Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society}, volume = {145}, journal = {Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society}, number = {725}, doi = {10.1002/qj.3660}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-208079}, pages = {3801-3818}, year = {2019}, abstract = {In recent years, the midlatitudes are characterized by more intense heatwaves in summer and sometimes severe cold spells in winter that might emanate from changes in atmospheric circulation, including synoptic-scale and planetary wave activity in the midlatitudes. In this study, we investigate the heat and momentum exchange between the mean flow and atmospheric waves in the North Atlantic sector and adjacent continents by means of the physically consistent Eliassen-Palm flux diagnostics applied to reanalysis and forced climate model data. In the long-term mean, momentum is transferred from the mean flow to atmospheric waves in the northwest Atlantic region, where cyclogenesis prevails. Further downstream over Europe, eddy fluxes return momentum to the mean flow, sustaining the jet stream against friction. A global climate model is able to reproduce this pattern with high accuracy. Atmospheric variability related to atmospheric wave activity is much more expressed at the intraseasonal rather than the interannual time-scale. Over the last 40 years, reanalyses reveal a northward shift of the jet stream and a weakening of intraseasonal weather variability related to synoptic-scale and planetary wave activity. This pertains to the winter and summer seasons, especially over central Europe, and correlates with changes in the North Atlantic Oscillation as well as regional temperature and precipitation. A very similar phenomenon is found in a climate model simulation with business-as-usual scenario, suggesting an anthropogenic trigger in the weakening of intraseasonal weather variability in the midlatitudes.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Nuernberger2018, author = {N{\"u}rnberger, Fabian}, title = {Timing of colony phenology and foraging activity in honey bees}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-155105}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2018}, abstract = {I. Timing is a crucial feature in organisms that live within a variable and changing environment. Complex mechanisms to measure time are wide-spread and were shown to exist in many taxa. These mechanisms are expected to provide fitness benefits by enabling organisms to anticipate environmental changes and adapt accordingly. However, very few studies have addressed the adaptive value of proper timing. The objective of this PhD-project was to investigate mechanisms and fitness consequences of timing decisions concerning colony phenology and foraging activity in the honey bee (Apis mellifera), a social insect species with a high degree of social organization and one of the most important pollinators of wild plants and crops. In chapter II, a study is presented that aimed to identify the consequences of disrupted synchrony between colony phenology and the local environment by manipulating the timing of brood onset after hibernation. In a follow-up experiment, the importance of environmental factors for the timing of brood onset was investigated to assess the potential of climate change to disrupt synchronization of colony phenology (Chapter III). Chapter IV aimed to prove for the first time that honey bees can use interval time-place learning to improve foraging activity in a variable environment. Chapter V investigates the fitness benefits of information exchange between nest mates via waggle dance communication about a resource environment that is heterogeneous in space and time. II. In the study presented in chapter II, the importance of the timing of brood onset after hibernation as critical point in honey bee colony phenology in temperate zones was investigated. Honey bee colonies were overwintered at two climatically different sites. By translocating colonies from each site to the other in late winter, timing of brood onset was manipulated and consequently colony phenology was desynchronized with the local environment. Delaying colony phenology in respect to the local environment decreased the capability of colonies to exploit the abundant spring bloom. Early brood onset, on the other hand, increased the loads of the brood parasite Varroa destructor later in the season with negative impact on colony worker population size. This indicates a timing related trade-off and illustrates the importance of investigating effects of climate change on complex multi-trophic systems. It can be concluded that timing of brood onset in honey bees is an important fitness relevant step for colony phenology that is highly sensitive to climatic conditions in late winter. Further, phenology shifts and mismatches driven by climate change can have severe fitness consequences. III. In chapter III, I assess the importance of the environmental factors ambient temperature and photoperiod as well as elapsed time on the timing of brood onset. Twenty-four hibernating honey bee colonies were placed into environmental chambers and allocated to different combinations of two temperature regimes and three different light regimes. Brood onset was identified non-invasively by tracking comb temperature within the winter cluster. The experiment revealed that ambient temperature plays a major role in the timing of brood onset, but the response of honey bee colonies to temperature increases is modified by photoperiod. Further, the data indicate the involvement of an internal clock. I conclude that the timing of brood onset is complex but probably highly susceptible to climate change and especially spells of warm weather in winter. IV. In chapter IV, it was examined if honey bees are capable of interval time-place learning and if this ability improves foraging efficiency in a dynamic resource environment. In a field experiment with artificial feeders, foragers were able to learn time intervals and use this ability to anticipate time periods during which feeders were active. Further, interval time-place learning enabled foragers to increase nectar uptake rates. It was concluded that interval time-place learning can help honey bee foragers to adapt to the complex and variable temporal patterns of floral resource environments. V. The study presented in chapter V identified the importance of the honey bee waggle dance communication for the spatiotemporal coordination of honey bee foraging activity in resource environments that can vary from day to day. Consequences of disrupting the instructional component of honey bee dance communication were investigated in eight temperate zone landscapes with different levels of spatiotemporal complexity. While nectar uptake of colonies was not affected, waggle dance communication significantly benefitted pollen harvest irrespective of landscape complexity. I suggest that this is explained by the fact that honey bees prefer to forage pollen in semi-natural habitats, which provide diverse resource species but are sparse and presumably hard to find in intensively managed agricultural landscapes. I conclude that waggle dance communication helps to ensure a sufficient and diverse pollen diet which is crucial for honey bee colony health. VI. In my PhD-project, I could show that honey bee colonies are able to adapt their activities to a seasonally and daily changing environment, which affects resource uptake, colony development, colony health and ultimately colony fitness. Ongoing global change, however, puts timing in honey bee colonies at risk. Climate change has the potential to cause mismatches with the local resource environment. Intensivation of agricultural management with decreased resource diversity and short resource peaks in spring followed by distinctive gaps increases the probability of mismatches. Even the highly efficient foraging system of honey bees might not ensure a sufficiently diverse and healthy diet in such an environment. The global introduction of the parasitic mite V. destructor and the increased exposure to pesticides in intensively managed landscapes further degrades honey bee colony health. This might lead to reduced cognitive capabilities in workers and impact the communication and social organization in colonies, thereby undermining the ability of honey bee colonies to adapt to their environment.