@article{Schamel2017, author = {Schamel, Johannes}, title = {A demographic perspective on the spatial behaviour of hikers in mountain areas: the example of Berchtesgaden National Park}, series = {eco.mont - Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management}, volume = {9}, journal = {eco.mont - Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management}, number = {Special issue}, issn = {2073-1558}, doi = {10.1553/eco.mont-9-sis66}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-172128}, pages = {66-74}, year = {2017}, abstract = {In Germany, as in many Western societies, demographic change will lead to a higher number of senior visitors to natural recreational areas and national parks. Given the high physiological requirements of many outdoor recreation activities, especially in mountain areas, it seems likely that demographic change will affect the spatial behaviour of national park visitors, which may pose a challenge to the management of these areas. With the help of GPS tracking and a standardized questionnaire (n=481), this study empirically investigates the spatial behaviour of demographic age brackets in Berchtesgaden National Park (NP) and the potential effects of demographic change on the use of the area. Cluster analysis revealed four activity types in the study area. More than half of the groups with visitors aged 60 and older belong to the activity type of Walker.}, language = {en} } @article{PaethPaxianSeinetal.2017, author = {Paeth, Heiko and Paxian, Andreas and Sein, Dimitry V. and Jacob, Daniela and Panitz, Hans-J{\"u}rgen and Warscher, Michael and Fink, Andreas H. and Kunstmann, Harald and Breil, Marcus and Engel, Thomas and Krause, Andreas and Toedter, Julian and Ahrens, Bodo}, title = {Decadal and multi-year predictability of the West African monsoon and the role of dynamical downscaling}, series = {Meteorologische Zeitschrift}, volume = {26}, journal = {Meteorologische Zeitschrift}, number = {4}, doi = {10.1127/metz/2017/0811}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-172018}, pages = {363-377}, year = {2017}, abstract = {West African summer monsoon precipitation is characterized by distinct decadal variability. Due to its welldocumented link to oceanic boundary conditions in various ocean basins it represents a paradigm for decadal predictability. In this study, we reappraise this hypothesis for several sub-regions of sub-Saharan West Africa using the new German contribution to the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5 (CMIP5) near-term prediction system. In addition, we assume that dynamical downscaling of the global decadal predictions leads to an enhanced predictive skill because enhanced resolution improves the atmospheric response to oceanic forcing and landsurface feedbacks. Based on three regional climate models, a heterogeneous picture is drawn: none of the regional climate models outperforms the global decadal predictions or all other regional climate models in every region nor decade. However, for every test case at least one regional climate model was identified which outperforms the global predictions. The highest predictive skill is found in the western and central Sahel Zone with correlation coefficients and mean-square skill scores exceeding 0.9 and 0.8, respectively.}, language = {en} } @article{BenderRothJob2017, author = {Bender, Oliver and Roth, Charlotte E. and Job, Hubert}, title = {Protected areas and population development in the alps}, series = {eco.mont : Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management}, volume = {9}, journal = {eco.mont : Journal on Protected Mountain Areas Research and Management}, number = {Special issue}, doi = {10.1553/eco.mont-9-sis5}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-181901}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Nearly a quarter of the Alpine area is covered by a dense network of large protected areas (LPAs) of the four categories national park(NP), biosphere reserve (BR), nature park and world natural heritage site (WNHS). From the time of early industrialization, the Alpine area has undergone a mixed and increasingly polarized demographic development between the poles of immigration and emigration. This article investigates the possible mutual impact of population development and the existence of LPAs. The research design includes a quantitative survey of all Alpine LPAs in terms of their population development and the structure of immigration in the first decade of the 21st century. This will be linked with qualitative expert interviews in four selected NPs. The overall results allow an interpretation of the statistical correlations between type of LPA and migration.}, language = {en} } @article{BanksMillardBehnamianetal.2017, author = {Banks, Sarah and Millard, Koreen and Behnamian, Amir and White, Lori and Ullmann, Tobias and Charbonneau, Francois and Chen, Zhaohua and Wang, Huili and Pasher, Jon and Duffe, Jason}, title = {Contributions of actual and simulated satellite SAR data for substrate type differentiation and shoreline mapping in the Canadian Arctic}, series = {Remote Sensing}, volume = {9}, journal = {Remote Sensing}, number = {12}, doi = {10.3390/rs9121206}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-172630}, year = {2017}, abstract = {Detailed information on the land cover types present and the horizontal position of the land-water interface is needed for sensitive coastal ecosystems throughout the Arctic, both to establish baselines against which the impacts of climate change can be assessed and to inform response operations in the event of environmental emergencies such as oil spills. Previous work has demonstrated potential for accurate classification via fusion of optical and SAR data, though what contribution either makes to model accuracy is not well established, nor is it clear what shorelines can be classified using optical or SAR data alone. In this research, we evaluate the relative value of quad pol RADARSAT-2 and Landsat 5 data for shoreline mapping by individually excluding both datasets from Random Forest models used to classify images acquired over Nunavut, Canada. In anticipation of the RADARSAT Constellation Mission (RCM), we also simulate and evaluate dual and compact polarimetric imagery for shoreline mapping. Results show that SAR data is needed for accurate discrimination of substrates as user's and producer's accuracies were 5-24\% higher for models constructed with quad pol RADARSAT-2 and DEM data than models constructed with Landsat 5 and DEM data. Models based on simulated RCM and DEM data achieved significantly lower overall accuracies (71-77\%) than models based on quad pol RADARSAT-2 and DEM data (80\%), with Wetland and Tundra being most adversely affected. When classified together with Landsat 5 and DEM data, however, model accuracy was less affected by the SAR data type, with multiple polarizations and modes achieving independent overall accuracies within a range acceptable for operational mapping, at 89-91\%. RCM is expected to contribute positively to ongoing efforts to monitor change and improve emergency preparedness throughout the Arctic.}, language = {en} }