@misc{Schaper2018, type = {Master Thesis}, author = {Schaper, Anna-Katharina}, title = {Conquering China's Second-Tier Cities: An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between a City's Degree of Internationalization and Foreign Companies' Market Entry Decisions in China's Second-Tier Cities}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-161329}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2018}, abstract = {China's emerging second-tier cities attract more and more foreign companies that are looking for business opportunities. Although much has been written about companies' internationalization strategies, including companies' market entry decisions and market entry mode strategies, research on the relationship between a city's degree of internationalization and foreign companies' market entry decisions and market entry mode strategies in second-tier cities in China is still relatively scarce. Thus, the central research question of this study is: Why and how does a second-tier city's degree of internationalization influence foreign companies' market entry decisions and market entry mode strategies in second-tier China? This study is based on a qualitative research approach; an embedded multiple-case study is applied and interviews with two different target groups are conducted. The first target group consists of foreign companies having established business operations in China's second-tier cities directly and have had no previous business operations in first-tier cites. The second group is made up of foreign companies that initially operated in first-tier China, and then moved to second-tier cities. The company sample compromises small- and medium-sized foreign companies with various industry backgrounds and market entry modes in Chengdu and Chongqing. Since 2015, Maxxelli has been publishing its China International City Index (CICI) on a yearly basis in which it measures and compares China's cities' degree of internationalization. Because Maxxelli revised this year's CICI methodology comprehensively, this study also aims at feedback to improve the overall CICI. This study concludes that a second-tier city's degree of internationalization is particularly important to foreign companies having first set up in Chinese first-tier cities. Companies having established themselves in second-tier cities directly, do not pay a lot of direct attention to a city's degree of internationalization and tend to base their market entry decisions more on business opportunities they identify in a city. In addition, this study argues that in most cases a city's degree of internationalization does not influence the type of market entry mode companies choose to enter second-tier China.}, subject = {China}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Awoye2015, author = {Awoye, Oy{\´e}monbad{\´e} Herv{\´e} Rodrigue}, title = {Implications of future climate change on agricultural production in tropical West Africa: evidence from the Republic of Benin}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-122887}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Environmental interlinked problems such as human-induced land cover change, water scarcity, loss in soil fertility, and anthropogenic climate change are expected to affect the viability of agriculture and increase food insecurity in many developing countries. Climate change is certainly the most serious of these challenges for the twenty-first century. The poorest regions of the world - tropical West Africa included - are the most vulnerable due to their high dependence on climate and weather sensitive activities such as agriculture, and the widespread poverty that limits the institutional and economic capacities to adapt to the new stresses brought about by climate change. Climate change is already acting negatively on the poor smallholders of tropical West Africa whose livelihoods dependent mainly on rain-fed agriculture that remains the cornerstone of the economy in the region. Adaptation of the agricultural systems to climate change effects is, therefore, crucial to secure the livelihoods of these rural communities. Since information is a key for decision-making, it is important to provide well-founded information on the magnitude of the impacts in order to design appropriate and sustainable adaptation strategies. Considering the case of agricultural production in the Republic of Benin, this study aims at using large-scale climatic predictors to assess the potential impacts of past and future climate change on agricultural productivity at a country scale in West Africa. Climate signals from large-scale circulation were used because state-of-the art regional climate models (RCM) still do not perfectly resolve synoptic and mesoscale convective processes. It was hypothesised that in rain-fed systems with low investments in agricultural inputs, yield variations are widely governed by climatic factors. Starting with pineapple, a perennial fruit crops, the study further considered some annual crops such as cotton in the group of fibre crops, maize, sorghum and rice in the group of cereals, cowpeas and groundnuts belonging to the legume crops, and cassava and yams which are root and tuber crops. Thus the selected crops represented the three known groups of photosynthetic pathways (i.e. CAM, C3, and C4 plants). In the study, use was made of the historical agricultural yield statistics for the Republic of Benin, observed precipitation and mean near-surface air temperature data from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU TS 3.1) and the corresponding variables simulated by the regional climate model (RCM) REMO. REMO RCM was driven at its