}, subject = {Biene}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Mutz2013, author = {Mutz, Sebastian}, title = {Dynamic Statistical Modelling of Climate-Related Mass Balance Changes in Norway}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-114799}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2013}, abstract = {The glaciers in Norway exert a strong influence on Norwegian economy and society. Unlike many glaciers elsewhere and despite ongoing climate change and warming, many of them showed renewed advances and positive net mass changes in the 1980's and 1990's, followed by rapid retreats and mass losses since 2000. This difference in behaviour may be attributed to differences and shifts in the glaciological regime - the differences in the magnitude of impacts of climatic and non-climatic geographical factors on the glacier mass. This study investigates the influence of various atmospheric variables on mass balance changes of a selection of glaciers in Norway by means of Pearson correlation analyses and cross-validated stepwise multiple regression analyses. The analyses are carried out for three time periods (1949-2008, 1949-1988, 1989-2008) separately in order to take into consideration the possible shift in the glaciological regime in the 1980's. The atmospheric variables are constructed from ERA40 and NCEP/NCAR re-analysis datasets and include regional means of seasonal air temperature and precipitation rates and atmospheric circulation indices. The multiple regression models trained in these time periods are then applied to predictors reconstructed from the CMIP3 climate model dataset to generate an estimate for mass changes from the year 1950 to 2100. The temporal overlap of estimates and observations is used for calibration. Finally, observed atmospheric states in seasons that are characterised by a particularly positive or negative mass balance are categorised into time periods of modelled climate by the application of a Bayesian classification procedure. The strongest influence on winter mass balance is exerted by different indices of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Northern Annular Mode (NAM) and precipitation. The correlation coefficients and explained variances determined from the multiple regression analyses reveal an East-West gradient, suggesting a weaker influence of the NAO and NAM on glaciers underlying a more continental regime. The highest correlation coefficients and explained variances were obtained for the 1989-2008 time period, which might be due to a strong and predominantly positive phase of the NAO. Multi-model ensemble means of the estimates show a mass loss for all three eastern glaciers, while the estimates for the more maritime glaciers are ambivalent. In general, the estimates show a greater sensitivity to the training time period than to the greenhouse gas emission scenarios according to which the climates were simulated. The average net mass change by the end of 2100 is negative for all glaciers except for the northern Engabreen. For many glaciers, the Bayesian classification of observed atmospheric states into time periods of modelled climate reveals a decrease in probability of atmospheric states favouring extremes in winter, and an increase in probability of atmospheric states favouring extreme mass loss in summer for the distant future (2071-2100). This pattern of probabilities for the ablation season is most pronounced for glaciers underlying a continental and intermediate regime.}, subject = {Norwegen}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Mayr2021, author = {Mayr, Antonia Veronika}, title = {Following Bees and Wasps up Mt. Kilimanjaro: From Diversity and Traits to hidden Interactions of Species}, doi = {10.25972/OPUS-18292}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-182922}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Chapter 1 - General Introduction One of the greatest challenges of ecological research is to predict the response of ecosystems to global change; that is to changes in climate and land use. A complex question in this context is how changing environmental conditions affect ecosystem processes at different levels of communities. To shed light on this issue, I investigate drivers of biodiversity on the level of species richness, functional traits and species interactions in cavity-nesting Hymenoptera. For this purpose, I take advantage of the steep elevational gradient of Mt. Kilimanjaro that shows strong environmental changes on a relatively small spatial scale and thus, provides a good environmental scenario for investigating drivers of diversity. In this thesis, I focus on 1) drivers of species richness at different trophic levels (Chapter 2); 2) seasonal patterns in nest-building activity, life-history traits and ecological rates in three different functional groups and at different elevations (Chapter 3) and 3) changes in cuticular hydrocarbons, pollen composition and microbiomes in Lasioglossum bees caused by climatic variables (Chapter 4). Chapter 2 - Climate and food resources shape species richness and trophic interactions of cavity-nesting Hymenoptera Drivers of species richness have been subject to research for centuries. Temperature, resource availability and top-down regulation as well as the impact of land use are considered to be important factors in determining insect diversity. Yet, the relative importance of each of these factors is unknown. Using trap nests along the elevational gradient of Mt. Kilimanjaro, we tried to disentangle drivers of species richness at different trophic levels. Temperature was the major driver of species richness across trophic levels, with increasing importance of food resources at higher trophic levels in natural antagonists. Parasitism rate was both related to temperature and trophic level, indicating that the relative importance of bottom-up and top-down forces might shift with climate change. Chapter 3 - Seasonal variation in the ecology of tropical cavity-nesting Hymenoptera Natural populations fluctuate with the availability of resources, presence of natural enemies and climatic variations. But tropical mountain seasonality is not yet well investigated. We investigated seasonal patterns in nest-building activity, functional traits and ecological rates in three different insect groups at lower and higher elevations separately. Insects were caught with trap nests which were checked monthly during a 17 months period that included three dry and three rainy seasons. Insects were grouped according to their functional guilds. All groups showed strong seasonality in nest-building activity which was higher and more synchronised among groups at lower elevations. Seasonality in nest building activity of caterpillar-hunting and spider-hunting wasps was linked to climate seasonality while in bees it was strongly linked to the availability of flowers, as well as for the survival rate and sex ratio of bees. Finding adaptations to environmental seasonality might imply that further changes in climatic seasonality by climate change could have an influence on life-history traits of tropical mountain species. Chapter 4 - Cryptic species and hidden ecological interactions of halictine bees along an elevational Gradient Strong environmental gradients such as those occurring along mountain slopes are challenging for species. In this context, hidden adaptations or interactions have rarely been considered. We used bees of the genus Lasioglossum as model organisms because Lasioglossum is the only bee genus occurring with a distribution across the entire elevational gradient at