TY - JOUR A1 - Arendt, Robert A1 - Reinhardt-Imjela, Christian A1 - Schulte, Achim A1 - Faulstich, Leona A1 - Ullmann, Tobias A1 - Beck, Lorenz A1 - Martinis, Sandro A1 - Johannes, Petrina A1 - Lengricht, Joachim T1 - Natural pans as an important surface water resource in the Cuvelai Basin — Metrics for storage volume calculations and identification of potential augmentation sites JF - Water N2 - Numerous ephemeral rivers and thousands of natural pans characterize the transboundary Iishana-System of the Cuvelai Basin between Namibia and Angola. After the rainy season, surface water stored in pans is often the only affordable water source for many people in rural areas. High inter- and intra-annual rainfall variations in this semiarid environment provoke years of extreme flood events and long periods of droughts. Thus, the issue of water availability is playing an increasingly important role in one of the most densely populated and fastest growing regions in southwestern Africa. Currently, there is no transnational approach to quantifying the potential storage and supply functions of the Iishana-System. To bridge these knowledge gaps and to increase the resilience of the local people's livelihood, suitable pans for expansion as intermediate storage were identified and their metrics determined. Therefore, a modified Blue Spot Analysis was performed, based on the high-resolution TanDEM-X digital elevation model. Further, surface area–volume ratio calculations were accomplished for finding suitable augmentation sites in a first step. The potential water storage volume of more than 190,000 pans was calculated at 1.9 km\(^3\). Over 2200 pans were identified for potential expansion to facilitate increased water supply and flood protection in the future. KW - Namibia KW - Angola KW - Oshana KW - flood KW - drought KW - water retention KW - storage volume KW - Blue Spot Analysis KW - TanDEM-X KW - pan Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-223019 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 13 IS - 2 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dech, Stefan A1 - Holzwarth, Stefanie A1 - Asam, Sarah A1 - Andresen, Thorsten A1 - Bachmann, Martin A1 - Boettcher, Martin A1 - Dietz, Andreas A1 - Eisfelder, Christina A1 - Frey, Corinne A1 - Gesell, Gerhard A1 - Gessner, Ursula A1 - Hirner, Andreas A1 - Hofmann, Matthias A1 - Kirches, Grit A1 - Klein, Doris A1 - Klein, Igor A1 - Kraus, Tanja A1 - Krause, Detmar A1 - Plank, Simon A1 - Popp, Thomas A1 - Reinermann, Sophie A1 - Reiners, Philipp A1 - Roessler, Sebastian A1 - Ruppert, Thomas A1 - Scherbachenko, Alexander A1 - Vignesh, Ranjitha A1 - Wolfmueller, Meinhard A1 - Zwenzner, Hendrik A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - Potential and challenges of harmonizing 40 years of AVHRR data: the TIMELINE experience JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Earth Observation satellite data allows for the monitoring of the surface of our planet at predefined intervals covering large areas. However, there is only one medium resolution sensor family in orbit that enables an observation time span of 40 and more years at a daily repeat interval. This is the AVHRR sensor family. If we want to investigate the long-term impacts of climate change on our environment, we can only do so based on data that remains available for several decades. If we then want to investigate processes with respect to climate change, we need very high temporal resolution enabling the generation of long-term time series and the derivation of related statistical parameters such as mean, variability, anomalies, and trends. The challenges to generating a well calibrated and harmonized 40-year-long time series based on AVHRR sensor data flown on 14 different platforms are enormous. However, only extremely thorough pre-processing and harmonization ensures that trends found in the data are real trends and not sensor-related (or other) artefacts. The generation of European-wide time series as a basis for the derivation of a multitude of parameters is therefore an extremely challenging task, the details of which are presented in this paper. KW - AVHRR KW - Earth Observation KW - harmonization KW - time series analysis KW - climate related trends KW - automatic processing KW - Europe KW - TIMELINE Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-246134 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 18 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dirscherl, Mariel A1 - Dietz, Andreas J. A1 - Kneisel, Christof A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - A novel method for automated supraglacial lake mapping in Antarctica using Sentinel-1 SAR imagery and deep learning JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Supraglacial meltwater accumulation on ice sheets can be a main driver for accelerated ice discharge, mass loss, and global sea-level-rise. With further increasing surface air temperatures, meltwater-induced hydrofracturing, basal sliding, or surface thinning will cumulate and most likely trigger unprecedented ice mass loss on the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. While the Greenland surface hydrological network as well as its impacts on ice dynamics and mass balance has been studied in much detail, Antarctic supraglacial lakes remain understudied with a circum-Antarctic record of their spatio-temporal development entirely lacking. This study provides the first automated supraglacial lake extent mapping method using Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) imagery over Antarctica and complements the developed optical Sentinel-2 supraglacial lake detection algorithm presented in our companion paper. In detail, we propose the use of a modified U-Net for semantic segmentation of supraglacial lakes in single-polarized Sentinel-1 imagery. The convolutional neural network (CNN) is implemented with residual