TY - JOUR A1 - Pfennig, Andrea A1 - Leopold, Karolina A1 - Bechdolf, Andreas A1 - Correll, Christoph U. A1 - Holtmann, Martin A1 - Lambert, Martin A1 - Marx, Carolin A1 - Meyer, Thomas D. A1 - Pfeiffer, Steffi A1 - Reif, Andreas A1 - Rottmann-Wolf, Maren A1 - Schmitt, Natalie M. A1 - Stamm, Thomas A1 - Juckel, Georg A1 - Bauer, Michael T1 - Early specific cognitive-behavioural psychotherapy in subjects at high risk for bipolar disorders: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial JF - TRIALS N2 - Background: Bipolar disorders (BD) are among the most severe mental disorders with first clinical signs and symptoms frequently appearing in adolescence and early adulthood. The long latency in clinical diagnosis (and subsequent adequate treatment) adversely affects the course of disease, effectiveness of interventions and health-related quality of life, and increases the economic burden of BD. Despite uncertainties about risk constellations and symptomatology in the early stages of potentially developing BD, many adolescents and young adults seek help, and most of them suffer substantially from symptoms already leading to impairments in psychosocial functioning in school, training, at work and in their social relationships. We aimed to identify subjects at risk of developing BD and investigate the efficacy and safety of early specific cognitive-behavioural psychotherapy (CBT) in this subpopulation. Methods/Design: EarlyCBT is a randomised controlled multi-centre clinical trial to evaluate the efficacy and safety of early specific CBT, including stress management and problem solving strategies, with elements of mindfulness-based therapy (MBT) versus unstructured group meetings for 14 weeks each and follow-up until week 78. Participants are recruited at seven university hospitals throughout Germany, which provide in-and outpatient care (including early recognition centres) for psychiatric patients. Subjects at high risk must be 15 to 30 years old and meet the combination of specified affective symptomatology, reduction of psychosocial functioning, and family history for (schizo) affective disorders. Primary efficacy endpoints are differences in psychosocial functioning and defined affective symptomatology at 14 weeks between groups. Secondary endpoints include the above mentioned endpoints at 7, 24, 52 and 78 weeks and the change within groups compared to baseline; perception of, reaction to and coping with stress; and conversion to full BD. Discussion: To our knowledge, this is the first study to evaluate early specific CBT in subjects at high risk for BD. Structured diagnostic interviews are used to map the risk status and development of disease. With our study, the level of evidence for the treatment of those young patients will be significantly raised. KW - cognitive-behavioural psychotherapy KW - bipolar disorders KW - early recognition KW - intervention study KW - of-the-literature KW - ultra-high risk KW - spectrum disorder KW - early intervention KW - rating scale Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-116279 SN - 1468-6694 SN - 1745-6215 VL - 15 IS - 161 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schümann, Franziska Lea A1 - Groß, Elisabeth A1 - Bauer, Marcus A1 - Rohde, Christian A1 - Sandmann, Sarah A1 - Terziev, Denis A1 - Müller, Lutz P. A1 - Posern, Guido A1 - Wienke, Andreas A1 - Fend, Falko A1 - Hansmann, Martin-Leo A1 - Klapper, Wolfram A1 - Rosenwald, Andreas A1 - Stein, Harald A1 - Dugas, Martin A1 - Müller-Tidow, Carsten A1 - Wickenhauser, Claudia A1 - Binder, Mascha A1 - Weber, Thomas T1 - Divergent effects of EZH1 and EZH2 protein expression on the prognosis of patients with T-cell lymphomas JF - Biomedicines N2 - T-cell lymphomas are highly heterogeneous and their prognosis is poor under the currently available therapies. Enhancers of zeste homologue 1 and 2 (EZH1/2) are histone H3 lysine-27 trimethyltransferases (H3K27me3). Despite the rapid development of new drugs inhibiting EZH2 and/or EZH1, the molecular interplay of these proteins and the impact on disease progression and prognosis of patients with T-cell lymphomas remains insufficiently understood. In this study, EZH1/2 mutation status was evaluated in 33 monomorphic epitheliotropic intestinal T-cell lymphomas by next generation sequencing and EZH1/2 and H3K27me3 protein expression levels were detected