Mt. Kilimanjaro. We asked if and how (a) cuticular hydrocarbons (CHC), which act as a desiccation barrier, change in composition and chain length along with changes in temperature and humidity (b), Lasioglossum bees change their pollen diet with changing resource availability, (c) gut microbiota change with pollen diet and climatic conditions, and surface microbiota change with CHC and climatic conditions, respectively, and if changes are rather influenced by turnover in Lasioglossum species along the elevational gradient. We found physiological adaptations with climate in CHC as well as changes in communities with regard to pollen diet and microbiota, which also correlated with each other. These results suggest that complex interactions and feedbacks among abiotic and biotic conditions determine the species composition in a community. Chapter 5 - General Discussion Abiotic and biotic factors drove species diversity, traits and interactions and they worked differently depending on the functional group that has been studied, and whether spatial or temporal units were considered. It is therefore likely, that in the light of global change, different species, traits and interactions will be affected differently. Furthermore, increasing land use intensity could have additional or interacting effects with climate change on biodiversity, even though the potential land-use effects at Mt. Kilimanjaro are still low and not impairing cavity-nesting Hymenoptera so far. Further studies should address species networks which might reveal more sensitive changes. For that purpose, trap nests provide a good model system to investigate effects of global change on multiple trophic levels and may also reveal direct effects of climate change on entire life-history traits when established under different microclimatic conditions. The non-uniform effects of abiotic and biotic conditions on multiple aspects of biodiversity revealed with this study also highlight that evaluating different aspects of biodiversity can give a more comprehensive picture than single observations.}, subject = {land use}, language = {en} } @article{MaihoffFriessHoissetal.2023, author = {Maihoff, Fabienne and Friess, Nicolas and Hoiss, Bernhard and Schmid-Egger, Christian and Kerner, Janika and Neumayer, Johann and Hopfenm{\"u}ller, Sebastian and B{\"a}ssler, Claus and M{\"u}ller, J{\"o}rg and Classen, Alice}, title = {Smaller, more diverse and on the way to the top: Rapid community shifts of montane wild bees within an extraordinary hot decade}, series = {Diversity and Distributions}, volume = {29}, journal = {Diversity and Distributions}, number = {2}, doi = {10.1111/ddi.13658}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-312126}, pages = {272-288}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Aim Global warming is assumed to restructure mountain insect communities in space and time. Theory and observations along climate gradients predict that insect abundance and richness, especially of small-bodied species, will increase with increasing temperature. However, the specific responses of single species to rising temperatures, such as spatial range shifts, also alter communities, calling for intensive monitoring of real-world communities over time. Location German Alps and pre-alpine forests in south-east Germany. Methods We empirically examined the temporal and spatial change in wild bee communities and its drivers along two largely well-protected elevational gradients (alpine grassland vs. pre-alpine forest), each sampled twice within the last decade. Results We detected clear abundance-based upward shifts in bee communities, particularly in cold-adapted bumble bee species, demonstrating the speed with which mobile organisms can respond to climatic changes. Mean annual temperature was identified as the main driver of species richness in both regions. Accordingly, and in large overlap with expectations under climate warming, we detected an increase in bee richness and abundance, and an increase in small-bodied species in low- and mid-elevations along the grassland gradient. Community responses in the pre-alpine forest gradient were only partly consistent with community responses in alpine grasslands. Main Conclusion In well-protected temperate mountain regions, small-bodied bees may initially profit from warming temperatures, by getting more abundant and diverse. Less severe warming, and differences in habitat openness along the forested gradient, however, might moderate species responses. Our study further highlights the utility of standardized abundance data for revealing rapid changes in bee communities over only one decade.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Machwitz2010, author = {Machwitz, Miriam}, title = {Eine raum-zeitliche Modellierung der Kohlenstoffbilanz mit Fernerkundungsdaten auf regionaler Ebene in Westafrika}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-55136}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Der Klimawandel und insbesondere die globale Erw{\"a}rmung geh{\"o}ren aktuell zu den gr{\"o}ßten Herausforderungen an Politik und Wissenschaft. Steigende CO2-Emissionen sind hierbei maßgeblich f{\"u}r die Klimaerw{\"a}rmung verantwortlich. Ein regulierender Faktor beim CO2-Austausch mit der Atmosph{\"a}re ist die Vegetation, welche als CO2-Senke aber auch als CO2-Quelle fungieren kann. Diese Funktionen k{\"o}nnen durch Analysen der Landbedeckungs{\"a}nderung in Kombination mit Modellierungen der Kohlenstoffbilanz quantifiziert werden, was insbesondere von aktuellen und zuk{\"u}nftigen politischen Instrumenten wie CDM (Clean Development Mechanism) oder REDD (Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation) gefordert wird. Vor allem in Regionen mit starker Landbedeckungs{\"a}nderung und hoher Bev{\"o}lkerungsdichte sowie bei geringem Wissen {\"u}ber die Produktivit{\"a}t und CO2-Speicherpotentiale der Vegetation, bedarf es einer Erforschung und Quantifizierung der terrestrischen Kohlenstoffspeicher. Eine Region, f{\"u}r die dies in besonderem Maße zutrifft, ist Westafrika. J{\"u}ngste Studien haben gezeigt, dass sich einerseits die Folgen des Klimawandels und Umweltver{\"a}nderungen sehr stark in Westafrika auswirken werden und andererseits Bev{\"o}lkerungswachstum eine starke {\"A}nderung der Landbedeckung f{\"u}r die Nutzung als agrarische Fl{\"a}che bewirkt hat. Folglich sind in dieser Region die terrestrischen Kohlenstoffspeicher durch Ausdehnung der Landwirtschaft und Waldrodung besonders gef{\"a}hrdet. Große Fl{\"a}chen agieren anstelle ihrer urspr{\"u}nglichen Funktion als CO2-Senke bereits als CO2-Quelle. [...]}, subject = {Carbon dioxide capture and storage}, language = {de} } @phdthesis{Leingaertner2013, author = {Leing{\"a}rtner, Annette}, title = {Combined effects of climate change and extreme events on plants, arthropods and their interactions}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-87758}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2013}, abstract = {I. Global climate change directly and indirectly influences biotic and abiotic components of ecosystems. Changes in abiotic ecosystem components caused by climate change comprise temperature increases, precipitation changes and more frequently occurring extreme events. Mediated by these abiotic changes, biotic ecosystem components including all living organisms will also change. Expected changes of plants and animals are advanced phenologies and range shifts towards higher latitudes and altitudes which presumably induce changes in species interactions and composition. Altitudinal gradients provide an optimal opportunity for climate change studies, because they serve as natural experiments due to fast changing climatic conditions within short distances. In this dissertation two different approaches were conducted to reveal species and community responses to climate change. First, species richness and community trait analyses along an altitudinal gradient in the Bavarian Alps (chapters II, III) and second, climate change