connections for optimized performance as well as an Atrous Spatial Pyramid Pooling (ASPP) module for multiscale feature extraction. The algorithm is trained on 21,200 Sentinel-1 image patches and evaluated in ten spatially or temporally independent test acquisitions. In addition, George VI Ice Shelf is analyzed for intra-annual lake dynamics throughout austral summer 2019/2020 and a decision-level fused Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 maximum lake extent mapping product is presented for January 2020 revealing a more complete supraglacial lake coverage (~770 km\(^2\)) than the individual single-sensor products. Classification results confirm the reliability of the proposed workflow with an average Kappa coefficient of 0.925 and a F\(_1\)-score of 93.0% for the supraglacial water class across all test regions. Furthermore, the algorithm is applied in an additional test region covering supraglacial lakes on the Greenland ice sheet which further highlights the potential for spatio-temporal transferability. Future work involves the integration of more training data as well as intra-annual analyses of supraglacial lake occurrence across the whole continent and with focus on supraglacial lake development throughout a summer melt season and into Antarctic winter. KW - Antarctica KW - Antarctic ice sheet KW - supraglacial lakes KW - ice sheet hydrology KW - Sentinel-1 KW - remote sensing KW - machine learning KW - deep learning KW - semantic segmentation KW - convolutional neural network Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-222998 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 2 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dobiński, Wojciech A1 - Kneisel, Christof T1 - Permafrost and glaciers: perspectives for the Earth and planetary sciences — another step forward JF - Geosciences N2 - No abstract available KW - permafrost KW - glaciers Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-228766 SN - 2076-3263 VL - 11 IS - 2 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Emmert, Adrian A1 - Kneisel, Christof T1 - Internal structure and palsa development at Orravatnsrústir Palsa Site (Central Iceland), investigated by means of integrated resistivity and ground‐penetrating radar methods JF - Permafrost and Periglacial Processes N2 - The natural cyclical development of palsas makes it difficult to use visible signs of decay as reference points for environmental change. Thus, to determine the actual development stage of a palsa, investigations of the internal structure are crucial. Our study presents 2‐D and 3‐D electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) and 2‐D ground‐penetrating radar (GPR) results, measurements of surface and subsurface temperatures, and of the soil matric potential from Orravatnsrústir Palsa Site in Central Iceland. By a joint interpretation of the results, we deduce the internal structure (i.e., thickness of thaw zone and permafrost, ice/water content) of five palsas of different size and shape. The results differentiate between initial and mature development stages and show that palsas of different development stages can exist in close proximity. While internal characteristics indicate undisturbed development of four palsas, one palsa shows indications of environmental change. Our study shows the value of the multimethod geophysical approach and introduces measurements of the soil matric potential as a promising method to assess the current state of the subsurface. KW - 3‐D electrical resistivity imaging KW - ground‐penetrating radar KW - palsa development KW - soil matric potential Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-238933 VL - 32 IS - 3 SP - 503 EP - 519 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fekri, Erfan A1 - Latifi, Hooman A1 - Amani, Meisam A1 - Zobeidinezhad, Abdolkarim T1 - A training sample migration method for wetland mapping and monitoring using Sentinel data in Google Earth Engine JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Wetlands are one of the most important ecosystems due to their critical services to both humans and the environment. Therefore, wetland mapping and monitoring are essential for their conservation. In this regard, remote sensing offers efficient solutions due to the availability of cost-efficient archived images over different spatial scales. However, a lack of sufficient consistent training samples at different times is a significant limitation of multi-temporal wetland monitoring. In this study, a new training sample migration method was developed to identify unchanged training samples to be used in wetland classification and change analyses over the International Shadegan Wetland (ISW) areas of southwestern Iran. To this end, we first produced the wetland map of a reference year (2020), for which we had training samples, by combining Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 images and the Random Forest (RF) classifier in Google Earth Engine (GEE). The Overall Accuracy (OA) and Kappa coefficient (KC) of this reference map were 97.93% and 0.97, respectively. Then, an automatic change detection method was developed to migrate unchanged training samples from the reference year to the target years of 2018, 2019, and 2021. Within the proposed method, three indices of the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI), and the mean Standard Deviation (SD) of the spectral bands, along with two similarity measures of the Euclidean Distance (ED) and Spectral Angle Distance (SAD), were computed for each pair of reference–target years. The optimum threshold for unchanged samples was also derived using a histogram thresholding approach, which led to selecting the samples that were most likely unchanged based on the highest OA and KC for classifying the test dataset. The proposed migration sample method resulted in high OAs of 95.89%, 96.83%, and 97.06% and KCs of 