boundaries by the global climate model ECHAM 5. Simulations with different greenhouse gas concentrations (SRES-A1B and B1 emission scenarios) and transient land cover change scenarios for present-day and future conditions were considered. The CRU data were submitted to empirical orthogonal functions analysis over the north hemispheric part of Africa to obtain large-scale observed climate predictors and associated consistent variability modes. REMO RCM data for the same region were projected on the derived climate patterns to get simulated climate predictors. By means of cross-validated Model Output Statistics (MOS) approach combined with Bayesian model averaging (BMA) techniques, the observed climate predictors and the crop predictand were further on used to derive robust statistical relationships. The robust statistical crop models perform well with high goodness-of-fit coefficients (e.g. for all combined crop models: 0.49 ≤ R2 ≤ 0.99; 0.28 ≤ Brier-Skill-Score ≤ 0.90). Provided that REMO RCM captures the main features of the real African climate system and thus is able to reproduce its inter-annual variability, the time-independent statistical transfer functions were then used to translate future climate change signal from the simulated climate predictors into attainable crop yields/crop yield changes. The results confirm that precipitation and air temperature governed agricultural production in Benin in general, and particularly, pineapple yield variations are mainly influenced by temperature. Furthermore, the projected yield changes under future anthropogenic climate change during the first-half of the 21st century amount up to -12.5\% for both maize and groundnuts, and -11\%, -29\%, -33\% for pineapple, cassava, and cowpeas respectively. Meanwhile yield gain of up to +10\% for sorghum and yams, +24\% for cotton, and +39\% for rice are expected. Over the time period 2001 - 2050, on average the future yield changes range between -3\% and -13\% under REMO SRES-B1 (GHG)+LCC, -2\% and -11\% under REMO SRES-A1B (GHG only),and -3\% and -14\% under REMO SRES-A1B (GHG)+LCC for pineapple, maize, sorghum, groundnuts, cowpeas and cassava. In the meantime for yams, cotton and rice, the average yield gains lie in interval of about +2\% to +7\% under REMO SRES-B1 (GHG)+LCC, +0.1\% and +12\% under REMO SRES-A1B (GHG only), and +3\% and +10\% under REMO SRES-A1B (GHG)+LCC. For sorghum, although the long-term average future yield depicts a reduction there are tendencies towards increasing yields in the future. The results also reveal that the increases in mean air temperature more than the changes in precipitation patterns are responsible for the projected yield changes. As well the results suggest that the reductions in pineapple yields cannot be attributed to the land cover/land use changes across sub-Saharan Africa. The production of groundnuts and in particular yams and cotton will profit from the on-going land use/land cover changes while the other crops will face detrimental effects. Henceforth, policymakers should take effective measures to limit the on-going land degradation processes and all other anthropogenic actions responsible for temperature increase. Biotechnological improvement of the cultivated crop varieties towards development of set of seed varieties adapted to hotter and dry conditions should be included in the breeding pipeline programs. Amongst other solutions, application of appropriate climate-smart agricultural practices and conservation agriculture are also required to offset the negative impacts of climate change in agriculture.}, subject = {Benin}, language = {en} } @techreport{Segueda2015, type = {Working Paper}, author = {Segueda, Wendpanga Eric}, title = {Imported Religions, Colonialism and the Situation of Women in Africa}, edition = {1}, issn = {2199-4315}, doi = {10.25972/OPUS-12240}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-122400}, pages = {24}, year = {2015}, abstract = {Women are a key to development, and gender is crucial to development policies. However, Western development organisations often promote gender equality as something valued in the West, or even as a new idea altogether, rather than taking the time to research how it was rooted in African societies. The same holds true for many Africans who frequently argue that gender equality is a Western idea. This paper intents to show that gender equality or complementarity is not an altogether new phenomenon to African societies, but that it existed in pre-colonial Africa. Raising awareness on this within African societies can help to put in place strategies for gender equality and facilitate change from within.}, subject = {Afrika}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Vogt2014, author = {Vogt, Gernot}, title = {Future changes and signal analyses of climate means and extremes in the Mediterranean Area deduced from a CMIP3 multi-model ensemble}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-117369}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2014}, abstract = {Considering its social, economic and natural conditions the Mediterranean Area is a highly vulnerable region by designated affections of climate change. Furthermore, its climatic characteristics are subordinated to high natural variability and are steered by various elements, leading to strong seasonal alterations. Additionally, General Circulation Models project compelling trends in specific climate variables within this region. These circumstances recommend this region for the scientific analyses conducted within this study. Based on the data of the CMIP3 database, the fundamental aim of this study is a detailed investigation of the total variability