by immunohistochemistry in 46 T-cell lymphomas. Correlations with clinicopathologic features were analyzed and survival curves generated. No EZH1 mutations and one (3%) EZH2 missense mutation were identified. In univariable analysis, high EZH1 expression was associated with an improved overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) whereas high EZH2 and H3K27me3 expression were associated with poorer OS and PFS. Multivariable analysis revealed EZH1 (hazard ratio (HR) = 0.183; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.044–0.767; p = 0.020;) and EZH2 (HR = 8.245; 95% CI: 1.898–35.826; p = 0.005) to be independent, divergent prognostic markers for OS. In conclusion, EZH1/2 protein expression had opposing effects on the prognosis of T-cell lymphoma patients. KW - T-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphomas KW - PTCL KW - epigenetics KW - EZH1 KW - EZH2 KW - H3K27me3 KW - immunohistochemistry KW - next generation sequencing Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-252155 SN - 2227-9059 VL - 9 IS - 12 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Leopold, Karolina A1 - Bauer, Michael A1 - Bechdolf, Andreas A1 - Correll, Christoph U. A1 - Holtmann, Martin A1 - Juckel, Georg A1 - Lambert, Martin A1 - Meyer, Thomas D. A1 - Pfeiffer, Steffi A1 - Kittel‐Schneider, Sarah A1 - Reif, Andreas A1 - Stamm, Thomas J. A1 - Rottmann‐Wolf, Maren A1 - Mathiebe, Josephine A1 - Kellmann, Eva L. A1 - Ritter, Philipp A1 - Krüger‐Özgürdal, Seza A1 - Karow, Anne A1 - Sondergeld, Lene‐Marie A1 - Roessner, Veit A1 - Sauer, Cathrin A1 - Pfennig, Andrea T1 - Efficacy of cognitive‐behavioral group therapy in patients at risk for serious mental illness presenting with subthreshold bipolar symptoms: Results from a prespecified interim analysis of a multicenter, randomized, controlled study JF - Bipolar Disorders N2 - Objective Most patients with bipolar disorders (BD) exhibit prodromal symptoms before a first (hypo)manic episode. Patients with clinically significant symptoms fulfilling at‐risk criteria for serious mental illness (SMI) require effective and safe treatment. Cognitive‐behavioral psychotherapy (CBT) has shown promising results in early stages of BD and in patients at high risk for psychosis. We aimed to investigate whether group CBT can improve symptoms and functional deficits in young patients at risk for SMI presenting with subthreshold bipolar symptoms. Method In a multicenter, randomized, controlled trial, patients at clinical risk for SMI presenting with subthreshold bipolar symptoms aged 15‐30 years were randomized to 14 weeks of at‐risk for BD‐specific group CBT or unstructured group meetings. Primary efficacy endpoints were differences in affective symptomatology and psychosocial functioning at 14 weeks. At‐risk status was defined as a combination of subthreshold bipolar symptomatology, reduction of psychosocial functioning and a family history for (schizo)affective disorders. A prespecified interim analysis was conducted at 75% of the targeted sample. Results Of 128 screened participants, 75 were randomized to group CBT (n = 38, completers = 65.8%) vs unstructured group meetings (n = 37, completers = 78.4%). Affective symptomatology and psychosocial functioning improved significantly at week 14 (P < .001) and during 6 months (P < .001) in both groups, without significant between‐group differences. Findings are limited by the interim character of the analysis, the use of not fully validated early detection interviews, a newly adapted intervention manual, and the substantial drop‐outs. Conclusions Results suggest that young patients at‐risk for SMI presenting with subthreshold bipolar symptoms benefit from early group sessions. The degree of specificity and psychotherapeutic interaction needed requires clarification. KW - at‐risk KW - bipolar disorder KW - CBT KW - early intervention KW - group treatment KW - prodromal KW - serious mental illness KW - subthreshold bipolar Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-215469 VL - 22 IS - 5 SP - 517 EP - 529 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Biere, Silvia A1 - Kranz, Thorsten M. A1 - Matura, Silke A1 - Petrova, Kristiyana A1 - Streit, Fabian A1 - Chiocchetti, Andreas G. A1 - Grimm, Oliver A1 - Brum, Murielle A1 - Brunkhorst-Kanaan, Natalie A1 - Oertel, Viola A1 - Malyshau, Aliaksandr