0.95, 0.96, and 0.96 for the target years of 2018, 2019, and 2021, respectively. Finally, the migrated samples were used to generate the wetland map for the target years. Overall, our proposed method showed high potential for wetland mapping and monitoring when no training samples existed for a target year. KW - wetland KW - Google Earth Engine (GEE) KW - training sample migration KW - sentinel Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-248542 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 20 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Geyer, Gerd A1 - Landing, Ed T1 - The Souss lagerstatte of the Anti-Atlas, Morocco: discovery of the first Cambrian fossil lagerstatte from Africa JF - Scientific Reports N2 - Episodic low oxygenated conditions on the sea-floor are likely responsible for exceptional preservation of animal remains in the upper Amouslek Formation (lower Cambrian, Stage 3) on the northern slope of the western Anti-Atlas, Morocco. This stratigraphic interval has yielded trilobite, brachiopod, and hyolith fossils with preserved soft parts, including some of the oldest known trilobite guts. The "Souss fossil lagerstatte" (newly proposed designation) represents the first Cambrian fossil lagerstatte in Cambrian strata known from Africa and is one of the oldest trilobite-bearing fossil lagerstatten on Earth. Inter-regional correlation of the Souss fossil lagerstatte in West Gondwana suggests its development during an interval of high eustatic levels recorded by dark shales that occur in informal upper Cambrian Series 2 in Siberia, South China, and East Gondwana. KW - biodiversity KW - palaeontology KW - sedimentology Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-259236 VL - 11 IS - 1 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ghazaryan, Gohar A1 - Rienow, Andreas A1 - Oldenburg, Carsten A1 - Thonfeld, Frank A1 - Trampnau, Birte A1 - Sticksel, Sarah A1 - Jürgens, Carsten T1 - Monitoring of urban sprawl and densification processes in Western Germany in the light of SDG indicator 11.3.1 based on an automated retrospective classification approach JF - Remote Sensing N2 - By 2050, two-third of the world’s population will live in cities. In this study, we develop a framework for analyzing urban growth-related imperviousness in North Rhine-Westphalia (NRW) from the 1980s to date using Landsat data. For the baseline 2017-time step, official geodata was extracted to generate labelled data for ten classes, including three classes representing low, middle, and high level of imperviousness. We used the output of the 2017 classification and information based on radiometric bi-temporal change detection for retrospective classification. Besides spectral bands, we calculated several indices and various temporal composites, which were used as an input for Random Forest classification. The results provide information on three imperviousness classes with accuracies exceeding 75%. According to our results, the imperviousness areas grew continuously from 1985 to 2017, with a high imperviousness area growth of more than 167,000 ha, comprising around 30% increase. The information on the expansion of urban areas was integrated with population dynamics data to estimate the progress towards SDG 11. With the intensity analysis and the integration of population data, the spatial heterogeneity of urban expansion and population growth was analysed, showing that the urban expansion rates considerably excelled population growth rates in some regions in NRW. The study highlights the applicability of earth observation data for accurately quantifying spatio-temporal urban dynamics for sustainable urbanization and targeted planning. KW - impervious surface KW - Landsat time series KW - change detection KW - SDG 11.3.1 KW - population change Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-236671 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Höhn, Stefan A1 - Frimmel, Hartwig E. A1 - Debaille, Vinciane A1 - Price, Westley T1 - Pre‐Klondikean oxidation prepared the ground for Broken Hill‐type mineralization in South Africa JF - Terra Nova N2 - New Cu isotope data obtained on chalcopyrite from the Black Mountain and the Broken Hill deposits in the medium‐ to high‐grade metamorphic Aggeneys‐Gamsberg ore district (South Africa) require a revision of our understanding of the genesis of metamorphic Broken Hill‐type massive sulphide deposits. Chalcopyrite from both deposits revealed unusually wide ranges in δ\(^{65}\)Cu (−2.41 to 2.84‰ NIST 976 standard) in combination with distinctly positive mean values (0.27 and 0.94‰, respectively). This is interpreted to reflect derivation from various silicate and oxide precursor minerals in which Cu occurred in higher oxidation states. Together with the observation of a typical supergene base metal distribution within the deposits and their spatial association with an unconformity only meters above the ore horizon, our new data are best explained by supergene oxidation of originally possibly SEDEX deposits prior to metamorphic sulphide formation, between the Okiepian (1,210–1,180 Ma) and Klondikean (1,040–1,020 Ma) orogenic events. KW - South Africa KW - mineralization KW - Broken Hill Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-218545 VL - 33 IS - 2 SP - 168 EP - 173 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Höhn, Stefan A1 - Frimmel, Hartwig E. A1 - Prince, Westley T1 - Syn-metamorphic sulfidation of the Gamsberg zinc deposit, South Africa JF - Mineralogy and Petrology N2 - The Mesoproterozoic Aggeneys-Gamsberg ore district, South Africa, is one of the world´s largest sulfidic base metal concentrations and well-known as a prime example of Broken Hill-type base metal deposits, traditionally interpreted as metamorphosed SEDEX deposits. Within this district, the Gamsberg deposit stands out for its huge size and strongly Zn-dominated ore ( >14 Mt contained