and the accompanied uncertainty, which superpose these trends, in the projections of temperature, precipitation and sea-level pressure by GCMs and their specific realizations. Special focus in the whole study is dedicated to the German model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. Following this ambition detailed trends and mean values are calculated and displayed for meaningful time periods and compared to reanalysis data of ERA40 and NCEP. To provide quantitative comparison the mentioned data are interpolated to a common 3x3° grid. The total amount of variability is separated in its contributors by the application of an Analysis of Variance (ANOVA). For individual GCMs and their ensemble-members this is done with the application of a 1-way ANOVA, separating a treatment common to all ensemble-members and variability perturbating the signal given by different initial conditions. With the 2-way ANOVA the projections of numerous models and their realizations are analysed and the total amount of variability is separated into a common treatment effect, a linear bias between the models, an interaction coefficient and the residuals. By doing this, the study is fulfilled in a very detailed approach, by considering yearly and seasonal variations in various reasonable time periods of 1961-2000 to match up with the reanalysis data, from 1961-2050 to provide a transient time period, 2001-2098 with exclusive regard on future simulations and 1901-2098 to comprise a time period of maximum length. The statistical analyses are conducted for regional-averages on the one hand and with respect to individual grid-cells on the other hand. For each of these applications the SRES scenarios of A1B, A2 and B1 are utilized. Furthermore, the spatial approach of the ANOVA is substituted by a temporal approach detecting the temporal development of individual variables. Additionally, an attempt is made to enlarge the signal by applying selected statistical methods. In the detailed investigation it becomes evident, that the different parameters (i.e. length of temporal period, geographic location, climate variable, season, scenarios, models, etc…) have compelling impact on the results, either in enforcing or weakening them by different combinations. This holds on the one hand for the means and trends but also on the other hand for the contributions of the variabilities affecting the uncertainty and the signal. While temperature is a climate variable showing strong signals across these parameters, for precipitation mainly the noise comes to the fore, while for sea-level pressure a more differentiated result manifests. In turn, this recommends the distinguished consideration of the individual parameters in climate impact studies and processes in model generation, as the affecting parameters also provide information about the linkage within the system. Finally, an investigation of extreme precipitation is conducted, implementing the variables of the total amount of heavy precipitation, the frequency of heavy-precipitation events, the percentage of this heavy precipitation to overall precipitation and the mean daily intensity from events of heavy precipitation. Each time heavy precipitation is defined to exceed the 95th percentile of overall precipitation. Consecutively mean values of these variables are displayed for ECHAM5/MPI-OM and the multi-model mean and climate sensitivities, by means of their difference between their average of the past period of 1981-2000 and the average of one of the future periods of 2046-2065 or 2081-2100. Following this investigation again an ANOVA is conducted providing a quantitative measurement of the severity of change of trends in heavy precipitation across several GCMs. Besides it is a difficult task to account for extreme precipitation by GCMs, it is noteworthy that the investigated models differ highly in their projections, resulting partially in a more smoothed and meaningful multi-model mean. Seasonal alterations of the strength of this behaviour are quantitatively supported by the ANOVA.}, subject = {Klimaschwankung}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Neuhaeuser2014, author = {Neuh{\"a}user, Bettina}, title = {Landslide Susceptibility and Climate Change Scenarios in Flysch Areas of the Eastern Alps}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-108582}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2014}, abstract = {The topic of the present study focuses on landslide susceptibility assessment in the Northern Vienna Forest by GIS-based, statistic-probabilistic and deterministic modelling. The study is based on two complementary approaches for integrated landslide susceptibility assessment, which is not limited to one single methodology and its inherent assumptions. A statistic-probabilistic method is applied to the whole region of the Northern Vienna Forest. This regional model investigates the basic disposition for landslides under consideration of controlling factors, which are persistent and more or less constant over time. A deterministic method is applied on a larger scale in a sub-study site of the Hagenbach Valley. These detailed models aim to investigate the variable disposition as a function of substrate wetness, which is in turn dependent on meteorological conditions. A main aspect of the work is the development of various wetness scenarios, which consider short-term weather phenomena, like heavy or long-lasting rainfall, but which also investigate the influence of meteorological and climate conditions on slope stability, which may vary in mid-term and long-term. Furthermore, the assessment of the effects of climate change on the disposition for landslides