TY - JOUR A1 - Prada, Juan Pablo A1 - Maag, Luca Estelle A1 - Siegmund, Laura A1 - Bencurova, Elena A1 - Liang, Chunguang A1 - Koutsilieri, Eleni A1 - Dandekar, Thomas A1 - Scheller, Carsten T1 - Estimation of R0 for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Germany from excess mortality JF - Scientific Reports N2 - For SARS-CoV-2, R0 calculations in the range of 2–3 dominate the literature, but much higher estimates have also been published. Because capacity for RT-PCR testing increased greatly in the early phase of the Covid-19 pandemic, R0 determinations based on these incidence values are subject to strong bias. We propose to use Covid-19-induced excess mortality to determine R0 regardless of RT-PCR testing capacity. We used data from the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) on the incidence of Covid cases, Covid-related deaths, number of RT-PCR tests performed, and excess mortality calculated from data from the Federal Statistical Office in Germany. We determined R0 using exponential growth estimates with a serial interval of 4.7 days. We used only datasets that were not yet under the influence of policy measures (e.g., lockdowns or school closures). The uncorrected R0 value for the spread of SARS-CoV-2 based on RT-PCR incidence data was 2.56 (95% CI 2.52–2.60) for Covid-19 cases and 2.03 (95% CI 1.96–2.10) for Covid-19-related deaths. However, because the number of RT-PCR tests increased by a growth factor of 1.381 during the same period, these R0 values must be corrected accordingly (R0corrected = R0uncorrected/1.381), yielding 1.86 for Covid-19 cases and 1.47 for Covid-19 deaths. The R0 value based on excess deaths was calculated to be 1.34 (95% CI 1.32–1.37). A sine-function-based adjustment for seasonal effects of 40% corresponds to a maximum value of R0January = 1.68 and a minimum value of R0July = 1.01. Our calculations show an R0 that is much lower than previously thought. This relatively low range of R0 fits very well with the observed seasonal pattern of infection across Europe in 2020 and 2021, including the emergence of more contagious escape variants such as delta or omicron. In general, our study shows that excess mortality can be used as a reliable surrogate to determine the R0 in pandemic situations. KW - SARS-CoV-2 KW - R0 KW - mortality Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-301415 VL - 12 IS - 1 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Liang, Chunguang A1 - Bencurova, Elena A1 - Psota, Eric A1 - Neurgaonkar, Priya A1 - Prelog, Martina A1 - Scheller, Carsten A1 - Dandekar, Thomas T1 - Population-predicted MHC class II epitope presentation of SARS-CoV-2 structural proteins correlates to the case fatality rates of COVID-19 in different countries JF - International Journal of Molecular Sciences N2 - We observed substantial differences in predicted Major Histocompatibility Complex II (MHCII) epitope presentation of SARS-CoV-2 proteins for different populations but only minor differences in predicted MHCI epitope presentation. A comparison of this predicted epitope MHC-coverage revealed for the early phase of infection spread (till day 15 after reaching 128 observed infection cases) highly significant negative correlations with the case fatality rate. Specifically, this was observed in different populations for MHC class II presentation of the viral spike protein (p-value: 0.0733 for linear regression), the envelope protein (p-value: 0.023), and the membrane protein (p-value: 0.00053), indicating that the high case fatality rates of COVID-19 observed in some countries seem to be related with poor MHC class II presentation and hence weak adaptive immune response against these viral envelope proteins. Our results highlight the general importance of the SARS-CoV-2 structural proteins in immunological control in early infection spread looking at a global census in various countries and taking case fatality rate into account. Other factors such as health system and control measures become more important after the early spread. Our study should encourage further studies on MHCII alleles as potential risk factors in COVID-19 including assessment of local populations and specific allele distributions. KW - COVID-19 KW - population coverage KW - MHC