Zn). New electron microprobe analyses and element abundance maps of sulfides and silicates point to fluid-driven sulfidation during retrograde metamorphism. Differences in the chemistry of sulfide inclusions within zoned garnet grains reflect different degrees of interaction of sulfides with high metal/sulfur-ratio with a sulfur-rich metamorphic fluid. Independent evidence of sulfidation during retrograde metamorphism comes from graphic-textured sulfide aggregates that previously have been interpreted as quenched sulfidic melts, replacement of pyrrhotite by pyrite along micro-fractures, and sulfides in phyllic alteration zones. Limited availability of fluid under retrograde conditions caused locally different degrees of segregation of Fe-rich sphalerite into Zn-rich sphalerite and pyrite, and thus considerable heterogeneity in sphalerite chemistry. The invoked sulfur-rich metamorphic fluids would have been able to sulfidize base metal-rich zones in the whole deposit and thus camouflage a potential pre-metamorphic oxidation. These findings support the recently established hypothesis of a pre-Klondikean weathering-induced oxidation event and challenge the traditional explanation of Broken Hill-type deposits as merely metamorphosed SEDEX deposits. Instead, we suggest that the massive sulfide deposits experienced a complex history, starting with initial SEDEX-type mineralization, followed by near-surface oxidation with spatial metal separation, and then sulfidation of this oxidized ore during medium- to high-grade metamorphism. KW - Gamsberg KW - metamorphic sulfidation KW - sulfide inclusions KW - base metal deposit KW - Aggeneys Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-268574 SN - 1438-1168 VL - 115 IS - 6 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ibebuchi, Chibuike Chiedozie T1 - Revisiting the 1992 severe drought episode in South Africa: the role of El Niño in the anomalies of atmospheric circulation types in Africa south of the equator JF - Theoretical and Applied Climatology N2 - During strong El Niño events, below-average rainfall is expected in large parts of southern Africa. The 1992 El Niño season was associated with one of the worst drought episodes in large parts of South Africa. Using reanalysis data set from NCEP-NCAR, this study examined circulation types (CTs) in Africa south of the equator that are statistically related to the El Niño signal in the southwest Indian Ocean and the implication of this relationship during the 1992 drought episode in South Africa. A statistically significant correlation was found between the above-average Nino 3.4 index and a CT that features widespread cyclonic activity in the tropical southwest Indian Ocean, coupled with a weaker state of the south Indian Ocean high-pressure. During the analysis period, it was found that the El Niño signal enhanced the amplitude of the aforementioned CT. The impacts of the El Niño signal on CTs in southern Africa, which could have contributed to the 1992 severe drought episode in South Africa, were reflected in (i) robust decrease in the frequency of occurrence of the austral summer climatology pattern of atmospheric circulation that favors southeasterly moisture fluxes, advected by the South Indian Ocean high-pressure; (ii) modulation of easterly moisture fluxes, advected by the South Atlantic Ocean high-pressure, ridging south of South Africa; (iii) and enhancement of the amplitude of CTs that both enhances subsidence over South Africa, and associated with the dominance of westerlies across the Agulhas current. Under the ssp585 scenario, the analyzed climate models suggested that the impact of radiative heating on the CT significantly related to El Niño might result in an anomalous increase in surface pressure at the eastern parts of South Africa. KW - South Africa KW - drought KW - El Niño Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-268569 SN - 1434-4483 VL - 146 IS - 1-2 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ibebuchi, Chibuike Chiedozie T1 - Circulation pattern controls of wet days and dry days in Free State, South Africa JF - Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics N2 - Atmospheric circulation is a vital process in the transport of heat, moisture, and pollutants around the globe. The variability of rainfall depends to some extent on the atmospheric circulation. This paper investigates synoptic situations in southern Africa that can be associated with wet days and dry days in Free State, South Africa, in addition to the underlying dynamics. Principal component analysis was applied to the T-mode matrix (variable is time series and observation is grid points at which the field was observed) of daily mean sea level pressure field from 1979 to 2018 in classifying the circulation patterns in southern Africa. 18 circulation types (CTs) were classified in the study region. From the linkage of the CTs to the observed rainfall data, from 11 stations in Free State, it was found that dominant austral winter and late austral autumn CTs have a higher probability of being associated with dry days in Free State. Dominant austral summer and late austral spring CTs were found to have a higher probability of being associated with wet days in Free State. Cyclonic/anti-cyclonic activity over the southwest Indian Ocean, explained to a good extent, the inter-seasonal variability of rainfall in Free State. The synoptic state associated with a stronger anti-cyclonic circulation at the western branch of the South Indian Ocean high-pressure, during austral summer, leading to enhanced low-level moisture transport by southeast winds was found to have the highest probability of being associated with above-average rainfall in most regions in Free State. On the other hand, the synoptic state associated with enhanced transport of cold dry air, by the extratropical westerlies, was found to have the highest probability