TY  - JOUR
A1  - Yang, Xuting
A1  - Yao, Wanqiang
A1  - Li, Pengfei
A1  - Hu, Jinfei
A1  - Latifi, Hooman
A1  - Kang, Li
A1  - Wang, Ningjing
A1  - Zhang, Dingming
T1  - Changes of SOC content in China's Shendong coal mining area during 1990–2020 investigated using remote sensing techniques
JF  - Sustainability
N2  - Coal mining, an important human activity, disturbs soil organic carbon (SOC) accumulation and decomposition, eventually affecting terrestrial carbon cycling and the sustainability of human society. However, changes of SOC content and their relation with influential factors in coal mining areas remained unclear. In the study, predictive models of SOC content were developed based on field sampling and Landsat images for different land-use types (grassland, forest, farmland, and bare land) of the largest coal mining area in China (i.e., Shendong). The established models were employed to estimate SOC content across the Shendong mining area during 1990–2020, followed by an investigation into the impacts of climate change and human disturbance on SOC content by a Geo-detector. Results showed that the models produced satisfactory results (R\(^2\) > 0.69, p < 0.05), demonstrating that SOC content over a large coal mining area can be effectively assessed using remote sensing techniques. Results revealed that average SOC content in the study area rose from 5.67 gC·kg\(^{−1}\) in 1990 to 9.23 gC·kg\(^{−1}\) in 2010 and then declined to 5.31 gC·Kg\(^{−1}\) in 2020. This could be attributed to the interaction between the disturbance of soil caused by coal mining and the improvement of eco-environment by land reclamation. Spatially, the SOC content of farmland was the highest, followed by grassland, and that of bare land was the lowest. SOC accumulation was inhibited by coal mining activities, with the effect of high-intensity mining being lower than that of moderate- and low-intensity mining activities. Land use was found to be the strongest individual influencing factor for SOC content changes, while the interaction between vegetation coverage and precipitation exerted the most significant influence on the variability of SOC content. Furthermore, the influence of mining intensity combined with precipitation was 10 times higher than that of mining intensity alone.
KW  - loess plateau
KW  - coal mining area
KW  - SOC content prediction
KW  - human disturbance
KW  - vegetation restoration
KW  - climate change
Y1  - 2022
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-278939
SN  - 2071-1050
VL  - 14
IS  - 12
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Wabnitz, Katharina
A1  - Schwienhorst-Stich, Eva-Maria
A1  - Asbeck, Franziska
A1  - Fellmann, Cara Sophie
A1  - Gepp, Sophie
A1  - Leberl, Jana
A1  - Mezger, Nikolaus Christian Simon
A1  - Eichinger, Michael
T1  - National Planetary Health learning objectives for Germany: A steppingstone for medical education to promote transformative change
JF  - Frontiers in Public Health
N2  - Physicians play an important role in adapting to and mitigating the adverse health effects of the unfolding climate and ecological crises. To fully harness this potential, future physicians need to acquire knowledge, values, skills, and leadership attributes to care for patients presenting with environmental change-related conditions and to initiate and propel transformative change in healthcare and other sectors of society including, but not limited to, the decarbonization of healthcare systems, the transition to renewable energies and the transformation of transport and food systems. Despite the potential of Planetary Health Education (PHE) to support medical students in becoming agents of change, best-practice examples of mainstreaming PHE in medical curricula remain scarce both in Germany and internationally. The process of revising and updating the Medical Licensing Regulations and the National Competency-based Catalog of Learning Objectives for Medical Education in Germany provided a window of opportunity to address this implementation challenge. In this article, we describe the development and content of national Planetary Health learning objectives for Germany. We anticipate that the learning objectives will stimulate the development and implementation of innovative Planetary Health teaching, learning and exam formats in medical schools and inform similar initiatives in other health professions. The availability of Planetary Health learning objectives in other countries will provide opportunities for cross-country and interdisciplinary exchange of experiences and validation of content, thus supporting the consolidation of Planetary Health learning objectives and the improvement of PHE for all health professionals globally.
KW  - climate change
KW  - curriculum development
KW  - education for sustainable healthcare
KW  - medical education
KW  - Planetary Health
KW  - Planetary Health Education
KW  - transformative education
Y1  - 2023
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-306027
SN  - 2296-2565
VL  - 10
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Villagomez, Gemma N.