II KW - MHC I KW - B-cell KW - T-cell KW - epitope mapping KW - lethality rate KW - infection spread KW - SARS-CoV-2 Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-258936 SN - 1422-0067 VL - 22 IS - 5 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Whisnant, Adam W. A1 - Jürges, Christopher S. A1 - Hennig, Thomas A1 - Wyler, Emanuel A1 - Prusty, Bhupesh A1 - Rutkowski, Andrzej J. A1 - L'hernault, Anne A1 - Djakovic, Lara A1 - Göbel, Margarete A1 - Döring, Kristina A1 - Menegatti, Jennifer A1 - Antrobus, Robin A1 - Matheson, Nicholas J. A1 - Künzig, Florian W. H. A1 - Mastrobuoni, Guido A1 - Bielow, Chris A1 - Kempa, Stefan A1 - Liang, Chunguang A1 - Dandekar, Thomas A1 - Zimmer, Ralf A1 - Landthaler, Markus A1 - Grässer, Friedrich A1 - Lehner, Paul J. A1 - Friedel, Caroline C. A1 - Erhard, Florian A1 - Dölken, Lars T1 - Integrative functional genomics decodes herpes simplex virus 1 JF - Nature Communications N2 - The predicted 80 open reading frames (ORFs) of herpes simplex virus 1 (HSV-1) have been intensively studied for decades. Here, we unravel the complete viral transcriptome and translatome during lytic infection with base-pair resolution by computational integration of multi-omics data. We identify a total of 201 transcripts and 284 ORFs including all known and 46 novel large ORFs. This includes a so far unknown ORF in the locus deleted in the FDA-approved oncolytic virus Imlygic. Multiple transcript isoforms expressed from individual gene loci explain translation of the vast majority of ORFs as well as N-terminal extensions (NTEs) and truncations. We show that NTEs with non-canonical start codons govern the subcellular protein localization and packaging of key viral regulators and structural proteins. We extend the current nomenclature to include all viral gene products and provide a genome browser that visualizes all the obtained data from whole genome to single-nucleotide resolution. Here, using computational integration of multi-omics data, the authors provide a detailed transcriptome and translatome of herpes simplex virus 1 (HSV-1), including previously unidentified ORFs and N-terminal extensions. The study also provides a HSV-1 genome browser and should be a valuable resource for further research. KW - infected-cell protein KW - messenger RNA KW - binding protein KW - type 1 KW - identification KW - ICP27 KW - translation KW - expression KW - sequence KW - domain Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-229884 VL - 11 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Shityakov, Sergey A1 - Förster, Carola A1 - Rethwilm, Axel A1 - Dandekar, Thomas T1 - Evaluation and Prediction of the HIV-1 Central Polypurine Tract Influence on Foamy Viral Vectors to Transduce Dividing and Growth-Arrested Cells N2 - Retroviral vectors are potent tools for gene delivery and various biomedical applications. To accomplish a gene transfer task successfully, retroviral vectors must effectively transduce diverse cell cultures at different phases of a cell cycle. However, very promising retroviral vectors based on the foamy viral (FV) backbone lack the capacity to efficiently transduce quiescent cells. It is hypothesized that this phenomenon might be explained as the inability of foamy viruses to form a pre-integration complex (PIC) with nuclear import activity in growth-arrested cells, which is the characteristic for lentiviruses (HIV-1). In this process, the HIV-1 central polypurine tract (cPPT) serves as a primer for plus-strand synthesis to produce a “flap” element and is believed to be crucial for the subsequent double-stranded cDNA formation of all retroviral RNA genomes. In this study, the effects of the lentiviral cPPT element on the FV transduction potential in dividing and growth-arrested (G1/S phase) adenocarcinomic human alveolar basal epithelial (A549) cells are investigated by experimental and theoretical methods. The results indicated that the HIV-1 cPPT element in a foamy viral vector background will lead to a significant reduction of the FV transduction and viral titre in growth-arrested cells due to the absence of PICs with nuclear import activity. KW - Evaluation KW - Prognose KW - HIV KW - Spumaviren KW - Einfluss Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-112763 ER -