manipulation experiments under different climatic contexts (chapters IV, V, IV). II. We performed biodiversity surveys of butterfly and diurnal moth species on 34 grassland sites along an altitudinal gradient in the National Park Berchtesgaden. Additionally, we analysed the dominance structure of life-history traits in butterfly assemblages along altitude. Species richness of butterflies and diurnal moths decreased with increasing altitude. The dominance of certain life-history-traits changed along the altitudinal gradient with a higher proportion of larger-winged species and species with higher egg numbers towards higher altitudes. However, the mean egg maturation time, population density and geographic distribution within butterfly assemblages decreased with increasing altitude. Our results indicate that butterfly assemblages were mainly shaped by environmental filtering. We conclude that butterfly assemblages at higher altitudes will presumably lack adaptive capacity to future climatic conditions, because of specific trait combinations. III. In addition to butterfly and diurnal moth species richness we also studied plant species richness in combination with pollination type analyses along the altitudinal gradient. The management type of the alpine grasslands was also integrated in the analyses to detect combined effects of climate and management on plant diversity and pollination type. Plant species richness was highest at intermediate altitudes, whereby the management type influenced the plant diversity with more plant species at grazed compared to mown or non-managed grasslands. The pollination type was affected by both the changing climate along the gradient and the management type. These results suggest that extensive grazing can maintain high plant diversity along the whole altitudinal gradient. With ongoing climate change the diversity peak of plants may shift upwards, which can cause a decrease in biodiversity due to reduced grassland area but also changes in species composition and adaptive potential of pollination types. IV. We set up manipulation experiments on 15 grassland sites along the altitudinal gradient in order to determine the combined effects of extreme climatic events (extreme drought, advanced and delayed snowmelt) and elevation on the nutritional quality and herbivory rates of alpine plants. The leaf CN (carbon to nitrogen) ratio and the plant damage through herbivores were not significantly affected by the simulated extreme events. However, elevation influenced the CN ratios and herbivory rates of alpine plants with contrasting responses between plant guilds. Furthermore, we found differences in nitrogen concentrations and herbivory rates between grasses, legumes and forbs, whereas legumes had the highest nitrogen concentrations and were damaged most. Additionally, CN ratios and herbivory rates increased during the growing season, indicating a decrease of food plant quality during the growing season. Contrasting altitudinal responses of grasses, legumes and forbs presumably can change the dominance structure among these plant guilds with ongoing climate change. V. In this study we analysed the phenological responses of grassland species to an extreme drought event, advanced and delayed snowmelt along the altitudinal gradient. Advanced snowmelt caused an advanced beginning of flowering, whereas this effect was more pronounced at higher than at lower altitudes. Extreme drought and delayed snowmelt had rather low effects on the flower phenology and the responses did not differ between higher and lower sites. The strongest effect influencing flower phenology was altitude, with a declining effect through the season. The length of flowering duration was not significantly influenced by treatments. Our data suggest that plant species at higher altitudes may be more affected by changes in snowmelt timing in contrast to lowland species, as at higher altitudes more severe changes are expected. However, the risk of extreme drought events on flowering phenology seems to be low. VI. We established soil-emergence traps on the advanced snowmelt and control treatment plots in order to detect possible changes in abundances and emergence phenologies of five arthropod orders due to elevation and treatment. Additionally, we analysed the responses of Coleoptera species richness to elevation and treatment. We found that the abundance and species richness of Coleoptera increased with elevation as well as the abundance of Diptera. However, the abundance of Hemiptera decreased with elevation and the abundances of Araneae and Hymenoptera showed no elevational patterns. The advanced snowmelt treatment increased the abundances of Araneae and Hymenoptera. The emergence of soil-hibernating arthropods was delayed up to seven weeks at higher elevations, whereas advanced snowmelt did not influence the emergence phenology of arthropods immediately after snowmelt. With climate change earlier snowmelt will occur more often, which especially will affect soil-hibernating arthropods in alpine regions and may cause desynchronisations between species interactions. VII. In conclusion, we showed that alpine ecosystems are sensitive towards changing climate conditions and extreme events and that many alpine species in the Bavarian Alps are endangered. Many alpine species could exist under warmer climatic conditions, however they are expected to be outcompeted by more competitive lowland species. Furthermore, host-parasite or predator-prey interactions can be disrupted due to different responses of certain guilds to climate change. Understanding and predicting the complex dynamics and potential risks of future climate change remains a great challenge and therefore further studies analysing species and community responses to climate change are needed.}, subject = {Insekten}, language = {en} } @article{JoschinskiHovestadtKrauss2015, author = {Joschinski, Jens and Hovestadt, Thomas and Krauss, Jochen}, title = {Coping with shorter days: do phenology shifts constrain aphid fitness?}, series = {PeerJ}, volume = {3}, journal = {PeerJ}, number = {e1103}, doi = {10.7717/peerj.1103}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-148382}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Climate change can alter the phenology of organisms. It may thus lead seasonal organisms to face different day lengths than in the past, and the fitness consequences of these changes are as yet unclear. To study such effects, we used the pea aphid Acyrthosiphon pisum as a model organism, as it has obligately asexual clones which can be used to study day length effects without eliciting a seasonal response. We recorded life-history traits under short and long days, both with two realistic temperature cycles with means differing by 2 °C. In addition, we measured the population growth of aphids on their host plant Pisum sativum. We show that short days reduce fecundity and the length of the reproductive period of aphids. Nevertheless, this does not translate into differences at the population level because the observed fitness costs only become apparent late in the individual's life. As expected, warm temperature shortens the development time by 0.7 days/°C, leading to faster generation times. We found no interaction of temperature and day length. We conclude that day length changes cause only relatively mild costs, which may not decelerate the increase in pest status due to climate change.