A1  - Nürnberger, Fabian
A1  - Requier, Fabrice
A1  - Schiele, Susanne
A1  - Steffan-Dewenter, Ingo
T1  - Effects of temperature and photoperiod on the seasonal timing of Western honey bee colonies and an early spring flowering plant
JF  - Ecology and Evolution
N2  - Temperature and photoperiod are important Zeitgebers for plants and pollinators to synchronize growth and reproduction with suitable environmental conditions and their mutualistic interaction partners. Global warming can disturb this temporal synchronization since interacting species may respond differently to new combinations of photoperiod and temperature under future climates, but experimental studies on the potential phenological responses of plants and pollinators are lacking. We simulated current and future combinations of temperature and photoperiod to assess effects on the overwintering and spring phenology of an early flowering plant species (Crocus sieberi) and the Western honey bee (Apis mellifera). We could show that increased mean temperatures in winter and early spring advanced the flowering phenology of C. sieberi and intensified brood rearing activity of A. mellifera but did not advance their brood rearing activity. Flowering phenology of C. sieberi also relied on photoperiod, while brood rearing activity of A. mellifera did not. The results confirm that increases in temperature can induce changes in phenological responses and suggest that photoperiod can also play a critical role in these responses, with currently unknown consequences for real-world ecosystems in a warming climate.
KW  - Apis mellifera
KW  - climate change
KW  - rocus sieberi
KW  - phenology
KW  - plant–pollinator interaction
KW  - temporal mismatch
Y1  - 2021
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-258770
VL  - 11
IS  - 12
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Uphus, Lars
A1  - Lüpke, Marvin
A1  - Yuan, Ye
A1  - Benjamin, Caryl
A1  - Englmeier, Jana
A1  - Fricke, Ute
A1  - Ganuza, Cristina
A1  - Schwindl, Michael
A1  - Uhler, Johannes
A1  - Menzel, Annette
T1  - Climate effects on vertical forest phenology of Fagus sylvatica L., sensed by Sentinel-2, time lapse camera, and visual ground observations
JF  - Remote Sensing
N2  - Contemporary climate change leads to earlier spring phenological events in Europe. In forests, in which overstory strongly regulates the microclimate beneath, it is not clear if further change equally shifts the timing of leaf unfolding for the over- and understory of main deciduous forest species, such as Fagus sylvatica L. (European beech). Furthermore, it is not known yet how this vertical phenological (mis)match — the phenological difference between overstory and understory — affects the remotely sensed satellite signal. To investigate this, we disentangled the start of season (SOS) of overstory F.sylvatica foliage from understory F. sylvatica foliage in forests, within nine quadrants of 5.8 × 5.8 km, stratified over a temperature gradient of 2.5 °C in Bavaria, southeast Germany, in the spring seasons of 2019 and 2020 using time lapse cameras and visual ground observations. We explained SOS dates and vertical phenological (mis)match by canopy temperature and compared these to Sentinel-2 derived SOS in response to canopy temperature. We found that overstory SOS advanced with higher mean April canopy temperature (visual ground observations: −2.86 days per °C; cameras: −2.57 days per °C). However, understory SOS was not significantly affected by canopy temperature. This led to an increase of vertical phenological mismatch with increased canopy temperature (visual ground observations: +3.90 days per °C; cameras: +2.52 days per °C). These results matched Sentinel-2-derived SOS responses, as pixels of higher canopy height advanced more by increased canopy temperature than pixels of lower canopy height. The results may indicate that, with further climate change, spring phenology of F. sylvatica overstory will advance more than F. sylvatica understory, leading to increased vertical phenological mismatch in temperate deciduous forests. This may have major ecological effects, but also methodological consequences for the field of remote sensing, as what the signal senses highly depends on the pixel mean canopy height and the vertical (mis)match.