A1 - Pfennig, Andrea A1 - Bauer, Michael A1 - Schulze, Thomas G. A1 - Kittel-Schneider, Sarah A1 - Reif, Andreas T1 - Risk Stratification for Bipolar Disorder Using Polygenic Risk Scores Among Young High-Risk Adults JF - Frontiers in Psychiatry N2 - Objective: Identifying high-risk groups with an increased genetic liability for bipolar disorder (BD) will provide insights into the etiology of BD and contribute to early detection of BD. We used the BD polygenic risk score (PRS) derived from BD genome-wide association studies (GWAS) to explore how such genetic risk manifests in young, high-risk adults. We postulated that BD-PRS would be associated with risk factors for BD. Methods: A final sample of 185 young, high-risk German adults (aged 18–35 years) were grouped into three risk groups and compared to a healthy control group (n = 1,100). The risk groups comprised 117 cases with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), 45 with major depressive disorder (MDD), and 23 help-seeking adults with early recognition symptoms [ER: positive family history for BD, (sub)threshold affective symptomatology and/or mood swings, sleeping disorder]. BD-PRS was computed for each participant. Logistic regression models (controlling for sex, age, and the first five ancestry principal components) were used to assess associations of BD-PRS and the high-risk phenotypes. Results: We observed an association between BD-PRS and combined risk group status (OR = 1.48, p < 0.001), ADHD diagnosis (OR = 1.32, p = 0.009), MDD diagnosis (OR = 1.96, p < 0.001), and ER group status (OR = 1.7, p = 0.025; not significant after correction for multiple testing) compared to healthy controls. Conclusions: In the present study, increased genetic risk for BD was a significant predictor for MDD and ADHD status, but not for ER. These findings support an underlying shared risk for both MDD and BD as well as ADHD and BD. Improving our understanding of the underlying genetic architecture of these phenotypes may aid in early identification and risk stratification. KW - polygenic risk score KW - bipolar disorder KW - genetic phenotypes KW - depression KW - ADHD KW - early recognition Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-214976 VL - 11 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bauer, Boris A1 - Goebeler, Matthias A1 - Weissbrich, Benedikt A1 - Kerstan, Andreas T1 - Kerinokeratosis papulosa of childhood JF - Dermatology N2 - Background: Kerinokeratosis papulosa (KP) is considered an extremely rare genodermatosis presenting usually as waxy papules on the trunk in childhood. Objective: To describe and analyze the clinical, histological and potential etiopathological aspects of KP. Methods: The dermatoscopic features of a new case of KP of childhood are investigated. The presence of human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA in lesional skin was studied by polymerase chain reaction. Furthermore, all cases of KP of childhood reported so far were reviewed. Results: As a diagnostic tool, we describe for the first time a dermatoscopic feature, namely a cribriform pattern of KP, in an 11-year-old boy. In addition, we detected HPV (type 57) in his KP lesions. Conclusions: Dermatoscopic examination might be a useful tool to distinguish KP from other skin lesions, e.g. common warts. The detection of HPV type 57 might hint to an etiological role of HPV for KP. KW - Waxy papulosis of childhood KW - Human papillomavirus KW - EVER1 KW - EVER2 KW - Kerinokeratosis papulosa Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-198997 SN - 1018-8665 SN - 1421-9832 N1 - This publication is with permission of the rights owner freely accessible due to an Alliance licence and a national licence (funded by the DFG, German Research Foundation) respectively. VL - 231 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 4 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lapa, Constantin A1 - Reiter, Theresa A1 - Kircher, Malte A1 - Schirbel, Andreas A1 - Werner, Rudolf A. A1 - Pelzer, Theo A1 - Pizarro, Carmen A1 - Skowasch, Dirk A1 - Thomas, Lena A1 - Schlesinger-Irsch, Ulrike A1 - Thomas, Daniel A1 - Bundschuh, Ralph A. A1 - Bauer, Wolfgang R. A1 - Gartner, Florian C. T1 - Somatostatin receptor based PET/CT in patients with the suspicion of cardiac sarcoidosis: an initial comparison to cardiac MRI JF - Oncotarget N2 - Diagnosis