of being associated with (winter) dryness in Free State. KW - South Africa KW - atmospheric circulation KW - circulation patterns Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-268552 SN - 1436-5065 VL - 133 IS - 5 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ibebuchi, Chibuike Chiedozie A1 - Paeth, Heiko T1 - The Imprint of the Southern Annular Mode on Black Carbon AOD in the Western Cape Province JF - Atmosphere N2 - This study examines the relationship between variations of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) and black carbon (BC) at 550 nm aerosol optical depth (AOD) in the Western Cape province (WC). Variations of the positive (negative) phase of the SAM are found to be related to regional circulation types (CTs) in southern Africa, associated with suppressed (enhanced) westerly wind over the WC through the southward (northward) migration of Southern Hemisphere mid-latitude cyclones. The CTs related to positive (negative) SAM anomalies induce stable (unstable) atmospheric conditions over the southwestern regions of the WC, especially during the austral winter and autumn seasons. Through the control of CTs, positive (negative) SAM phases tend to contribute to the build-up (dispersion and dilution) of BC in the study region because they imply dry (wet) conditions which favor the build-up (washing out) of pollutant particles in the atmosphere. Indeed, recent years with an above-average frequency of CTs related to positive (negative) SAM anomalies are associated with a high (low) BC AOD over southwesternmost Africa. KW - black carbon AOD KW - Western Cape KW - southern annular mode KW - circulation type KW - air quality Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-248387 SN - 2073-4433 VL - 12 IS - 10 ER - TY - THES A1 - Karama, Alphonse T1 - East African Seasonal Rainfall prediction using multiple linear regression and regression with ARIMA errors models T1 - Vorhersage des saisonalen Niederschlags in Ostafrika mit multipler linearer Regression und Regression mit ARIMA-Fehlermodellen N2 - The detrimental impacts of climate variability on water, agriculture, and food resources in East Africa underscore the importance of reliable seasonal climate prediction. To overcome this difficulty RARIMAE method were evolved. Applications RARIMAE in the literature shows that amalgamating different methods can be an efficient and effective way to improve the forecasts of time series under consideration. With these motivations, attempt have been made to develop a multiple linear regression model (MLR) and a RARIMAE models for forecasting seasonal rainfall in east Africa under the following objectives: 1. To develop MLR model for seasonal rainfall prediction in East Africa. 2. To develop a RARIMAE model for seasonal rainfall prediction in East Africa. 3. Comparison of model's efficiency under consideration In order to achieve the above objectives, the monthly precipitation data covering the period from 1949 to 2000 was obtained from Climate Research Unit (CRU). Next to that, the first differenced climate indices were used as predictors. In the first part of this study, the analyses of the rainfall fluctuation in whole Central- East Africa region which span over a longitude of 15 degrees East to 55 degrees East and a latitude of 15 degrees South to 15 degrees North was done by the help of maps. For models’ comparison, the R-squared values for the MLR model are subtracted from the R-squared values of RARIMAE model. The results show positive values which indicates that R-squared is improved by RARIMAE model. On the other side, the root mean square errors (RMSE) values of the RARIMAE model are subtracted from the RMSE values of the MLR model and the results show negative value which indicates that RMSE is reduced by RARIMAE model for training and testing datasets. For the second part of this study, the area which is considered covers a longitude of 31.5 degrees East to 41 degrees East and a latitude of 3.5 degrees South to 0.5 degrees South. This region covers Central-East of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), north of Burundi, south of Uganda, Rwanda, north of Tanzania and south of Kenya. Considering a model constructed based on the average rainfall time series in this region, the long rainfall season counts the nine months lead of the first principal component of Indian sea level pressure (SLP_PC19) and the nine months lead of Dipole Mode Index (DMI_LR9) as selected predictors for both statistical and predictive model. On the other side, the short rainfall season counts the three months lead of the first principal component of Indian sea surface temperature (SST_PC13) and the three months lead of Southern Oscillation Index (SOI_SR3) as predictors for predictive model. For short rainfall season statistical model SAOD current time series (SAOD_SR0) was added on the two predictors in predictive model. By applying a MLR model it is shown that the forecast can explain 27.4% of the total variation and has a RMSE of 74.2mm/season for long rainfall season while for the RARIMAE the forecast explains 53.6% of the total variation and has a RMSE of 59.4mm/season. By applying a MLR model it is shown that the forecast can explain 22.8% of the total variation and has a RMSE of 106.1 mm/season for short rainfall season predictive model while for the RARIMAE the forecast explains 55.1% of the total variation and has a RMSE of 81.1 mm/season. From such comparison, a significant rise in R-squared, a decrease of RMSE values were observed in RARIMAE models for both short rainfall and long rainfall season averaged time series. In terms of reliability, RARIMAE outperformed its MLR counterparts with better efficiency and accuracy. Therefore, whenever the data suffer from autocorrelation, we can go for MLR with ARIMA error, the ARIMA error part is more to correct the autocorrelation thereby improving the variance and productiveness of the model. N2 - Die nachteiligen Auswirkungen der Klimavariabilität auf Wasser, Landwirtschaft und Nahrungsressourcen in Ostafrika unterstreichen die Bedeutung einer zuverlässigen saisonalen Klimavorhersage. Um diese Schwierigkeit zu überwinden, wurden die Regression mit ARIMA-Fehlern (RARIMAE)-Methoden entwickelt. Die Anwendungen RARIMAE in der Literatur zeigen, dass die Zusammenführung verschiedener Methoden ein effizienter und effektiver Weg sein kann, um die Vorhersagen der betrachteten Zeitreihen zu verbessern. Aus dieser Motivation heraus wurde versucht, ein multiples lineares Regressionsmodell (MLR) und ein RARIMAE-Modell zur Vorhersage saisonaler Niederschläge in Ostafrika unter folgenden Zielsetzungen zu entwickeln: 1. Entwicklung eines MLR-Modells für die Vorhersage der saisonalen Regenfälle in Ostafrika. 