is a major aspect of the study. Hence, average changes in air temperature and precipitation as predicted by Regional Climate Models are incorporated into modelling. In this context, it is tested whether changes in substrate wetness and thus in slope stability can be identified and quantified as a consequence of changed climate conditions. As further objective shallow slope movements are incorporated into disposition modelling. According to geomorphological and sedimentological studies, these quaternary sediments are essential for slope formation in the Vienna Forest. In general, it is assumed that landslides primarily occur in weathered flysch sandstones rich in marl. Field-based surveys, however, identified shallow landslide activity in the quaternary sediments covering the flysch bedrock in wide areas. Therefore, the influence of these sediments on slope dynamics is studied in the present work within GIS-based slope stability models. The results of the statistic-probabilistic landslide susceptibility assessment provide information on the basic disposition of the Northern Vienna Forest for landslides. The resulting regional susceptibility map reveals that the Northern Zone, a tectonic unit in the north of the study area, has extensive areas with the highest degree of landslide susceptibility. In this overthrust area in transition to the Molasse Zone there are geological units which are highly susceptible to landslides. The "Wolfpassing Formation" and the "Calcareous Klippen" of the Northern Zone show significant landslide densities. These geological zones start in the north near St. Andr{\"a}-W{\"o}rdern and continue in south-western direction along the ridges of Tulbinger Kogel, Klosterberg, Frauenberg, and Eichberg. Statistical weighting carried out in the course of regional landslide susceptibility assessment provides information on the spatial relation between landslide processes and specific controlling factors. The modelling highlights the relevance of zones rich in clay within the flysch formations as controlling geofactor. The highest landslide susceptibility is calculated for the geological units, which contain layers of Gaultflysch rich in clay and shale. Furthermore, a close correlation between the distribution of landslides on the one hand and the spatial distribution of the fault system and nappe boundaries on the other hand is ascertained. Hence, the tectonic conditions can be seen as crucial controlling geofactor for landslide activity in the study area. In the proximity of drainage lines an increased landslide frequency is revealed. In combination with heavy rainfall, torrential discharge can occur in creeks and may cause instabilities in adjacent hillslopes. In addition, the model documents an enhancement of landslide susceptibility on north-west facing slopes. In comparison to meteorological data it is obvious that the north-west exposition corresponds to the prevailing wind direction of the study area. Therefore, north-west facing slopes might be exposed to enhanced advective rainfall amounts, which can increase substrate wetness and thus landslide susceptibility. The latter geofactors indicate the significance of meteorological and hydrological conditions for the occurrence of landslides in the study area. As described above, the regional assessment is based on controlling factors that are persistent over a long period of time and can therefore be considered as constant. On the contrary, the large-scale, physically based deterministic modelling investigates the disposition for landslides under variable humidity conditions in the substrate. In conclusion it can be stated that the disposition for slope instability is strongly varying in dependence of the humidity conditions in the substrate. A heavy rainfall event causes a drastic reduction of stable areas by 23\% compared to monthly average wetness conditions in summer (July). In summary the wetness scenarios demonstrate, that apart from short-term weather conditions, like long-lasting or heavy rainfall, the long-term-development of substrate moisture has impact on slope stability. The more persistent, seasonally fluctuating wetness conditions show measureable influence on slope stability: As a consequence of increased topographic wetness in the winter month February there is an increase of instable areas by 5\% in comparison with the summer month July. The modelling further revealed that quaternary sediments are more moisture sensitive and the influence of changing wetness conditions is stronger in these layers than in the bedrock. The results of modelling, which are based on climate change, indicate that a moderate change of slope stability on a monthly average is possible in comparison to the conditions of the climate normal period. An assumed average monthly temperature increase of 2°C in combination with a precipitation increase of 30\% in the winter months lead to an augmentation of recharge of 7\% in the model in comparison with the long-term average conditions. Due to this increased recharge, there is a slight increase of topographic wetness in the model. This wetness augmentation results in an extension of instable slope areas by 3\% and a reduction of the stable slope areas proportional to this extension. This slightly increased instability reduces critical triggering thresholds for single rainfall events meaning that even lower precipitation amounts or intensities can cause instabilities. In contrast to the winter months, the incorporation of forecasted climate change into the modelling reveals a reduction of instable slope areas in favour of stable areas in the summer scenario. The forecasted average air temperature increase of 2.5°C