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Hoiss2013, author = {Hoiß, Bernhard}, title = {Effects of climate change, extreme events and management on plants, pollinators and mutualistic interaction networks}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-87919}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2013}, abstract = {I. Climate change comprises average temperatures rise, changes in the distribution of precipitation and an increased amount and intensity of extreme climatic events in the last decades. Considering these serious changes in the abiotic environment it seems obvious that ecosystems also change. Flora and fauna have to adapt to the fast changing conditions, migrate or go extinct. This might result in shifts in biodiversity, species composition, species interactions and in ecosystem functioning and services. Mountains play an important role in the research of these climate impacts. They are hotspots of biodiversity and can be used as powerful natural experiments as they provide, within short distances, the opportunity to research changes in the ecosystem induced by different climatic contexts. In this dissertation two approaches were pursued: i) surveys of biodiversity, trait dominance and assembly rules in communities depending on the climatic context and different management regimes were conducted (chapters II and III) and ii) the effects of experimental climate treatments on essential ecosystem features along the altitudinal gradient were assessed (chapters IV, V and VI). II. We studied the relative importance of management, an altitudinal climatic gradient and their interactions for plant species richness and the dominance of pollination types in 34 alpine grasslands. Species richness peaked at intermediate temperatures and was higher in grazed grasslands compared to non-managed grasslands. We found the climatic context and also management to influence the distribution and dominance structures of wind- and insect-pollinated plants. Our results indicate that extensive grazing maintains high plant diversity over the full subalpine gradient. Rising temperatures may cause an upward shift of the diversity peak of plants and may also result in changed species composition and adaptive potential of pollination types. III. On the same alpine grasslands we studied the impact of the climatic context along an altitudinal gradient on species richness and community assembly in bee communities. Species richness and abundance declined linearly with increasing altitude. Bee species were more closely related at high altitudes than at low altitudes. The proportion of social and ground-nesting species, as well as mean body size and altitudinal range of bees, increased with increasing altitude, whereas the mean geographic distribution decreased. Our results suggest that community assembly at high altitudes is dominated by environmental filtering effects, while the relative importance of competition increases at low altitudes. We conclude that ongoing climate change poses a threat for alpine specialists with adaptations to cool environments but low competitive capacities. IV. We determined the impacts of short-term climate events on flower phenology and assessed whether those impacts differed between lower and higher altitudes. For that we simulated advanced and delayed snowmelt as well as drought events in a multi site experiment along an altitudinal gradient. Flower phenology was strongly affected by altitude, however, this effect declined through the season. The manipulative treatments caused only few changes in flowering phenology. The effects of advanced snowmelt were significantly greater at higher than at lower sites, but altitude did not influence the effect of the other treatments. The length of flowering duration was not significantly influenced by treatments. Our data indicate a rather low risk of drought events on flowering phenology in the Bavarian Alps. V. Changes in the structure of plant-pollinator networks were assessed along an altitudinal gradient combined with the experimental simulation of potential consequences of climate change: extreme drought events, advanced and delayed snowmelt. We found a trend of decreasing specialisation and therefore increasing complexity in networks with increasing altitude. After advanced snowmelt or drought networks were more specialised especially at higher altitudes compared to control plots. Our results show that changes in the network structures after climate manipulations depend on the climatic context and reveal an increasing susceptibility of plant-pollinator networks with increasing altitude. VI. The aim of this study was to determine the combined effects of extreme climatic events and altitude on leaf CN (carbon to nitrogen) ratios and herbivory rates in different plant guilds. We found no overall effect of climate manipulations (extreme drought events, advanced and delayed snowmelt) on leaf CN ratios and herbivory rates. However, plant guilds differed in CN ratios and herbivory rates and responded differently to altitude. CN ratios of forbs (legume and non-legume) decreased with altitude, whereas CN ratios of grasses increased with altitude. Further, CN ratios and herbivory rates increased during the growing season, indicating a decrease of food plant quality during the growing season. Insect herbivory rates were driven by food plant quality. Contrasting altitudinal responses of forbs versus grasses give reason to expect changed dominance structures among plant guilds with ongoing climate change. VII. This dissertation contributes to the understanding of factors that determine the composition and biotic interactions of communities in different climates. The results presented indicate that warmer climates will not only change species richness but also the assembly-rules for plant and bee communities depending on the species' functional traits. Our investigations provide insights in the resilience of different ecosystem features and processes towards climate change and how this resilience depends on the environmental context. It seems that mutualistic interactions are more susceptible to short-term climate events than flowering phenology and antagonistic interactions such as herbivory. However, to draw more general conclusions more empirical data is needed.}, subject = {Klima{\"a}nderung}, language = {en} } @article{ErmertFinkMorseetal.2012, author = {Ermert, Volker and Fink, Andreas H. and Morse, Andrew P. and Paeth, Heiko}, title = {The Impact of Regional Climate Change on Malaria Risk due to Greenhouse Forcing and Land-Use Changes in Tropical Africa}, series = {Environmental Health Perspectives}, volume = {120}, journal = {Environmental Health Perspectives}, number = {1}, doi = {10.1289/ehp.1103681}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-135562}, pages = {77-84}, year = {2012}, abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change will probably alter the spread and transmission intensity of malaria in Africa. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we assessed potential changes in the malaria transmission via an integrated weather disease model. METHODS: We simulated mosquito biting rates using the Liverpool Malaria Model (LMM). The input data for the LMM were bias-corrected temperature and precipitation data from the regional model (REMO) on a 0.5 degrees latitude longitude grid. A Plasmodium falciparum infection model expands the LMM simulations to incorporate information on the infection rate among children. Malaria projections were carried out with this integrated weather disease model for 2001 to 2050 according to two climate scenarios that include the effect of anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on climate. RESULTS: Model-based estimates for the present climate (1960 to 2000) are consistent with observed data for the spread of malaria in Africa. In the model domain, the regions where malaria is epidemic are located in the Sahel as well as in various highland territories. A decreased spread of malaria over most parts of tropical Africa is projected because of simulated increased surface temperatures and a significant reduction in annual rainfall. However, the likelihood of malaria epidemics is projected to increase in the southern part of the Sahel. In most of East Africa, the intensity of malaria transmission is expected to increase. Projections indicate that highland areas that were formerly unsuitable for malaria will become epidemic, whereas in the lower-altitude regions of the East African highlands, epidemic risk will decrease. CONCLUSIONS: We project that climate changes driven by greenhouse-gas and land-use changes will significantly affect the spread of malaria in tropical Africa well before 2050. The geographic distribution of areas where malaria is epidemic might have to be significantly altered in the coming decades.