KW  - overstory
KW  - understory
KW  - Sentinel-2
KW  - time lapse cameras
KW  - vertical mismatch
KW  - phenological escape
KW  - climate change
KW  - European beech
Y1  - 2021
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-248419
SN  - 2072-4292
VL  - 13
IS  - 19
ER  - 
TY  - THES
A1  - Tran, Nam Binh
T1  - Climate change assessment in Southeast Asia and implications for agricultural production in Vietnam
T1  - Der Klimawandel : Beurteilung in Südostasien und Implikationen für die landwirtschaftliche Produktion in Vietnam
N2  - Seit vielen Jahren ist die Erforschung von Klimawandel und -schwankungen das zentrale Thema der Klimatologie. Besonderes deutlich wird dies anhand der IPCC-Berichte, ebenso wie der zahlreichen Einzelstudien zur Entwicklung des Klimas auf unterschiedlichsten raum-zeitlichen Skalen. Insbesondere seit den 1980er Jahren befassen sich zahlreiche Forschungsgruppen weltweit mit der systematischen Sammlung, Aufbereitung und auch Auswertung von Klimadaten. Diese Datengrundlage erlaubt Analysen zur Entwicklung der globalen Lufttemperatur, des Niederschlags und anderer Klimaelemente (Jones et al., 1986; Hansen und Lebedeff, 1987; Vinnikov et al., 1987, 1990). Das wichtigste übergreifende Ergebnis dieser Untersuchungen ist die Feststellung einer globalen Erwärmung während des 20. Jahrhunderts, die sich in den beiden letzten Jahrzehnten besonders intensivierte. Abschätzungen über die Art und Stärke des Klimawandels auf größeren, planungsrelevanten Massstäben sind jedoch nach wie vor mit großen Unsicherheiten verbunden. Für eine detailliertere Erforschung der Auswirkungen der globalen Erwärmung auf regionaler oder gar lokaler Ebene besteht daher noch großer Forschungsbedarf. In dieser Dissertation wird zu diesem Zweck ein statistischer Ansatz verfolgt. Dieser erlaubt die Identifikation systematischer Unterschiede zwischen den Ausprägungen klimatologischer Feldgrößen (bodennahe Lufttemperatur und Niederschlag) wie sie von sogenannten General Circulation Models (GCMs) simuliert werden im Vergleich zu den betreffenden Parametern aus Beobachtungsdaten. Als Beobachtungsdaten werden die NCEP Reanalysen, die statistisch interpolierten Datensätze der CRU sowie Stationsdaten aus Vietnam verwendet. Hierbei zeigt sich, dass die aktuellen Klimamodelle die räumlichen Muster der betrachteten Variablen in befriedigender Weise reproduzieren. Die Analyse des regionalen Klimawandels in Südost-Asien erfolgt durch die Auswertung von Klimamodellrechnungen. Diese wurden von verschiedenen GCMs durchgeführt, wobei unterschiedliche Annahmen über die zukünftigen Treibhausgasemissionen berücksichtigt wurden. Der Fokus dieser Dissertation ist die Analyse der projizierten zeitlichen Entwicklung von bodennaher Temperatur und Niederschlag im 21. Jahrhundert. Hierbei werden sowohl jährliche als auch saisonale Mittelwerte bzw. Summen berücksichtigt. Neben diesen rein physikalisch-klimatologischen Betrachtungen behandelt diese Dissertation auch einen angewandten Aspekt, nämlich den Impakt des Klimawandels auf die Landwirtschaft, exemplarisch untersucht am Beispiel Vietnams. Für die Abschätzung der Vulnerabilität dieses essentiellen Wirtschaftsbereiches wird ein statistisches Modell entwickelt in das an klimatischen Parametern die bodennahe temperatur sowie der Niederschlag einfliessen. Diese Untersuchung leistet damit einen wichtigen Beitrag zum Wissenstand über die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels in den niederen Breiten. Die sozio-ökonomische Entwicklung jedes Staates der Erde wird von den Folgen des Klimawandels beeinflusst, allerdings variiert der Grad der Beeinträchtigung erheblich. Vermutlich werden Entwicklungsländer wie Vietnam die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels besonders stark zu spüren bekommen. Die Ursachen für diese hohe Vulnerabilität liegen unter anderem in der Wirtschaftsstruktur: der allgemein hohe Stellenwert natürlicher Ressourcen und eine geringe Diversität verringern hier die Möglichkeiten zur Adaption an die beobachteten und projizierten Veränderungen. Die vorliegende Dissertation gliedert sich wie folgt: In Kapitel 1 stellt eine allgemeine Einführung zur Thematik dar. Die Begriffe Klima und Klimawandel sowie einige übliche Modelle zum Klimawandel, verbunden mit einer Abwägung der spezifischen Vor- und Nachteile, werden erläutert. Kapitel 2 beschäftigt sich mit der Methodik. Hier werden die räumliche Interpolation sowie die angewendeten explorativen und inferentiellen statistischen Verfahren diskutiert. Die Kapitel 3 und 4 beschreiben die Datengrundlage und die betrachtete Region. Im Kapitel 5 werden die Untersuchungsergebnisse dargelegt. In Kapitel 6 erfolgt die Abschlussbetrachtung und ein Ausblick auf die Zukunft. Am Ende der Dissertation finden sich die verwendeten Quellen sowie ein Appendix mit landwirtschaftlichen Daten.