2. Entwicklung eines RARIMAE-Modells für die saisonale Niederschlagsvorhersage in Ostafrika. 3. Vergleich der betrachteten Modelleffizienz Um die oben genannten Ziele zu erreichen, wurden die monatlichen Niederschlagsdaten für den Zeitraum von 1949 bis 2000 von der Climate Research Unit (CRU) bezogen. Daneben wurden die ersten differenzierten Klimaindizes als Prädiktoren verwendet. Im ersten Teil dieser Studie wurden die Niederschlagsschwankungen in der gesamten Region Zentral-Ostafrika, die sich über einen Längengrad von 15 Grad Ost bis 55 Grad Ost und einen Breitengrad von 15 Grad Süd bis 15 Grad Nord erstrecken, analysiert mit Hilfe von Karten gemacht. Für den Modellvergleich werden die Erklärte Varianz-Werte für das MLR-Modell von den R-Quadrat-Werten des RARIMAE-Modells abgezogen. Die Ergebnisse zeigen positive Werte, was darauf hinweist, die Erklärte Varianz durch das RARIMAE-Modell verbessert wird. Auf der anderen Seite werden die Root-Mean-Square-Error-Werte (RMSE) des RARIMAE-Modells von den RMSE-Werten des MLR-Modells subtrahiert und die Ergebnisse zeigen einen negativen Wert, der darauf hinweist, dass der RMSE durch das RARIMAE-Modell für Trainings- und Testdatensätze reduziert wird. Für den zweiten Teil dieser Studie umfasst das betrachtete Gebiet einen Längengrad von 31,5 Grad Ost bis 41 Grad Ost und einen Breitengrad von 3,5 Grad Süd bis 0,5 Grad Süd. Diese Region umfasst den Zentral-Osten der Demokratischen Republik Kongo (DRC), nördlich von Burundi, südlich von Uganda, Ruanda, nördlich von Tansania und südlich von Kenia. Betrachtet man ein Modell, das auf der Grundlage der durchschnittlichen Niederschlagszeitreihen in dieser Region erstellt wurde, zählt die lange Regensaison den neunmonatigen Vorsprung der ersten Hauptkomponente des indischen Meeresspiegeldrucks (SLP_PC19) und den neunmonatigen Vorsprung des Dipolmodus-Index (DMI_LR9) als ausgewählte Prädiktoren für statistische und prädiktive Modelle. Auf der anderen Seite zählt die kurze Regenzeit den dreimonatigen Vorsprung der ersten Hauptkomponente der indischen Meeresoberflächentemperatur (SST_PC13) und den dreimonatigen Vorsprung des Southern Oscillation Index (SOI_SR3) als Prädiktoren für das Vorhersagemodell. Für das statistische Modell der kurzen Regenzeit wurde die aktuelle SAOD-Zeitreihe (SAOD_SR0) zu den beiden Prädiktoren im Vorhersagemodell hinzugefügt. Durch die Anwendung eines MLR-Modells wird gezeigt, dass die Vorhersage 27,4 % der Gesamtvariation erklären kann und einen RMSE von 74,2 mm/Saison für eine lange Regenzeit hat, während die Vorhersage für RARIMAE 53,6% der Gesamtvariation erklärt und einen RMSE von 59,4 mm/Saison hat. Durch die Anwendung eines MLR-Modells wird gezeigt, dass die Vorhersage 22,8% der Gesamtvariation erklären kann und einen RMSE von 106,1 mm/Saison für das Vorhersagemodell für kurze Regenzeiten hat, während die Vorhersage für RARIMAE 55,1% der Gesamtvariation erklärt und a RMSE von 81,1 mm/Saison. Aus einem solchen Vergleich wurde ein signifikanter Anstieg die Erklärte Varianz und eine Abnahme der RMSE-Werte in RARIMAE-Modellen sowohl für die gemittelten Zeitreihen für kurze Regenfälle als auch für lange Regenzeiten beobachtet. In Bezug auf die Zuverlässigkeit übertraf RARIMAE seine MLR-Pendants mit besserer Effizienz und Genauigkeit. Wenn die Daten unter Autokorrelation leiden, können wir uns daher für MLR mit ARIMA-Fehler entscheiden. Der ARIMA-Fehlerteil dient mehr dazu, die Autokorrelation zu korrigieren, wodurch die Varianz und Produktivität des Modells verbessert wird. KW - Regression KW - Niederschlag KW - Telekonnektion KW - Precipitation KW - ARIMA KW - Teleconnection Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-251831 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kumar, Navneet A1 - Khamzina, Asia A1 - Knöfel, Patrick A1 - Lamers, John P. A. A1 - Tischbein, Bernhard T1 - Afforestation of degraded croplands as a water-saving option in irrigated region of the Aral Sea Basin JF - Water N2 - Climate change is likely to decrease surface water availability in Central Asia, thereby necessitating land use adaptations in irrigated regions. The introduction of trees to marginally productive croplands with shallow groundwater was suggested for irrigation water-saving and improving the land’s productivity. Considering the possible trade-offs with water availability in large-scale afforestation, our study predicted the impacts on water balance components in the lower reaches of the Amudarya River to facilitate afforestation planning using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT). The land-use scenarios used for modeling analysis considered the afforestation of 62% and 100% of marginally productive croplands under average and low irrigation water supply identified from historical land-use maps. The results indicate a dramatic decrease in the examined water balance components in all afforestation scenarios based largely on the reduced irrigation demand of trees compared to the main crops. Specifically, replacing current crops (mostly cotton) with trees on