}, language = {en} } @article{DitzelKoenigMusembietal.2022, author = {Ditzel, Pia and K{\"o}nig, Sebastian and Musembi, Peter and Peters, Marcell K.}, title = {Correlation between coral reef condition and the diversity and abundance of fishes and sea urchins on an East African coral reef}, series = {Oceans}, volume = {3}, journal = {Oceans}, number = {1}, issn = {2673-1924}, doi = {10.3390/oceans3010001}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-284503}, pages = {1 -- 14}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Coral reefs are one of the most diverse marine ecosystems, providing numerous ecosystem services. This present study investigated the relationship between coral reef condition and the diversity and abundance of fishes, on a heavily fished East African coral reef at Gazi Bay, Kenya. Underwater visual censuses were conducted on thirty 50 × 5 m belt transects to assess the abundance and diversity of fishes. In parallel, a 25-m length of each of the same transects was recorded with photo-quadrats to assess coral community structure and benthic characteristics. For statistical analyses, multi-model inference based on the Akaike Information Criterion was used to evaluate the support for potential predictor variables of coral reef and fish diversity. We found that coral genus richness was negatively correlated with the abundance of macroalgae, whereas coral cover was positively correlated with both the abundance of herbivorous invertebrates (sea urchins) and with fish family richness. Similarly, fish family richness appeared mainly correlated with coral cover and invertebrate abundance, although no correlates of fish abundance could be identified. Coral and fish diversity were very low, but it appears that, contrary to some locations on the same coast, sea urchin abundance was not high enough to be having a negative influence on coral and fish assemblages. Due to increasing threats to coral reefs, it is important to understand the relationship among the components of the coral reef ecosystem on overfished reefs such as that at Gazi Bay.}, language = {en} } @article{DietzConradKuenzeretal.2014, author = {Dietz, Andreas J. and Conrad, Christopher and Kuenzer, Claudia and Gesell, Gerhard and Dech, Stefan}, title = {Identifying Changing Snow Cover Characteristics in Central Asia between 1986 and 2014 from Remote Sensing Data}, series = {Remote Sensing}, volume = {6}, journal = {Remote Sensing}, number = {12}, issn = {2072-4292}, doi = {10.3390/rs61212752}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-114470}, pages = {12752-12775}, year = {2014}, abstract = {Central Asia consists of the five former Soviet States Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan, therefore comprising an area of similar to 4 Mio km(2). The continental climate is characterized by hot and dry summer months and cold winter seasons with most precipitation occurring as snowfall. Accordingly, freshwater supply is strongly depending on the amount of accumulated snow as well as the moment of its release after snowmelt. The aim of the presented study is to identify possible changes in snow cover characteristics, consisting of snow cover duration, onset and offset of snow cover season within the last 28 years. Relying on remotely sensed data originating from medium resolution imagers, these snow cover characteristics are extracted on a daily basis. The resolution of 500-1000 m allows for a subsequent analysis of changes on the scale of hydrological sub-catchments. Long-term changes are identified from this unique dataset, revealing an ongoing shift towards earlier snowmelt within the Central Asian Mountains. This shift can be observed in most upstream hydro catchments within Pamir and Tian Shan Mountains and it leads to a potential change of freshwater availability in the downstream regions, exerting additional pressure on the already tensed situation.}, language = {en} } @article{CorneliusLeingaertnerHoissetal.2013, author = {Cornelius, Christine and Leing{\"a}rtner, Annette and Hoiss, Bernhard and Krauss, Jochen and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf and Menzel, Annette}, title = {Phenological response of grassland species to manipulative snowmelt and drought along an altitudinal gradient}, series = {Journal of Experimental Botany}, volume = {64}, journal = {Journal of Experimental Botany}, number = {1}, doi = {10.1093/jxb/ers321}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-126888}, pages = {241-251}, year = {2013}, abstract = {Plant communities in the European Alps are assumed to be highly affected by climate change, as the temperature rise in this region is above the global average. It is predicted that higher temperatures will lead to advanced snowmelt dates and that the number of extreme weather events will increase. The aims of this study were to determine the impacts of extreme climatic events on flower phenology and to assess whether those impacts differed between lower and higher altitudes. In 2010, an experiment simulating advanced and delayed snowmelt as well as a drought event was conducted along an altitudinal transect approximately every 250 m (600-2000 m above sea level) in the Berchtesgaden National Park, Germany. The study showed that flower phenology was strongly affected by altitude; however, there were few effects of the manipulative treatments on flowering. The effects of advanced snowmelt were significantly greater at higher than at lower sites, but no significant difference was found between both altitudinal bands for the other treatments. The response of flower phenology to temperature declined through the season and the length of flowering duration was not significantly influenced by treatments. The stronger effect of advanced snowmelt at higher altitudes may be a response to differences in treatment intensity across the gradient. Consequently, shifts in the date of snowmelt due to global warming may affect species more at higher than at lower altitudes, as changes may be more pronounced at higher altitudes. These data indicate a rather low risk of drought events on flowering phenology in the Bavarian Alps.}, language = {en} } @article{ClassenEardleyHempetal.2020, author = {Classen, Alice and Eardley, Connal D. and Hemp, Andreas and Peters, Marcell K. and Peters, Ralph S. and Ssymank, Axel and Steffan-Dewenter, Ingolf}, title = {Specialization of plant-pollinator interactions increases with temperature at Mt. Kilimanjaro}, series = {Ecology and Evolution}, volume = {10}, journal = {Ecology and Evolution}, number = {4}, doi = {10.1002/ece3.6056}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-235959}, pages = {2182-2195}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Aim: Species differ in their degree of specialization when interacting with other species, with significant consequences for the function and robustness of ecosystems. In order to better estimate such consequences, we need to improve our understanding of the spatial patterns and drivers of specialization in interaction networks. Methods: Here, we used the extensive environmental gradient of Mt. Kilimanjaro (Tanzania, East Africa) to study patterns and drivers of specialization, and robustness of plant-pollinator interactions against simulated species extinction with standardized sampling methods. We studied specialization, network robustness and other network indices of 67 quantitative plant-pollinator networks consisting of 268 observational hours and 4,380 plant-pollinator interactions along a 3.4 km elevational gradient. Using path analysis, we tested whether resource availability, pollinator richness, visitation rates, temperature, and/or area explain average specialization in pollinator communities. We