of cardiac sarcoidosis is often challenging. Whereas cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) and positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) with \(^{18}\)F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) are most commonly used to evaluate patients, PET/CT using radiolabeled somatostatin receptor (SSTR) ligands for visualization of inflammation might represent a more specific alternative. This study aimed to investigate the feasibility of SSTR–PET/CT for detecting cardiac sarcoidosis in comparison to CMR. 15 patients (6 males, 9 females) with sarcoidosis and suspicion on cardiac involvement underwent SSTR-PET/CT imaging and CMR. Images were visually scored. The AHA 17-segment model of the left myocardium was used for localization and comparison of inflamed myocardium for both imaging modalities. In semi-quantitative analysis, mean (SUV\(_{mean}\)) and maximum standardized uptake values (SUV\(_{max}\)) of affected myocardium were calculated and compared with both remote myocardium and left ventricular (LV) cavity. SSTR-PET was positive in 7/15, CMR in 10/15 patients. Of the 3 CMR+/PET- subjects, one patient with minor involvement (<25% of wall thickness in CMR) was missed by PET. The remaining two CMR+/PET- patients displayed no adverse cardiac events during follow-up. In the 17-segment model, PET/CT yielded 27 and CMR 29 positive segments. Overall concordance of the 2 modalities was 96.1% (245/255 segments analyzed). SUV\(_{mean}\) and SUV\(_{max}\) in inflamed areas were 2.0±1.2 and 2.6±1.2, respectively. The lesion-to-remote myocardium and lesion-to-LV cavity ratios were 1.8±0.2 and 1.9±0.2 for SUV\(_{mean}\) and 2.0±0.3 and 1.7±0.3 for SUV\(_{max}\), respectively. Detection of cardiac sarcoidosis by SSTR-PET/CT is feasible. Our data warrant further analysis in larger prospective series. KW - sarcoidosis KW - PET KW - SSTR KW - somatostatin receptor KW - DOTATOC Y1 - 2016 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-175423 VL - 7 IS - 47 ER - TY - THES A1 - Bauer, Andreas Ludwig T1 - Evaluation des Einflusses sagitaler Weichteilparameter hinsichtlich der Attraktivität des Weichteilprofils T1 - Evaluation of the influence of soft tissue parameters regarding the attractiveness of the soft tissue profile N2 - Viele der in der kieferorthopädischen Therapie verwendeten Messwerte stammen aus methodisch zumindest fragwürdigen Quellen. Um diese Werte zu überprüfen und den Einfluss einzelner Weichteilparameter auf die Attraktivität des Gesichtsprofils zu untersuchen, wurden von einem Durchschnittsgesicht in der Saggitalen verschiedene Variationen erstellt, wobei pro Bilderreihe jeweils nur ein Parameter verändert wurde. Zu untersuchende Parameter waren: Die Profiltypen nach AM Schwarz, das Gesichtshöhenverhältnis nach Kollman, Holdawaywinkel, Z-Winkel (Merrifield), Nasofacialwinkel, Nasolabialwinkel (obere und untere Komponente) sowie die Nasenlänge. Die Bilderserien wurden von Probanden hinsichtlich der Attraktivität bewertet und eine statistische Auswertung erstellt. Dabei wurden die nach hinten schiefen Gesichter deutlich besser bewertet als die geraden und nach vorne schiefen Profilverläufe. Ein über die untere Komponente verkleinerter Nasolabialwinkel wurde am besten bewertet. Ein flacheres Lippenprofil wurde im Holdaway- und Z-Winkel tendenziell besser bewertet. N2 - Many of the values used in orthodontic therapy derived from at least methodologically questionable sources. To check the current value of these parameters and to examine the influence of individual parameters on the soft tissue facial profile attractiveness, several variations have been created by an average face in the sagittal, whereby in a series of images, only one parameter was changed. Parameters to be examined were: The profile types according to AM Schwarz, the facial height ratio (Kollman), Holdaway’s angle, Z-angle (Merrifield), nasofacial angle, nasolabial angle (upper and lower component) and the nose length. The series of images were evaluated by subjects in terms of attractiveness and a statistical analysis was carried out. The leaning back faces were rated significantly better than the straight and forward profile curves. A Nasolabial angle reduced by the lower component (lips) was rated best. A flatter lip profile (Holdaway- and Z–angle) tends to be rated better. KW - Attraktivität