in combination with a reduction of the average monthly precipitation amount of 15\% drastically decreases substrate moisture. Consequently, instable slope areas are reduced by 11\% of the study area. This effect on slope stability in the model mainly results from the reduced monthly rainfall amounts, but also from increased evapotranspiration as a consequence of the increased air temperature causing reduced recharge amounts. However, in spite of the monthly decrease of precipitation amounts, precipitation intensities are probable to rise according to climate studies. In this context the results of the modelling indicate, that a drastic, short-term increase of landslide disposition due to heavy rainfall events has to be expected more frequently in summer. The results of the complementary methods are then assembled. Based on this synthesis the following conclusion can be drawn: The regional landslide susceptibility assessment yields that hillslopes with an inclination of 26° to 31° are highly landslide prone. The physically based models indicate that in this slope gradient range the presence of quaternary sediments is of major importance for landslides. Therefore, it can be concluded that a considerable portion of known landslides mapped in flysch actually occurred in quaternary sediments.}, subject = {Wienerwald}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Roedder2014, author = {R{\"o}dder, Tobias}, title = {Spatio-temporal assessment of dynamics in discontinuous mountain permafrost - Investigation of small-scale influences on the ground thermal regime and active layer processes during snow melt}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-90629}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2014}, abstract = {The discontinuous mountain permafrost zone is characterized by its heterogeneous distribution of frozen ground and a small-scale variability of the ground thermal regime. Large parts of these areas are covered by glacial till and sediments that were exposed after the recession of the glaciers since the 19th century. As response to changed climatic conditions permafrost-affected areas will lose their ability as sediment storage and on the contrary, they will act as source areas for unconsolidated debris. Along with modified precipitation patterns the degradation of the discontinuous mountain permafrost zone will (temporarily) increase its predisposition for mass movement processes and thus has to be monitored in a differentiated way. Therefore, the spatio-temporal dynamics of frozen ground are assessed in this study based on results obtained in three glacier forefields in the Engadin (Swiss Alps) and at the Zugspitze (German Alps). Sophisticated techniques are required to uncover structural differences in the subsurface. Thus, the applicability of advanced geophysical methods is tested for alpine environments and proved by the good 3D-delineation of a permafrost body and by the detection of detailed processes in the active layer during snow melt. Electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) approaches (quasi-3D, daily monitoring) reveal their capabilities to detect subsurface resistivity changes both, in space and time. Processes and changes in regard to liquid water content and ice content are observed to exist at short distances even though the active layer is not subject to a considerable thickening over the past 7 years. The stability of the active layer is verified by borehole temperature data. No synchronous trend is recognized in permafrost temperatures and together with multi-annual electrical resistivity data they indicate degradation and aggradation processes to occur at the same time. Different heat transfer mechanisms, especially during winter, are recognized by means of temperature sensors above, at, and beneath the surface. Based on surface and borehole temperature data the snow cover is assessed as the major controlling factor for the thermal regime on a local scale. Beyond that, the debris size of the substrate, which modifies the snow cover and regulates air exchange processes above the ground, plays a crucial role as an additional buffer layer. A fundamental control over the stability of local permafrost patches is attributed to the ice-rich transient layer at the base of the active layer. The refreezing of melt water in spring is illustrated with diurnal ERT monitoring data from glacier forefield Murt{\`e}l. Based on these ERT and borehole temperature data a conceptual model of active layer processes between autumn and spring is developed. The latent heat that is inherent in the transient layer protects the permafrost beneath from additional energy input from the surface as long as the refreezing of melt water in spring prevails and sufficient ice is build up each spring. Permafrost sites without a transient layer show considerably higher temperatures at their table and are more prone to degradation in the years and decades ahead. As main investigation area a glacier forefield beneath the summits of Piz Murt{\`e}l and Piz Corvatsch in the Swiss Engadin was chosen. It is located west of the well-known rock glacier Murt{\`e}l. Here, a permafrost body inside and adjacent to the lateral moraine was investigated and could be delineated very well. In the surrounding glacier forefield no further indications of permafrost occurrence could be made. Geophysical data and temperature values from the surface and from a permafrost borehole were compared with long-term data from proximate glacier forefield Muragl (Engadin). Results from both sites show a considerable stability of the active layer depth in summer while at the same time geophysical data demonstrate annual