further linked pollinator specialization to different pollinator taxa, and species traits, that is, proboscis length, body size, and species elevational ranges. Results: We found that specialization decreased with increasing elevation at different levels of biological organization. Among all variables, mean annual temperature was the best predictor of average specialization in pollinator communities. Specialization differed between pollinator taxa, but was not related to pollinator traits. Network robustness against simulated species extinctions of both plants and pollinators was lowest in the most specialized interaction networks, that is, in the lowlands. Conclusions: Our study uncovers patterns in plant-pollinator specialization along elevational gradients. Mean annual temperature was closely linked to pollinator specialization. Energetic constraints, caused by short activity timeframes in cold highlands, may force ectothermic species to broaden their dietary spectrum. Alternatively or in addition, accelerated evolutionary rates might facilitate the establishment of specialization under warm climates. Despite the mechanisms behind the patterns have yet to be fully resolved, our data suggest that temperature shifts in the course of climate change may destabilize pollination networks by affecting network architecture.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Beyer2001, author = {Beyer, Ulrike}, title = {Regionale Niederschlags{\"a}nderungen in Namibia bei anthropogen verst{\"a}rktem Treibhauseffekt}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-1181615}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2001}, abstract = {Diese Dissertation pr{\"a}sentiert Ergebnisse regionaler Niederschlagsabsch{\"a}tzungen f{\"u}r Namibia bei anthropogen verst{\"a}rktem Treibhauseffekt, die mit der Methode des Statistischen Downscaling erzielt wurden. {\"U}ber statistische Transferfunktionen werden Beziehungen zwischen großskaliger atmosph{\"a}rischer Zirkulation und Namibischen Sommerregen aufgestellt. Dazu werden in einer 30-j{\"a}hrigen Kalibrierungsperiode Hauptkomponenten von Geopotentiellen H{\"o}hen verschiedener atmosph{\"a}rischer Niveaus (300, 500, 1000hPa) mit den Niederschlagsmonatssummen (November bis M{\"a}rz) von 84 Namibischen Stationen durch multiple Regressionsanalysen verkn{\"u}pft, die f{\"u}r jede Station oder alternativ f{\"u}r Gitternetzniederschlagsdaten berechnet werden. Nach der Verifikation der statistischen Zusammenh{\"a}nge in einem unabh{\"a}ngigen Zeitraum werden Regressionsmodelle jener Stationen bzw. Gitterpunkte selektiert, die mit signifikanten Korrelationen von r>0.4 zwischen beobachteten und modellierten Werten ausreichende Qualit{\"a}t garantieren. Diese Modelle werden eingesetzt, um unter Verwendung simulierter ECHAM3-T42 und ECHAM4tr-T42 Geopotentialdaten den lokalen Niederschlag f{\"u}r die jeweiligen Treibhauseffekt-Szenarien abzusch{\"a}tzen. Als zus{\"a}tzliche Methode, um die großskalige atmosph{\"a}rische Zirkulation mit lokalen Stationsdaten zu verkn{\"u}pfen, werden kanonische Korrelationsanalysen durchgef{\"u}hrt. Unabh{\"a}ngig von der Verfahrensweise resultieren f{\"u}r Klimabedingungen dreifacher bzw. transient ansteigender CO2-Konzentrationen im Vergleich zu einem Referenzzeitraum (1961-90) zunehmende Niederschl{\"a}ge in den n{\"o}rdlichen und {\"o}stlichen Teilen Namibias von Dezember bis Februar. In den s{\"u}dlichen und s{\"u}dwestlichen Regionen sind von November bis Januar geringe Abnahmen zu verzeichnen. Die Absch{\"a}tzungen f{\"u}r M{\"a}rz zeigen einen deutlichen R{\"u}ckgang der Niederschl{\"a}ge in ganz Namibia. Diese Ergebnisse weisen auf eine intensivierte, akzentuiertere Regenzeit hin, auch wenn die Gesamtmenge der Niederschl{\"a}ge unter Bedingungen des anthropogen verst{\"a}rkten Treibhauseffekts mehr oder weniger gleich bleibt. Daher ist es von besonderer Bedeutung, die Absch{\"a}tzungen der Niederschlags{\"a}nderungen auf monatlicher Ebene durchzuf{\"u}hren. Weitere Untersuchungen beinhalten die Trennung thermischer und dynamischer Effekte in den zur Absch{\"a}tzung herangezogenen ECHAM3 und ECHAM4 Zirkulationsdaten. Durch die globale Erw{\"a}rmung kommt es zu einer Anhebung der Geopotentiellen H{\"o}hen der Treibhauseffekt-Szenarien. Durch die Korrektur des Uplifting-Prozesses werden dynamisch induzierte Auswirkungen auf das Niederschlagsgeschehen erfasst. {\´A}us der Verwendung uplifting-korrigierter Geopotentialdaten als Pr{\"a}diktoren in der Downscaling-Prozedur resultieren sowohl im positiven als auch negativen Bereich geringere {\"A}nderungsraten in den Absch{\"a}tzungsergebnissen. Ohne Zweifel reagiert das Klimasystem auf den anthropogen verst{\"a}rkten Treibhauseffekt. In Bezug auf zuk{\"u}nftige Namibische Sommerregen ist es von besonderer Bedeutung die Auswirkungen des Treibhauseffekts regional und temporal zu differenzieren.}, subject = {Namibia}, language = {de} } @article{AyanuConradJentschetal.2015, author = {Ayanu, Yohannes and Conrad, Christopher and Jentsch, Anke and Koellner, Thomas}, title = {Unveiling undercover cropland inside forests using landscape variables: a supplement to remote sensing image classification}, series = {PLoS ONE}, volume = {10}, journal = {PLoS ONE}, number = {6}, doi = {10.1371/journal.pone.0130079}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-151686}, pages = {e0130079}, year = {2015}, abstract = {The worldwide demand for food has been increasing due to the rapidly growing global population, and agricultural lands have increased in extent to produce more food crops. The pattern of cropland varies among different regions depending on the traditional knowledge of farmers and availability of uncultivated land. Satellite images can be used to map cropland in open areas but have limitations for detecting undergrowth inside forests. Classification results are often biased and need to be supplemented with field observations. Undercover cropland inside forests in the Bale Mountains of Ethiopia was assessed using field observed percentage cover of land use/land cover classes, and topographic and location parameters. The most influential factors were identified using Boosted Regression Trees and used to map undercover cropland area. Elevation, slope, easterly aspect, distance to settlements, and distance to national park were found to be the most influential factors determining undercover cropland area. When there is very high demand for growing food crops, constrained under restricted rights for clearing forest, cultivation could take place within forests as an undercover. Further research on the impact of undercover cropland on ecosystem services and challenges in sustainable management is thus essential.}, language = {en} } @article{AsareKyeiForkuorVenus2015, author = {Asare-Kyei, Daniel and Forkuor, Gerald and Venus, Valentijn}, title = {Modeling Flood Hazard Zones at the Sub-District Level with the Rational Model Integrated with GIS and Remote Sensing Approaches}, series = {Water}, volume = {7}, journal = {Water}, doi = {10.3390/w7073531}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-151581}, pages = {3531 -- 3564}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Robust risk assessment requires accurate flood intensity area mapping to allow for the identification of populations and elements at risk. However, available flood maps in West Africa lack spatial variability while global datasets have resolutions too coarse to be relevant for local scale risk assessment. Consequently, local disaster managers are forced to use traditional methods such as watermarks on buildings and media reports to identify flood hazard areas. In this study, remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques were combined with hydrological and statistical models to delineate the spatial limits of flood hazard zones in selected communities in Ghana, Burkina Faso and Benin. The approach involves estimating peak runoff concentrations at different elevations and then applying statistical methods to develop a Flood Hazard Index (FHI). Results show that about half of the study areas fall into high intensity flood zones. Empirical validation using statistical confusion matrix and the principles of Participatory GIS show that flood hazard areas could be mapped at an accuracy ranging from 77\% to 81\%. This was supported with local expert knowledge which accurately classified 79\% of communities deemed to be highly susceptible to flood hazard. The results will assist disaster managers to reduce the risk to flood disasters at the community level where risk outcomes are first materialized.