KW - Profil KW - Gesicht KW - Nase KW - Lippen KW - soft tissue profile Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-106591 ER - TY - THES A1 - Bauer, Andreas T1 - Argumentieren mit multiplen und dynamischen Repräsentationen T1 - Reasoning with multiple and dynamic representations N2 - Der Einzug des Rechners in den Mathematikunterricht hat eine Vielzahl neuer Möglichkeiten der Darstellung mit sich gebracht, darunter auch multiple, dynamisch verbundene Repräsentationen mathematischer Probleme. Die Arbeit beantwortet die Frage, ob und wie diese Repräsentationsarten von Schülerinnen und Schüler in Argumentationen genutzt werden. In der empirischen Untersuchung wurde dabei einerseits quantitativ erforscht, wie groß der Einfluss der in der Aufgabenstellung gegebenen Repräsentationsform auf die schriftliche Argumentationen der Schülerinnen und Schüler ist. Andererseits wurden durch eine qualitative Analyse spezifische Nutzungsweisen identifiziert und mittels Toulmins Argumentationsmodell beschrieben. Diese Erkenntnisse wurden genutzt, um Konsequenzen bezüglich der Verwendung von multiplen und/oder dynamischen Repräsentationen im Mathematikunterricht der Sekundarstufe zu formulieren. KW - Argumentation KW - Mathematikunterricht KW - Sekundarstufe KW - Neue Medien KW - Multiple Repräsentationen KW - Dynamische Repräsentation KW - Multiple representations KW - Dynamic representations KW - Teaching KW - new media Y1 - 2015 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-112114 SN - 978-3-95826-022-1 (print) SN - 978-3-95826-023-8 (online) PB - Würzburg University Press CY - Würzburg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Manchia, Mirko A1 - Adli, Mazda A1 - Akula, Nirmala A1 - Arda, Raffaella A1 - Aubry, Jean-Michel A1 - Backlund, Lena A1 - Banzato, Claudio E. M. A1 - Baune, Bernhard T. A1 - Bellivier, Frank A1 - Bengesser, Susanne A1 - Biernacka, Joanna M. A1 - Brichant-Petitjean, Clara A1 - Bui, Elise A1 - Calkin, Cynthia V. A1 - Cheng, Andrew Tai Ann A1 - Chillotti, Caterina A1 - Cichon, Sven A1 - Clark, Scott A1 - Czerski, Piotr M. A1 - Dantas, Clarissa A1 - Del Zompo, Maria A1 - DePaulo, J. Raymond A1 - Detera-Wadleigh, Sevilla D. A1 - Etain, Bruno A1 - Falkai, Peter A1 - Frisén, Louise A1 - Frye, Mark A. A1 - Fullerton, Jan A1 - Gard, Sébastien A1 - Garnham, Julie A1 - Goes, Fernando S. A1 - Grof, Paul A1 - Gruber, Oliver A1 - Hashimoto, Ryota A1 - Hauser, Joanna A1 - Heilbronner, Urs A1 - Hoban, Rebecca A1 - Hou, Liping A1 - Jamain, Stéphane A1 - Kahn, Jean-Pierre A1 - Kassem, Layla A1 - Kato, Tadafumi A1 - Kelsoe, John R. A1 - Kittel-Schneider, Sarah A1 - Kliwicki, Sebastian A1 - Kuo, Po-Hsiu A1 - Kusumi, Ichiro A1 - Laje, Gonzalo A1 - Lavebratt, Catharina A1 - Leboyer, Marion A1 - Leckband, Susan G. A1 - López Jaramillo, Carlos A. A1 - Maj, Mario A1 - Malafosse, Alain A1 - Martinsson, Lina A1 - Masui, Takuya A1 - Mitchell, Philip B. A1 - Mondimore, Frank A1 - Monteleone, Palmiero A1 - Nallet, Audrey A1 - Neuner, Maria A1 - Novák, Tomás A1 - O'Donovan, Claire A1 - Ösby, Urban A1 - Ozaki, Norio A1 - Perlis, Roy H. A1 - Pfennig, Andrea A1 - Potash, James B. A1 - Reich-Erkelenz, Daniela A1 - Reif, Andreas A1 - Reininghaus, Eva A1 - Richardson, Sara A1 - Rouleau, Guy A. A1 - Rybakowski, Janusz K. A1 - Schalling, Martin A1 - Schofield, Peter R. A1 - Schubert, Oliver K. A1 - Schweizer, Barbara A1 - Seemüller, Florian A1 - Grigoroiu-Serbanescu, Maria A1 - Severino, Giovanni A1 - Seymour, Lisa R. A1 - Slaney, Claire A1 - Smoller, Jordan W. A1 - Squassina, Alessio A1 - Stamm, Thomas A1 - Steele, Jo A1 - Stopkova, Pavla A1 - Tighe, Sarah K. A1 - Tortorella, Alfonso A1 - Turecki, Gustavo A1 - Wray, Naomi R. A1 - Wright, Adam A1 - Zandi, Peter P. A1 - Zilles, David A1 - Bauer, Michael A1 - Rietschel, Marcella A1 - McMahon, Francis J. A1 - Schulze, Thomas G. A1 - Alda, Martin T1 - Assessment of Response to Lithium Maintenance Treatment in Bipolar Disorder: A Consortium on Lithium Genetics (ConLiGen) Report JF - PLoS ONE N2 - Objective: The assessment of response to lithium maintenance treatment in bipolar disorder (BD) is complicated by variable length of treatment, unpredictable clinical course, and often inconsistent compliance. Prospective and retrospective methods of assessment of lithium response have been proposed in the literature. In this study we report the key phenotypic measures