N2  - For many years, the study of climatic changes and variations has become the main objective of climatic research, as has been appreciated in the IPCC's reports and several publications regarding climatic evolution on different space-time scales. Since the 80's, many research groups have generated the extensive database from which the analysis of temperature, precipitation and other climatic parameters has been performed on a global scale (Jones et al., 1986; Hansen and Lebedeff, 1987, 1988; Vinnikov et al., 1987, 1990). The most important result of these research projects is the evidence of global warming during the 20th century, especially in the last two decades. However, numerous challenges still exist about the structure and dimension of the climatic change on a considerable scale. Therefore, it is necessary to carry out studies on a local and regional scale that allow for a more precise evaluation of the global warming phenomenon. A statistical analysis approach was developed to identify systematic differences between large-scale climatic variable from the General Circulation Models (GCM), NCEP, CRU re-analysis data set and climatic parameters (temperature and precipitation data). Models are able to satisfactorily reproduce the spatial patterns of the regional temperature and precipitation field. The response of the climate system to various emission scenario simulated by the GCM was used to analyze and predict the local climate change. The main objective of this study is to analysis the time evolution of the annual and seasonal temperature and precipitation during the 21st century and in order to contribute to our knowledge of temperature and precipitation trends over the century on a regional scale, not only in Southeast Asia but also in Vietnam; the study focuses to develop a dynamical – statistical model describing the relationship between the major climate variation and agricultural production in Vietnam. This study will be an important contribution to the present-day assessment of climate change impacts in the low latitudes. Regional scenarios of climate change, including both rainfall and mean temperature were then used to assess the impact of climate change on crop production in the region in order to evaluate the vulnerability of the system to global warming. Climate change has adverse impacts on the socio - economic development of all nations. But the degree of the impact will vary across nations. It is expected that changes in the earth's climate will impact on developing countries like Vietnam, in particular, hardest because their economies are strongly dependent on crude forms of natural resources and their economic structure is less flexible to adjust to such drastic changes. In Chapter 1: Introduction and background I describe in general terms climate, climate change, climate change model with benefits and problems. Chapter 2: methodology discusses the methods including interpolation, validation, clustering, correlation and regression which were applied in the study. Chapter 3 and chapter 4 describe the database and study area. The most important is chapter 5 Results. The last is chapter 6 Conclusion and outlook followed by the reference list and an appendix.
KW  - Klimaänderung
KW  - Südostasien
KW  - agrarwirtschaftliche Produktion
KW  - Vietnam
KW  - agricultural production
KW  - climate change
Y1  - 2011
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-64570
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thorn, Simon
A1  - Chao, Anne
A1  - Bernhardt-Römermann, Markus
A1  - Chen, Yan-Han
A1  - Georgiev, Kostadin B.
