TY - JOUR A1 - Asare-Kyei, Daniel A1 - Forkuor, Gerald A1 - Venus, Valentijn T1 - Modeling Flood Hazard Zones at the Sub-District Level with the Rational Model Integrated with GIS and Remote Sensing Approaches JF - Water N2 - Robust risk assessment requires accurate flood intensity area mapping to allow for the identification of populations and elements at risk. However, available flood maps in West Africa lack spatial variability while global datasets have resolutions too coarse to be relevant for local scale risk assessment. Consequently, local disaster managers are forced to use traditional methods such as watermarks on buildings and media reports to identify flood hazard areas. In this study, remote sensing and Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques were combined with hydrological and statistical models to delineate the spatial limits of flood hazard zones in selected communities in Ghana, Burkina Faso and Benin. The approach involves estimating peak runoff concentrations at different elevations and then applying statistical methods to develop a Flood Hazard Index (FHI). Results show that about half of the study areas fall into high intensity flood zones. Empirical validation using statistical confusion matrix and the principles of Participatory GIS show that flood hazard areas could be mapped at an accuracy ranging from 77% to 81%. This was supported with local expert knowledge which accurately classified 79% of communities deemed to be highly susceptible to flood hazard. The results will assist disaster managers to reduce the risk to flood disasters at the community level where risk outcomes are first materialized. KW - climate change KW - rational model KW - community KW - flood hazard index KW - West Africa KW - GIS KW - vulnerability KW - performance KW - impact KW - risk KW - mapping KW - runoff Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-151581 VL - 7 SP - 3531 EP - 3564 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Drozd, Valentina M. A1 - Saenko, Vladimir A. A1 - Brenner, Alina V. A1 - Drozdovitch, Vladimir A1 - Pashkevich, Vasilii I. A1 - Kudelsky, Anatoliy V. A1 - Demidchik, Yuri E. A1 - Branovan, Igor A1 - Shiglik, Nikolay T1 - Major Factors Affecting Incidence of Childhood Thyroid Cancer in Belarus after the Chernobyl Accident: Do Nitrates in Drinking Water Play a Role? JF - PLoS One N2 - One of the major health consequences of the Chernobyl Nuclear Power Plant accident in 1986 was a dramatic increase in incidence of thyroid cancer among those who were aged less than 18 years at the time of the accident. This increase has been directly linked in several analytic epidemiological studies to iodine-131 (I-131) thyroid doses received from the accident. However, there remains limited understanding of factors that modify the I-131-related risk. Focusing on post-Chernobyl pediatric thyroid cancer in Belarus, we reviewed evidence of the effects of radiation, thyroid screening, and iodine deficiency on regional differences in incidence rates of thyroid cancer. We also reviewed current evidence on content of nitrate in groundwater and thyroid cancer risk drawing attention to high levels of nitrates in open well water in several contaminated regions of Belarus, i.e. Gomel and Brest, related to the usage of nitrogen fertilizers. In this hypothesis generating study, based on ecological data and biological plausibility, we suggest that nitrate pollution may modify the radiation-related risk of thyroid cancer contributing to regional differences in rates of pediatric thyroid cancer in Belarus. Analytic epidemiological studies designed to evaluate joint effect of nitrate content in groundwater and radiation present a promising avenue of research and may provide useful insights into etiology of thyroid cancer. KW - analysis KW - areas KW - power-station accident KW - iodine nutrition KW - skin hemagioma KW - pooled KW - risk KW - children KW - radiation KW - exposure KW - radiotherapy Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-141863 VL - 10 IS - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marenholz, Ingo A1 - Esparza-Gordillo, Jorge A1 - Rüschendorf, Franz A1 - Bauerfeind, Anja A1 - Strachan, David P. A1 - Spycher, Ben D. A1 - Baurecht, Hansjörg A1 - Magaritte-Jeannin, Patricia A1 - Sääf, Annika A1 - Kerkhof, Marjan A1 - Ege, Markus A1 - Baltic, Svetlana A1 - Matheson, Melanie C. A1 - Li, Jin A1 - Michel, Sven A1 - Ang, Wei Q. A1 - McArdle, Wendy A1 - Arnold, Andreas A1 - Homuth, Georg A1 - Demenais, Florence A1 - Bouzigon, Emmanuelle A1 - Söderhäll, Cilla A1 - Pershagen, Göran A1 - de Jongste, Johan C. A1 - Postma, Dirkje S. A1 - Braun-Fahrländer, Charlotte A1 - Horak, Elisabeth A1 - Ogorodova, Ludmila M. A1 - Puzyrev, Valery P. A1 - Bragina, Elena Yu A1 - Hudson, Thomas J. A1 - Morin, Charles A1 - Duffy, David L. A1 - Marks, Guy B. A1 - Robertson, Colin F. A1 - Montgomery, Grant W. A1 - Musk, Bill A1 - Thompson, Philip J. A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. A1 - James, Alan A1 - Sleiman, Patrick A1 - Toskala, Elina A1 - Rodriguez, Elke A1 - Fölster-Holst, Regina A1 - Franke, Andre A1 - Lieb, Wolfgang A1 - Gieger, Christian A1 - Heinzmann, Andrea A1 - Rietschel, Ernst A1 - Keil, Thomas A1 - Cichon, Sven A1 - Nöthen, Markus M. A1 - Pennel, Craig E. A1 - Sly, Peter D. A1 - Schmidt, Carsten O. A1 - Matanovic, Anja A1 - Schneider, Valentin A1 - Heinig, Matthias A1 - Hübner, Norbert A1 - Holt, Patrick G. A1 - Lau, Susanne A1 - Kabesch, Michael A1 - Weidinger, Stefan A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Ferreira, Manuel A. R. A1 - Laprise, Catherine A1 - Freidin, Maxim B. A1 - Genuneit, Jon A1 - Koppelman, Gerard H. A1 - Melén, Erik A1 - Dizier, Marie-Hélène A1 - Henderson, A. John A1 - Lee, Young Ae T1 - Meta-analysis identifies seven susceptibility loci involved in the atopic march JF - Nature Communications N2 - Eczema often precedes the development of asthma in a disease course called the 'atopic march'. To unravel the genes underlying this characteristic pattern of allergic disease, we conduct a multi-stage genome-wide association study on infantile eczema followed by childhood asthma in 12 populations including 2,428 cases and 17,034 controls. Here we report two novel loci specific for the combined eczema plus asthma phenotype, which are associated with allergic disease for the first time; rs9357733 located in EFHC1 on chromosome 6p12.3 (OR 1.27; P = 2.1 x 10(-8)) and rs993226 between TMTC2 and SLC6A15 on chromosome 12q21.3 (OR 1.58; P = 5.3 x 10(-9)). Additional susceptibility loci identified at genome-wide significance are FLG (1q21.3), IL4/KIF3A (5q31.1), AP5B1/OVOL1 (11q13.1), C11orf30/LRRC32 (11q13.5) and IKZF3 (17q21). We show that predominantly eczema loci increase the risk for the atopic march. Our findings suggest that eczema may play an important role in the development of asthma after eczema. KW - chromosome 11Q13 KW - risk KW - genomewide association KW - hay fever KW - birth cohort KW - filaggrin mutations KW - food allergy KW - juvenile myoclonic epilepsy KW - childhood asthma KW - dermatitis Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-139835 VL - 6 IS - 8804 ER -