of the "Retrospective Criteria of Long-Term Treatment Response in Research Subjects with Bipolar Disorder" scale currently used in the Consortium on Lithium Genetics (ConLiGen) study. Materials and Methods: Twenty-nine ConLiGen sites took part in a two-stage case-vignette rating procedure to examine inter-rater agreement [Kappa (\(\kappa\))] and reliability [intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC)] of lithium response. Annotated first-round vignettes and rating guidelines were circulated to expert research clinicians for training purposes between the two stages. Further, we analyzed the distributional properties of the treatment response scores available for 1,308 patients using mixture modeling. Results: Substantial and moderate agreement was shown across sites in the first and second sets of vignettes (\(\kappa\) = 0.66 and \(\kappa\) = 0.54, respectively), without significant improvement from training. However, definition of response using the A score as a quantitative trait and selecting cases with B criteria of 4 or less showed an improvement between the two stages (\(ICC_1 = 0.71\) and \(ICC_2 = 0.75\), respectively). Mixture modeling of score distribution indicated three subpopulations (full responders, partial responders, non responders). Conclusions: We identified two definitions of lithium response, one dichotomous and the other continuous, with moderate to substantial inter-rater agreement and reliability. Accurate phenotypic measurement of lithium response is crucial for the ongoing ConLiGen pharmacogenomic study. KW - age KW - observer agreement KW - prophylactic lithium KW - mapping susceptibility genes KW - mood disorders KW - onset KW - association KW - reliability KW - morality KW - illness Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-130938 VL - 8 IS - 6 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grabenhenrich, Linus B. A1 - Reich, Andreas A1 - Fischer, Felix A1 - Zepp, Fred A1 - Forster, Johannes A1 - Schuster, Antje A1 - Bauer, Carl-Peter A1 - Bergmann, Renate L. A1 - Bergmann, Karl E. A1 - Wahn, Ulrich A1 - Keil, Thomas A1 - Lau, Susanne T1 - The Novel 10-Item Asthma Prediction Tool: External Validation in the German MAS Birth Cohort JF - PLOS ONE N2 - Background: A novel non-invasive asthma prediction tool from the Leicester Cohort, UK, forecasts asthma at age 8 years based on 10 predictors assessed in early childhood, including current respiratory symptoms, eczema, and parental history of asthma. Objective: We aimed to externally validate the proposed asthma prediction method in a German birth cohort. Methods: The MAS-90 study (Multicentre Allergy Study) recorded details on allergic diseases prospectively in about yearly follow-up assessments up to age 20 years in a cohort of 1,314 children born 1990. We replicated the scoring method from the Leicester cohort and assessed prediction, performance and discrimination. The primary outcome was defined as the combination of parent-reported wheeze and asthma drugs (both in last 12 months) at age 8. Sensitivity analyses assessed model performance for outcomes related to asthma up to age 20 years. Results: For 140 children parents reported current wheeze or cough at age 3 years. Score distribution and frequencies of later asthma resembled the Leicester cohort: 9% vs. 16% (MAS-90 vs. Leicester) of children at low risk at 3 years had asthma at 8 years, at medium risk 45% vs. 48%. Performance of the asthma prediction tool in the MAS-90 cohort was similar (Brier score 0.22 vs. 0.23) and discrimination slightly better than in the original cohort (area under the curve, AUC 0.83 vs. 0.78). Prediction and discrimination were robust against changes of inclusion criteria, scoring and outcome definitions. The secondary outcome 'physicians' diagnosed asthma at 20 years' showed the highest discrimination (AUC 0.89). Conclusion: The novel asthma prediction tool from the Leicester cohort, UK, performed well in another population, a German birth cohort, supporting its use and further development as a simple aid to predict asthma risk in clinical settings. KW - disease KW - models KW - symptoms KW - risk KW - early-life KW - young children KW - preschool children KW - sample KW - wheeze KW - age Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-114202 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 9 IS - 12 ER -