A1  - Heibl, Christoph
A1  - Müller, Jörg
A1  - Schäfer, Hanno
A1  - Bässler, Claus
T1  - Rare species, functional groups, and evolutionary lineages drive successional trajectories in disturbed forests
JF  - Ecology
N2  - Following natural disturbances, additional anthropogenic disturbance may alter community recovery by affecting the occurrences of species, functional groups, and evolutionary lineages. However, our understanding of whether rare, common, or dominant species, functional groups, or evolutionary lineages are most strongly affected by an additional disturbance, particularly across multiple taxa, is limited. Here, we used a generalized diversity concept based on Hill numbers to quantify the community differences of vascular plants, bryophytes, lichens, wood‐inhabiting fungi, saproxylic beetles, and birds in a storm‐disturbed, experimentally salvage logged forest. Communities of all investigated species groups showed dissimilarities between logged and unlogged plots. Most species groups showed no significant changes in dissimilarities between logged and unlogged plots over the first seven years of succession, indicating a lack of community recovery. In general, the dissimilarities of communities were mainly driven by rare species. Convergence of dissimilarities occurred more often than divergence during the early stages of succession for rare species, indicating a major role in driving decreasing taxonomic dissimilarities between logged and unlogged plots over time. Trends in species dissimilarities only partially match the trends in dissimilarities of functional groups and evolutionary lineages, with little significant changes in successional trajectories. Nevertheless, common and dominant species contributed to a convergence of dissimilarities over time in the case of the functional dissimilarities of wood‐inhabiting fungi. Our study shows that salvage logging following disturbances can alter successional trajectories in early stages of forest succession following natural disturbances. However, community changes over time may differ remarkably in different taxonomic groups and are best detected based on taxonomic, rather than functional or phylogenetic dissimilarities.
KW  - wood-inhabiting fungi
KW  - birds
KW  - bryophytes
KW  - climate change
KW  - forest succession
KW  - Hill numbers
KW  - natural disturbances
KW  - salvage logging
KW  - saproxylic beetles
KW  - vascular plants
Y1  - 2020
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-212378
VL  - 101
IS  - 3
ER  - 
TY  - THES
A1  - Streckel, Christian
T1  - Migration im Kontext von Umwelteinflüssen und Klimawandel
T1  - Migration in Context of Environmental and Climate Change
N2  - Klimawandelbedingte bzw. potenziell klimawandelbedingte Umweltmigration ist ein sehr komplexes und breites Feld. Es existiert eine Fülle von Studien, die sich in ihrer Herangehensweise unterscheiden, weshalb hier ein Systematisierungsvorschlag aufgezeigt wird. Mittels einer an den Richtlinien der Grounded Theory orientierten Analyse wurden Studien auf zentrale gemeinsame Kategorien hin untersucht und als Modell präsentiert. Dieses stellt jedoch kein abgeschlossenes System dar, sondern dient durch seine Offenheit als Gerüst, das mit Ergebnissen aus weiteren Fallstudien gefestigt werden kann.
N2  - (Potentially) climate change-induced migration constitutes a complex and broad field of research. A multitude of studies exists with different approaches to the topic. Within this range of approaches, it is the aim of this research to make a proposal for a systematisation of the topic. By carrying out a Grounded Theory-oriented analysis, we screened case studies for common categories to provide a conceptual model. The result of the investigation is a framework which can be extended by findings of other case studies.
KW  - Anthropogene Klimaänderung
KW  - Umweltmigration
KW  - environmental migration
KW  - Umweltveränderung
KW  - Migration
KW  - Klimamigration
KW  - Klimawandel
KW  - (potenziell) klimawandelbedingte Umweltmigration
KW  - Grounded Theory
KW  - climate change-induced migration
KW  - climate change
KW  - (potentially) climate change-induced environmental changes
Y1  - 2013
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-102334
ER  - 
TY  - THES
A1  - Seybold, Marc
T1  - Internationale Umweltregime - neue Formen der Konfliktbearbeitung in der internationalen Politik? Untersuchungen am Beispiel des Klimaschutzregimes : eine integrative regimetheoretische Untersuchung zum Einfluß von Nichtregierungsorganisationen und Wissenschaftlicher Gemeinschaften auf das internationale Klimaschutzregime
T1  - International Evironmental Regimes - New Forms of Cooperation on the Field of International Politics? An Investigation of the International Regime on Climate Change. A scientific Investigation concerning the Influence of NGOs and Scientific Communities on the International Regime on Climate Change
N2  - Die Arbeit untersucht den Einfluss von Nichtregierungsorganisationen (NGOs)und Wissenschaftlicher Gemeinschaften auf Internationale Regime. Ausgehend vom Kooperationsproblem in einer anarchischen Staatenwelt wird der Leistungsbeitrag der beiden nichtstaatlichen Akteure auf das Zustandekommen von Kooperation analysiert und seine schwankende Rolle im Verlauf des Regimeprozesses untersucht. Das Fallbeispiel bildet dabei das internationale Klimaschutzregime, wobei der Untersuchungszeitraum von den ersten Anfängen der Thematisierung des Klimawandels bis hin zu der in Marrakesch erreichten Ausformulierung des Kyoto-Protokolls reicht.