all marginal land (approximately 663 km\(^2\)) in the study region with an average water availability would save 1037 mln m\(^3\) of gross irrigation input within the study region and lower the annual drainage discharge by 504 mln m\(^3\). These effects have a considerable potential to support irrigation water management and enhance drainage functions in adapting to future water supply limitations. KW - drainage ratio KW - irrigation KW - spatial water balance KW - Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) KW - scenario analysis KW - stream flow KW - water yield Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-239626 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 13 IS - 10 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mayr, Stefan A1 - Klein, Igor A1 - Rutzinger, Martin A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - Systematic water fraction estimation for a global and daily surface water time-series JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Fresh water is a vital natural resource. Earth observation time-series are well suited to monitor corresponding surface dynamics. The DLR-DFD Global WaterPack (GWP) provides daily information on globally distributed inland surface water based on MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) images at 250 m spatial resolution. Operating on this spatiotemporal level comes with the drawback of moderate spatial resolution; only coarse pixel-based surface water quantification is possible. To enhance the quantitative capabilities of this dataset, we systematically access subpixel information on fractional water coverage. For this, a linear mixture model is employed, using classification probability and pure pixel reference information. Classification probability is derived from relative datapoint (pixel) locations in feature space. Pure water and non-water reference pixels are located by combining spatial and temporal information inherent to the time-series. Subsequently, the model is evaluated for different input sets to determine the optimal configuration for global processing and pixel coverage types. The performance of resulting water fraction estimates is evaluated on the pixel level in 32 regions of interest across the globe, by comparison to higher resolution reference data (Sentinel-2, Landsat 8). Results show that water fraction information is able to improve the product's performance regarding mixed water/non-water pixels by an average of 11.6% (RMSE). With a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.61, the model shows good overall performance. The approach enables the systematic provision of water fraction estimates on a global and daily scale, using only the reflectance and temporal information contained in the input time-series. KW - earth observation KW - landsat KW - MODIS KW - remote sensing KW - probability KW - Sentinel-2 KW - subpixel KW - water Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-242586 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 14 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mayr, Stefan A1 - Klein, Igor A1 - Rutzinger, Martin A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - Determining temporal uncertainty of a global inland surface water time series JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Earth observation time series are well suited to monitor global surface dynamics. However, data products that are aimed at assessing large-area dynamics with a high temporal resolution often face various error sources (e.g., retrieval errors, sampling errors) in their acquisition chain. Addressing uncertainties in a spatiotemporal consistent manner is challenging, as extensive high-quality validation data is typically scarce. Here we propose a new method that utilizes time series inherent information to assess the temporal interpolation uncertainty of time series datasets. For this, we utilized data from the DLR-DFD Global WaterPack (GWP), which provides daily information on global inland surface water. As the time series is primarily based on optical MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) images, the requirement of data gap interpolation due to clouds constitutes the main uncertainty source of the product. With a focus on different temporal and spatial characteristics of surface water dynamics, seven auxiliary layers were derived. Each layer provides probability and reliability estimates regarding water observations at pixel-level. This enables the quantification of uncertainty corresponding to the full spatiotemporal range of the product. Furthermore, the ability of temporal layers to approximate unknown pixel states was evaluated for stratified artificial gaps, which were introduced into the original time series of four climatologic diverse test regions. Results show that uncertainty is quantified accurately (>90%), consequently enhancing the product's quality with respect to its use for modeling and the geoscientific community. KW - Earth observation KW - interpolation KW - MODIS KW - optical remote sensing KW - probability KW - reliability KW - validation KW - variability Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-245234 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 17 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Meister, Julia A1 - Garbe, Philipp A1 - Trappe, Julian A1 - Ullmann, Tobias A1 - Es-Senussi, Ashraf A1 - Baumhauer, Roland A1 - Lange-Athinodorou, Eva A1 - El-Raouf, Amr Abd T1 - The Sacred Waterscape of the Temple of Bastet at Ancient Bubastis, Nile Delta (Egypt) JF - Geosciences N2 - Sacred water canals or lakes, which provided water for all kinds of purification rites and other activities, were very specific and important features of temples in ancient Egypt. In addition to the longer-known textual record, preliminary geoarchaeological surveys have recently provided evidence of a sacred canal at the