}, language = {en} } @article{AlavipanahWegmannQureshietal.2015, author = {Alavipanah, Sadroddin and Wegmann, Martin and Qureshi, Salman and Weng, Qihao and Koellner, Thomas}, title = {The role of vegetation in mitigating urban land surface temperatures: a case study of Munich, Germany during the warm season}, series = {Sustainability}, volume = {7}, journal = {Sustainability}, doi = {10.3390/su7044689}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-143447}, pages = {4689-4706}, year = {2015}, abstract = {The Urban Heat Island (UHI) is the phenomenon of altered increased temperatures in urban areas compared to their rural surroundings. UHIs grow and intensify under extreme hot periods, such as during heat waves, which can affect human health and also increase the demand for energy for cooling. This study applies remote sensing and land use/land cover (LULC) data to assess the cooling effect of varying urban vegetation cover, especially during extreme warm periods, in the city of Munich, Germany. To compute the relationship between Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Land Use Land Cover (LULC), MODIS eight-day interval LST data for the months of June, July and August from 2002 to 2012 and the Corine Land Cover (CLC) database were used. Due to similarities in the behavior of surface temperature of different CLCs, some classes were reclassified and combined to form two major, rather simplified, homogenized classes: one of built-up area and one of urban vegetation. The homogenized map was merged with the MODIS eight-day interval LST data to compute the relationship between them. The results revealed that (i) the cooling effect accrued from urban vegetation tended to be non-linear; and (ii) a remarkable and stronger cooling effect in terms of LST was identified in regions where the proportion of vegetation cover was between seventy and almost eighty percent per square kilometer. The results also demonstrated that LST within urban vegetation was affected by the temperature of the surrounding built-up and that during the well-known European 2003 heat wave, suburb areas were cooler from the core of the urbanized region. This study concluded that the optimum green space for obtaining the lowest temperature is a non-linear trend. This could support urban planning strategies to facilitate appropriate applications to mitigate heat-stress in urban area.}, language = {en} } @article{AkhundzadahSoltaniAich2020, author = {Akhundzadah, Noor Ahmad and Soltani, Salim and Aich, Valentin}, title = {Impacts of climate change on the water resources of the Kunduz River Basin, Afghanistan}, series = {Climate}, volume = {8}, journal = {Climate}, number = {10}, issn = {2225-1154}, doi = {10.3390/cli8100102}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-213199}, year = {2020}, abstract = {The Kunduz River is one of the main tributaries of the Amu Darya Basin in North Afghanistan. Many communities live in the Kunduz River Basin (KRB), and its water resources have been the basis of their livelihoods for many generations. This study investigates climate change impacts on the KRB catchment. Rare station data are, for the first time, used to analyze systematic trends in temperature, precipitation, and river discharge over the past few decades, while using Mann-Kendall and Theil-Sen trend statistics. The trends show that the hydrology of the basin changed significantly over the last decades. A comparison of landcover data of the river basin from 1992 and 2019 shows significant changes that have additional impact on the basin hydrology, which are used to interpret the trend analysis. There is considerable uncertainty due to the data scarcity and gaps in the data, but all results indicate a strong tendency towards drier conditions. An extreme warming trend, partly above 2 °C since the 1960s in combination with a dramatic precipitation decrease by more than -30\% lead to a strong decrease in river discharge. The increasing glacier melt compensates the decreases and leads to an increase in runoff only in the highland parts of the upper catchment. The reduction of water availability and the additional stress on the land leads to a strong increase of barren land and a reduction of vegetation cover. The detected trends and changes in the basin hydrology demand an active management of the already scarce water resources in order to sustain water supply for agriculture and ecosystems in the KRB.}, language = {en} } @article{AichAkhundzadahKnuerretal.2017, author = {Aich, Valentin and Akhundzadah, Noor Ahmad and Knuerr, Alec and Khoshbeen, Ahmad Jamshed and Hattermann, Fred and Paeth, Heiko and Scanlon, Andrew and Paton, Eva Nora}, title = {Climate change in Afghanistan deduced from reanalysis and coordinated regional climate downscaling experiment (CORDEX)—South Asia Simulations}, series = {Climate}, volume = {5}, journal = {Climate}, number = {2}, issn = {2225-1154}, doi = {10.3390/cli5020038}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-198024}, pages = {38}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Past and the projected future climate change in Afghanistan has been analyzed systematically and differentiated with respect to its different climate regions to gain some first quantitative insights into Afghanistan's vulnerability to ongoing and future climate changes. For this purpose, temperature, precipitation and five additional climate indices for extremes and agriculture assessments (heavy precipitation; spring precipitation; growing season length (GSL), the Heat Wave Magnitude Index (HWMI); and the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI)) from the reanalysis data were examined for their consistency to identify changes in the past (data since 1950). For future changes (up to the year 2100), the same parameters were extracted from an ensemble of 12 downscaled regional climate models (RCM) of the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX)-South Asia simulations for low and high emission scenarios (Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5 and 8.5). In the past, the climatic changes were mainly characterized by a mean temperature increase above global level of 1.8 °C from 1950 to 2010; uncertainty with regard to reanalyzed rainfall data limited a thorough analysis of past changes. Climate models projected the temperature trend to accelerate in the future, depending strongly on the global carbon emissions (2006-2050 Representative Concentration Pathways 4.5/8.5: 1.7/2.3 °C; 2006-2099: 2.7/6.4 °C, respectively). Despite the high uncertainty with regard to precipitation projections, it became apparent that the increasing evapotranspiration is likely to exacerbate Afghanistan's already existing water stress, including a very strong increase of frequency and magnitude of heat waves. Overall, the results show that in addition to the already extensive deficiency in adaptation to current climate conditions, the situation will be aggravated in the future, particularly in regard to water management and agriculture. Thus, the results of this study underline the importance of adequate adaptation to climate change in Afghanistan. This is even truer taking into account that GSL is projected to increase substantially by around 20 days on average until 2050, which might open the opportunity for extended agricultural husbandry or even additional harvests when water resources are properly managed.}, language = {en} }