changes in the amount of liquid water content and ice content in the course of years. A third investigation area is located in the German Alps. The Zugspitzplatt is a high mountain valley with considerably more precipitation and thicker snow cover compared to both Swiss sites. In close proximity to the present glacier and at a large talus slope beneath the summit crest ground ice could be observed. The high subsurface resistivity values and comparable data from existing studies at the Zugspitze may indicate the presence of sedimentary ice in the subsurface of the karstified Zugspitzplatt. Based on these complementary data from geophysical and temperature measurements as well as geomorphological field mapping the development of permafrost in glacier forefields under climate change conditions is analyzed with cooperation partners from the SPCC project. Ground temperature simulations forced with long-term climatological data are modeled to assess future permafrost development in glacier forefield Murt{\`e}l. Results suggest that permafrost is stable as long as the ice-rich layer between the active layer and the permafrost table exists. After a tipping point is reached, the disintegration of frozen ground starts to proceed rapidly from the top.}, subject = {Engadin}, language = {en} } @article{Andres2013, author = {Andres, Katharina}, title = {'Fashion's Final Frontier': The Correlation of Gender Roles and Fashion in Star Trek}, series = {Culture Unbound}, volume = {5}, journal = {Culture Unbound}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-128827}, pages = {639-649}, year = {2013}, abstract = {Since its creation in 1966, Star Trek has been a dominant part of popular culture and as thus served as the source for many cultural references. Star Trek's creator Gene Roddenberry wanted to realize his vision of a utopia but at the same time, he used the futuristic setting of the show to comment on the present time, on actual social and political circumstances. This means that each series can be regarded as a mirror image of the time in which it was created. The clothing of the characters in the different series is one part of that image. The uniforms of The Original Se-ries show influences of the 1960s pop art movement as well as the mini-skirt trend that experienced its peak in that decade. In the course of almost 40 years, howev-er, many things changed. In the 1990s, in Deep Space Nine and Voyager, a unisex uniform replaced the mini-dresses, with few exceptions; the colorful shirts gave way to ones that were mostly black. This trend continues into the new century. This essay interprets the evolution of the female officers' uniforms from femi-nized dresses to androgynous clothing over the development of the series as a reflection of the change of gender roles in contemporary American society. The general functions of the female characters' uniforms are the central object of its analysis while the few, but noteworthy exceptions to this pattern are given specif-ic attention. Finally, one of the most intriguing lines of enquiry is, how the pre-quel series Enterprise, supposed to be set before The Original Series, but pro-duced and aired from 2001 to 2005, fits in the picture.}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Dietz2013, author = {Dietz, Andreas}, title = {Central Asian Snow Cover Characteristics between 1986 and 2012 derived from Time Series of Medium Resolution Remote Sensing Data}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-101221}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2013}, abstract = {The eminent importance of snow cover for climatic, hydrologic, anthropogenic, and economic reasons has been widely discussed in scientific literature. Up to 50\% of the Northern Hemisphere is covered by snow at least temporarily, turning snow to the most prevalent land cover types at all. Depending on regular precipitation and temperatures below freezing point it is obvious that a changing climate effects snow cover characteristics fundamentally. Such changes can have severe impacts on local, national, and even global scale. The region of Central Asia is not an exception from this general rule, but are the consequences accompanying past, present, and possible future changes in snow cover parameters of particular importance. Being characterized by continental climate with hot and dry summers most precipitation accumulates during winter and spring months in the form of snow. The population in this 4,000,000 km² vast area is strongly depending on irrigation to facilitate agriculture. Additionally, electricity is often generated by hydroelectric power stations. A large proportion of the employed water originates from snow melt during spring months, implying that changes in snow cover characteristics will automatically affect both the total amount of obtainable water and the time when this water becomes available. The presented thesis explores the question how the spatial extent of snow covered surface has evolved since the year 1986. This investigation is based on the processing of medium resolution remote sensing data originating from daily MODIS and AVHRR sensors, thus forming a unique approach of snow cover analysis in terms of temporal and spatial resolution. Not only duration but also onset and melt of snow coverage are tracked over time, analyzing for systematic changes within this 26 years lasting time span. AVHRR data are processed from raw Level 1B orbit data to Level 3 thematic snow cover products. Both, AVHRR and MODIS snow maps undergo a further post-processing, producing daily full-area mosaics while completely eliminating inherent cloud cover. Snow cover parameters are derived based on these daily and cloud-free time series, allowing for a detailed analysis of current status and changes. The results confirm the predictions made by coarse resolution predictions from climate models: Central Asian snow cover is changing, posing new challenges for the ecosystem and future water supply. The changes, however, are not aimed at only one direction. Regions with decreasing snow cover exist as well as those where the duration of snow cover increases. A shift towards earlier snow cover start and melt can be observed, posing a serious challenge to water management authorities due to a changed runoff regime.