TY - THES A1 - Stefenelli, Ulrich T1 - Der „Würzburger Herz-Score“, ein Modell zur tageweisen Vorhersage des Sterberisikos in den ersten 4 Wochen nach Herzklappen- oder Bypass-Operation bei 5555 Patienten T1 - The Wuerzburg Heart-Score, a model to predict the mortality risk (daily ) in the first 4 weeks after heart valve or bypass surgery in 5555 patients N2 - Bei 5555 Patienten des Würzburger Zentrums für operative Medizin wurden Sterberisiken und assoziierte Faktoren nach Bypass- oder Aortenklappen-OP beschrieben. Eine Risikovorhersage war frühzeitig, sogar tageweise möglich, und nicht (wie bisher) mit Blick auf den 30. postoperativen Tag. Das stärkste Risiko ist ein fehlender Entlassungs-Sinusrhythmus, gefolgt von einer schweren präoperativen Einschränkung (ASA) und einem erhöhten Kreatinin, gefolgt vom kardiogenen anamnestischen Schock, vom zerebrovaskulären Ereignis, der Notwendigkeit von Frischplasma, von einer respiratorischen Insuffizienz, aber auch der Notwendigkeit mechanischer Kreislaufunterstützung. Hochprädiktiv war auch ein kürzlich stattgefundener Myokardinfarkt und eine Angina Pectoris in Ruhe. Liegen bis 4 dieser Ereignisse vor, so zeigt sich das Mortalitätsrisiko als statistisch normal (Verlauf der Grundgesamtheit): Es steigt je Woche nach OP um etwa 1% auf rund 5% nach 4 Wochen an. Bestehen 5 oder 6 Risiken, so erhöht sich das Sterberisiko deutlich: Es steigt um +10% je weitere Woche an und erreicht etwa 40% in der 4. postoperativen Woche. Ab 7 oder mehr erfüllte Risiken nimmt das Sterberisiko drastisch zu. Es erhöht sich um +20% je weitere Woche und kumuliert nach 3 Wochen auf rund 70%. Festzuhalten ist: Bis 4 Risiken ergibt sich je weitere Woche +1% Mortalitätsrisiko, ab 5 Risikofaktoren +10%, ab 7 und mehr Risikofaktoren finden sich je Woche nach der OP ein um +20% erhöhtes Sterberisiko. Diese Erkenntnisse wurden verwendet, um einen Risikoscore zu konstruieren. Die Einzelrisiken werden summiert, d.h. man betrachtet das Risiko als erfüllt oder nicht, und zählt. Das tageweise Risiko ist graphisch ablesbar und ist für die klinische Routine verwendbar, für Studien (Risikostratifizierung) oder für das präoperative Aufklärungsgespräch. Neu ist, dass dieser Score im klinischen Verlauf angepaßt werden kann, wenn neue Risikofaktoren auftreten hinzukommen oder Faktoren therapiebedingt wegfallen. N2 - Mortality risks and associated factors after bypass or aortic valve surgery were described in 5555 patients at the Würzburg Center for Operative Medicine. A risk prediction was possible at an early stage, even on a daily basis, and not - as before - only with a view to the 30th postoperative day. The greatest risk is an absent discharge sinus rhythm, followed by severe impairment (ASA) and elevated creatinine, followed by a history of cardiogenic shock, cerebrovascular event, the need for fresh plasma, respiratory failure, but also the need for mechanical circulatory support . A recent history of myocardial infarction and angina pectoris at rest were also highly predictive. If up to 4 of these events are present, the mortality risk is statistically normal, because it roughly corresponds to the course of the population: it increases by around 1% per postoperative week to around 5% after 4 weeks (+ 2nd % as confidence range). If the patient has 5 or 6 risks, the risk of death increases significantly: it increases by +10% for each additional week and reaches about 40% in the 4th postoperative week. From 7 or more risk factors fulfilled, the risk of death increases drastically. It increases by +20% for each additional postoperative week and accumulates to around 70% (+ 15%) after 3 weeks of intensive care. It should be noted: Up to 4 risk factors result in a +1% mortality risk for each additional week, from 5 risk factors +10%, from 7 and more risk factors there is a +20% increased risk of death per week after the operation. Findings from this work were used to construct a risk score. The individual risks mentioned above are added up, i.e. the risk is considered to be fulfilled or not and counted. The daily risk can then be read graphically. This could be used for clinical routine, for studies (risk stratification) or for preoperative informational discussions. What is also new is that this score can be adjusted in the clinical course if new risk factors are added or factors are removed. KW - Überleben KW - Survival KW - Bypass KW - Aortenklappe KW - Risiko KW - Sterblichkeit KW - Score KW - KHK KW - Mortalität KW - heart valve bypass KW - prognosis Y1 - 2023 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-303828 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tütüncü, Serdar A1 - Olma, Manuel C. A1 - Kunze, Claudia A1 - Krämer, Michael A1 - Dietzel, Joanna A1 - Schurig, Johannes A1 - Filser, Paula A1 - Pfeilschifter, Waltraud A1 - Hamann, Gerhard F. A1 - Büttner, Thomas A1 - Heuschmann, Peter U. A1 - Kirchhof, Paulus A1 - Laufs, Ulrich A1 - Nabavi, Darius G. A1 - Röther, Joachim A1 - Thomalla, Götz A1 - Veltkamp, Roland A1 - Eckardt, Kai‐Uwe A1 - Haeusler, Karl Georg A1 - Endres, Matthias T1 - Levels and dynamics of estimated glomerular filtration rate and recurrent vascular events and death in patients with minor stroke or transient ischemic attack JF - European Journal of Neurology N2 - Background and purpose Impaired kidney function is associated with an increased risk of vascular events in acute stroke patients, when assessed by single measurements of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). It is unknown whether repeated measurements provide additional information for risk prediction. Methods The MonDAFIS (Systematic Monitoring for Detection of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Acute Ischemic Stroke) study randomly assigned 3465 acute ischemic stroke patients to either standard procedures or an additive Holter electrocardiogram. Baseline eGFR (CKD‐EPI formula) were dichotomized into values of < versus ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m\(^{2}\). eGFR dynamics were classified based on two in‐hospital values as “stable normal” (≥60 ml/min/1.73 m\(^{2}\)), “increasing” (by at least 15% from baseline, second value ≥ 60 ml/min/1.73 m\(^{2}\)), “decreasing” (by at least 15% from baseline of ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m\(^{2}\)), and “stable decreased” (<60 ml/min/1.73 m\(^{2}\)). The composite endpoint (stroke, major bleeding, myocardial infarction, all‐cause death) was assessed after 24 months. We estimated hazard ratios in confounder‐adjusted models. Results Estimated glomerular filtration rate at baseline was available in 2947 and a second value in 1623 patients. After adjusting for age, stroke severity, cardiovascular risk factors, and randomization, eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m\(^{2}\) at baseline (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.2, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.40–3.54) as well as decreasing (HR = 1.79, 95% CI = 1.07–2.99) and stable decreased eGFR (HR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.20–2.24) were independently associated with the composite endpoint. In addition, eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.732 at baseline (HR = 3.02, 95% CI = 1.51–6.10) and decreasing eGFR were associated with all‐cause death (HR = 3.12, 95% CI = 1.63–5.98). Conclusions In addition to patients with low eGFR levels at baseline, also those with decreasing eGFR have increased risk for vascular events and death; hence, repeated estimates of eGFR might add relevant information to risk prediction. KW - kidney function KW - prognosis KW - stroke Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-287271 VL - 29 IS - 9 SP - 2716 EP - 2724 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Liu, Dan A1 - Hu, Kai A1 - Lau, Kolja A1 - Kiwitz, Tobias A1 - Robitzkat, Katharina A1 - Hammel, Clara A1 - Lengenfelder, Björn Daniel A1 - Ertl, Georg A1 - Frantz, Stefan A1 - Nordbeck, Peter T1 - Impact of diastolic dysfunction on outcome in heart failure patients with mid-range or reduced ejection fraction JF - ESC Heart Failure N2 - Aims The role of diastolic dysfunction (DD) in prognostic evaluation in heart failure (HF) patients with impaired systolic function remains unclear. We investigated the impact of echocardiography-defined DD on survival in HF patients with mid-range (HFmrEF, EF 41–49%) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF, EF < 40%). Methods and results A total of 2018 consecutive hospitalized HF patients were retrospectively included and divided in two groups based on baseline EF: HFmrEF group (n = 951, aged 69 ± 13 years, 74.2% male) and HFrEF group (n = 1067, aged 68 ± 13 years, 76.3% male). Clinical data were collected and analysed. All patients completed ≥1 year clinical follow-up. The primary endpoint was defined as all-cause death (including heart transplantation) and cardiovascular (CV)-related death. All-cause mortality (30.8% vs. 24.9%, P = 0.003) and CV mortality (19.1% vs. 13.5%, P = 0.001) were significantly higher in the HFrEF group than the HFmrEF group during follow-up [median 24 (13–36) months]. All-cause mortality increased in proportion to DD severity (mild, moderate, and severe) in either HFmrEF (17.1%, 25.4%, and 37.0%, P < 0.001) or HFrEF (18.9%, 30.3%, and 39.2%, P < 0.001) patients. The risk of all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.347, P = 0.015] and CV mortality (HR = 1.508, P = 0.007) was significantly higher in HFrEF patients with severe DD compared with non-severe DD after adjustment for identified clinical and echocardiographic covariates. For HFmrEF patients, severe DD was independently associated with increased all-cause mortality (HR = 1.358, P = 0.046) but not with CV mortality (HR = 1.155, P = 0.469). Conclusions Echocardiography-defined severe DD is independently associated with increased all-cause mortality in patients with HFmrEF and HFrEF. KW - heart failure with mid-range ejection fraction KW - heart failure with reduced ejection fraction KW - diastolic dysfunction KW - echocardiography KW - prognosis Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-258894 