N2  - The thesis investigates the influence of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and scientific communities on international regimes. Starting with the problem of cooperation in an anarchical world the thesis analyses the performance of the two non-state actors on achieving international cooperation and their varying role during the negotiation process. The case study focusses on the International Regime on Climate Change. The period of investigation starts with the beginning of the discussions on climate change and ends with the "Marrakesh Accords" which build the final point of the formulation of the "Kyoto Protocol".
KW  - Umweltschutz
KW  - Internationales Regime
KW  - Internationale Regime
KW  - Nichtregierungsorganisationen
KW  - NGOs
KW  - Wissenschaftliche Gemeinschaften
KW  - Klimaschutz
KW  - International Regimes
KW  - non-governmental organizations
KW  - NGOs
KW  - scientific communities
KW  - climate change
Y1  - 2003
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-12403
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Samimi, C.
A1  - Fink, A. H.
A1  - Paeth, H.
T1  - The 2007 flood in the Sahel: causes, characteristics and its presentation in the media and FEWS NET
JF  - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
N2  - During the rainy season in 2007, reports about exceptional rains and floodings in the Sahel were published in the media, especially in August and September. Institutions and organizations like the World Food Programme (WFP) and FEWS NET put the events on the agenda and released alerts and requested help. The partly controversial picture was that most of the Sahel faced a crisis caused by widespread floodings. Our study shows that the rainy season in 2007 was exceptional with regard to rainfall amount and return periods. In many areas the event had a return period between 1 and 50 yr with high spatial heterogeneity, with the exception of the Upper Volta basin, which yielded return periods of up to 1200 yr. Despite the strong rainfall, the interpretation of satellite images show that the floods were mainly confined to lakes and river beds. However, the study also proves the difficulties in assessing the meteorological processes and the demarcation of flooded areas in satellite images without ground truthing. These facts and the somewhat vague and controversial reports in the media and FEWS NET demonstrate that it is crucial to thoroughly analyze such events at a regional and local scale involving the local population.
KW  - prediction
KW  - satellite rainfall products
KW  - tropical North-Africa
KW  - West-Africa
KW  - climate change
KW  - summer rainfall
KW  - variability
KW  - SST
KW  - teleconnection
KW  - validation
Y1  - 2012
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-131790
VL  - 12
IS  - 2
SP  - 313
EP  - 325
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Saddique, Naeem
A1  - Usman, Muhammad
A1  - Bernhofer, Christian
T1  - Simulating the impact of climate change on the hydrological regimes of a sparsely gauged mountainous basin, northern Pakistan
JF  - Water
N2  - Projected climate changes for the 21st century may cause great uncertainties on the hydrology of a river basin. This study explored the impacts of climate change on the water balance and hydrological regime of the Jhelum River Basin using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). Two downscaling methods (SDSM, Statistical Downscaling Model and LARS-WG, Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator), three Global Circulation Models (GCMs), and two representative concentration pathways (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for three future periods (2030s, 2050s, and 2090s) were used to assess the climate change impacts on flow regimes. The results exhibited that both downscaling methods suggested an increase in annual streamflow over the river basin. There is generally an increasing trend of winter and autumn discharge, whereas it is complicated for summer and spring to conclude if the trend is increasing or decreasing depending on the downscaling methods. Therefore, the uncertainty associated with the downscaling of climate simulation needs to consider, for the best estimate, the impact of climate change, with its uncertainty, on a particular basin. The study also resulted that water yield and evapotranspiration in the eastern part of the basin (sub-basins at high elevation) would be most affected by climate change. The outcomes of this study would be useful for providing guidance in water management and planning for the river basin under climate change.
KW  - water balance
KW  - hydrological regime
KW  - evapotranspiration
KW  - uncertainties
KW  - climate change
KW  - SWAT
Y1  - 2019
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-193175
SN  - 2073-4441
VL  - 11
IS  - 10
ER  -