}, subject = {Zentralasien}, language = {en} } @phdthesis{Schwindt2013, author = {Schwindt, Daniel}, title = {Permafrost in ventilated talus slopes below the timberline - A multi-methodological study on the ground thermal regime and its impact on the temporal variability and spatial heterogeneity of permafrost at three sites in the Swiss Alps}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-90099}, school = {Universit{\"a}t W{\"u}rzburg}, year = {2013}, abstract = {In the central Alps permafrost can be expected above 2300 m a.s.l., at altitudes where mean annual air temperatures are below -1 °C. Isolated permafrost occurrences can be detected in north-exposed talus slopes, far below the timberline, where mean annual air temperatures are positive. Driving factors are assumed to be a low income of solar radiation, a thick organic layer with high insulation capacities as well as the thermally induced chimney effect. Aim of this study is to achieve a deeper understanding of the factors determining the site-specific thermal regime, as well as the spatially limited and temporally highly variable permafrost occurrences in vegetated talus slopes. Three supercooled talus slopes in the Swiss Alps were chosen for investigation. Substantially different characteristics were a central criterion in the selection of study sites. Located in the Upper Engadin, climatic conditions, altitude as well as dimensions of the talus slopes are comparable for the study sites Val Bever and Val Susauna; major differences are rooted in the nature of talus substrate and in humus- and vegetation distribution. Characteristics of the Br{\"u}eltobel site, located in the Appenzeller Alps, diverge with regard to climatic conditions, altitude and dimensions of the talus slope; humus- and vegetation compositions are comparable to the Val Susauna site. Confirmation and characterisation of ground ice is accomplished by the application of electrical resistivity and seismic refraction tomography. The estimation of the spatial permafrost distribution is based on quasi-3D resistivity imaging. For the confirmation of permafrost and the analysis of its temporal variability electrical resistivity monitoring arrays were constructed and installed at all study sites, to allow year-round measurements. In addition to resistivity monitoring, the - up to now - first seismic refraction tomography winter monitoring was conducted at the Val Susauna to analyse the permafrost evolution during the winter half-year. Investigations of the ground thermal regime were based on the analysis of temperature logger data. Besides recording air- and ground surface temperatures, focus was set on the temperature evolution in vents and in the organic layer. To analyse the relationship between permafrost distribution on the one hand and humus- and vegetation distribution on the other hand, an extensive mapping of humus characteristics and vegetation composition was conducted at Val Susauna. The existence of permafrost could be proven at all study sites. Spatially, permafrost bodies show a narrow transition to neighbouring, unfrozen areas. As observed at Val Susauna, the permafrost distribution strongly correlates with areas with exceptionally thick organic layer, high percentages of mosses and lichens in the undergrowth and dwarf grown trees. The temporal variability of permafrost has proven to be exceptionally high, with the magnitude of seasonal variations distinctly exceeding intra-annual changes. Thereby, the winter season is characterised by a significant supercooling. During snowmelt a growth in volumetric ice content is induced by refreezing of percolating meltwater on the supercooled talus. The results confirmed the fundamental influence of the chimney effect on the existence and temporal variability of permafrost in talus slopes. Divergences in the effectiveness of the thermal regime were detected between the study sites. These are based on differences in the nature of talus material, humus characteristics and vegetation composition. During summer, the organic material is usually dry at the daytime, inducing a high insulation capability and a protection of the subsurface against high atmospheric temperatures. Bouldery talus slopes typically show an organic layer that is fragmented by large boulders, which induces a strongly reduced insulation capability and allows an efficient heat exchange by convective airflow and percolating precipitation water. In the winter half-year, the thermal conductivity of the organic layer increases massively under moist or frozen conditions, allowing an efficient, conductive cooling of the talus material. The convective cooling in bouldery talus slopes affects an earlier onset and a higher magnitude of supercooling than under consistent humus conditions. Here, conductive heat flow is dominant and the cooling in autumn is buffered by a prolonged zero curtain. The snow cover has proven to be incapable of prohibiting an efficient supercooling of the talus slope in winter, almost independent from thickness.}, subject = {Engadin}, language = {en} }