VL - 8 IS - 4 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dietl, Alexander A1 - Prieschenk, Christine A1 - Eckert, Franziska A1 - Birner, Christoph A1 - Luchner, Andreas A1 - Maier, Lars S. A1 - Buchner, Stefan T1 - 3D vena contracta area after MitraClip© procedure: precise quantification of residual mitral regurgitation and identification of prognostic information JF - Cardiovascular Ultrasound N2 - Background Percutaneous mitral valve repair (PMVR) is increasingly performed in patients with severe mitral regurgitation (MR). Post-procedural MR grading is challenging and an unsettled issue. We hypothesised that the direct planimetry of vena contracta area (VCA) by 3D–transoesophageal echocardiography allows quantifying post-procedural MR and implies further prognostic relevance missed by the usual ordinal scale (grade I-IV). Methods Based on a single-centre PMVR registry containing 102 patients, the association of VCA reduction and patients’ functional capacity measured as six-minute walk distance (6 MW) was evaluated. 3D–colour-Doppler datasets were available before, during and 4 weeks after PMVR. Results Twenty nine patients (age 77.0 ± 5.8 years) with advanced heart failure (75.9% NYHA III/IV) and severe degenerative (34%) or functional (66%) MR were eligible. VCA was reduced in all patients by PMVR (0.99 ± 0.46 cm\(^2\) vs. 0.22 ± 0.15 cm\(^2\), p < 0.0001). It remained stable after median time of 33 days (p = 0.999). 6 MW improved after the procedure (257.5 ± 82.5 m vs. 295.7 ± 96.3 m, p < 0.01). Patients with a decrease in VCA less than the median VCA reduction showed a more distinct improvement in 6 MW than patients with better technical result (p < 0.05). This paradoxical finding was driven by inferior results in very large functional MR. Conclusions VCA improves the evaluation of small residual MR. Its post-procedural values remain stable during a short-term follow-up and imply prognostic information for the patients’ physical improvement. VCA might contribute to a more substantiated estimation of treatment success in the heterogeneous functional MR group. KW - percutaneous mitral valve repair KW - MitraClip KW - 3D echocardiography KW - vena contracta area KW - six-minute walk test KW - NT-proBNP KW - prognosis KW - functional mitral regurgitation Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-225318 VL - 16 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Liu, Dan A1 - Hu, Kai A1 - Störk, Stefan A1 - Herrmann, Sebastian A1 - Kramer, Bastian A1 - Cikes, Maja A1 - Gaudron, Philipp Daniel A1 - Knop, Stefan A1 - Ertl, Georg A1 - Bijnens, Bart A1 - Weidemann, Frank T1 - Predictive Value of Assessing Diastolic Strain Rate on Survival in Cardiac Amyloidosis Patients with Preserved Ejection Fraction JF - PLOS ONE N2 - Objectives: Since diastolic abnormalities are typical findings of cardiac amyloidosis (CA), we hypothesized that speckle-tracking-imaging (STI) derived longitudinal early diastolic strain rate (LSRdias) could predict outcome in CA patients with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF >50%). Background: Diastolic abnormalities including altered early filling are typical findings and are related to outcome in CA patients. Reduced longitudinal systolic strain (LSsys) assessed by STI predicts increased mortality in CA patients. It remains unknown if LSRdias also related to outcome in these patients. Methods: Conventional echocardiography and STI were performed in 41 CA patients with preserved LVEF (25 male; mean age 65±9 years). Global and segmental LSsys and LSRdias were obtained in six LV segments from apical 4-chamber views. Results: Nineteen (46%) out of 41 CA patients died during a median of 16 months (quartiles 5–35 months) follow-up. Baseline mitral annular plane systolic excursion (MAPSE, 6±2 vs. 8±3 mm), global LSRdias and basal-septal LSRdias were significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors (all p<0.05). NYHA class, number of non-cardiac organs involved, MAPSE, mid-septal LSsys, global LSRdias, basal-septal LSRdias and E/LSRdias were the univariable predictors of all-cause death. Multivariable analysis showed that number of non-cardiac organs involved (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17–3.26, P = 0.010), global LSRdias (HR = 7.30, 95% CI 2.08–25.65, P = 0.002), and E/LSRdias (HR = 2.98, 95% CI 1.54–5.79, P = 0.001) remained independently predictive of increased mortality risk. The prognostic performance of global LSRdias was optimal at a cutoff value of 0.85 S−1 (sensitivity 68%, specificity 67%). Global LSRdias <0.85 S−1 predicted a 4-fold increased mortality in CA patients with preserved LVEF. Conclusions: STI-derived early diastolic strain rate is a powerful independent predictor of survival in CA patients with preserved LVEF. KW - diagnostic medicine KW - echocardiography KW - prognosis KW - calcium imaging KW - ejection fraction KW - death rates KW - amyloidosis KW - deformation Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-118024 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 9 IS - 12 ER -