Temple of Bastet at Bubastis. In order to further explore the location, shape, and course of this canal and to find evidence of the existence of a second waterway, also described by Herodotus, 34 drillings and five 2D geoelectrical measurements were carried out in 2019 and 2020 near the temple. The drillings and 2D ERT surveying revealed loamy to clayey deposits with a thickness of up to five meters, most likely deposited in a very low energy fluvial system (i.e., a canal), allowing the reconstruction of two separate sacred canals both north and south of the Temple of Bastet. In addition to the course of the canals, the width of about 30 m fits Herodotus’ description of the sacred waterways. The presence of numerous artefacts proved the anthropogenic use of the ancient canals, which were presumably connected to the Nile via a tributary or canal located west or northwest of Bubastis. KW - ancient Egypt KW - Tell Basta KW - sacred lakes KW - Herodotus KW - ERT KW - drilling KW - Isheru Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-246129 SN - 2076-3263 VL - 11 IS - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ottinger, Marco A1 - Bachofer, Felix A1 - Huth, Juliane A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - Mapping aquaculture ponds for the coastal zone of Asia with Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 time series JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Asia dominates the world's aquaculture sector, generating almost 90 percent of its total annual global production. Fish, shrimp, and mollusks are mainly farmed in land-based pond aquaculture systems and serve as a primary protein source for millions of people. The total production and area occupied for pond aquaculture has expanded rapidly in coastal regions in Asia since the early 1990s. The growth of aquaculture was mainly boosted by an increasing demand for fish and seafood from a growing world population. The aquaculture sector generates income and employment, contributes to food security, and has become a billion-dollar industry with high socio-economic value, but has also led to severe environmental degradation. In this regard, geospatial information on aquaculture can support the management of this growing food sector for the sustainable development of coastal ecosystems, resources, and human health. With free and open access to the rapidly growing volume of data from the Copernicus Sentinel missions as well as machine learning algorithms and cloud computing services, we extracted coastal aquaculture at a continental scale. We present a multi-sensor approach that utilizes Earth observation time series data for the mapping of pond aquaculture within the entire Asian coastal zone, defined as the onshore area up to 200 km from the coastline. In this research, we developed an object-based framework to detect and extract aquaculture at a single-pond level based on temporal features derived from high-spatial-resolution SAR and optical satellite data acquired from the Sentinel-1 and Sentinel-2 satellites. In a second step, we performed spatial and statistical data analyses of the Earth-observation-derived aquaculture dataset to investigate spatial distribution and identify production hotspots at various administrative units at regional, national, and sub-national scale. KW - aquaculture KW - Asia KW - Earth observation KW - ponds KW - coastal zone KW - Sentinel-1 KW - SAR KW - time series Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-252207 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 14 IS - 1 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Riyas, Moidu Jameela A1 - Syed, Tajdarul Hassan A1 - Kumar, Hrishikesh A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - Detecting and analyzing the evolution of subsidence due to coal fires in Jharia coalfield, India using Sentinel-1 SAR data JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Public safety and socio-economic development of the Jharia coalfield (JCF) in India is critically dependent on precise monitoring and comprehensive understanding of coal fires, which have been burning underneath for more than a century. This study utilizes New-Small BAseline Subset (N-SBAS) technique to compute surface deformation time series for 2017–2020 to characterize the spatiotemporal dynamics of coal fires in JCF. The line-of-sight (LOS) surface deformation estimated from ascending and descending Sentinel-1 SAR data are subsequently decomposed to derive precise vertical subsidence estimates. The most prominent subsidence (~22 cm) is observed in Kusunda colliery. The subsidence regions also correspond well with the Landsat-8 based thermal anomaly map and field evidence. Subsequently, the vertical surface deformation time-series is analyzed to characterize temporal variations within the 9.5 km\(^2\) area of coal fires. Results reveal that nearly 10% of the coal fire area is newly formed, while 73% persisted throughout the study period. Vulnerability analyses performed in terms of the susceptibility of the population to land surface collapse demonstrate that Tisra, Chhatatanr, and Sijua are the most vulnerable towns. Our results provide critical information for developing early warning systems and remediation strategies. KW - coal fire KW - InSAR KW - subsidence KW - remote sensing KW - coal KW - interferometry KW - SBAS Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-236703 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 8 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Rossi, Angelo Pio A1 - Maurelli, Francesco A1 - Unnithan, Vikram A1 - Dreger, Hendrik A1 - Mathewos, Kedus A1 - Pradhan, Nayan A1 - Corbeanu, Dan-Andrei A1 - Pozzobon, Riccardo A1 - Massironi, Matteo A1 - Ferrari, Sabrina A1 - Pernechele, Claudia A1 - Paoletti, Lorenzo A1 - Simioni, Emanuele A1 - Maurizio, Pajola A1 - Santagata, Tommaso A1 - Borrmann, Dorit A1 - Nüchter, Andreas A1 - Bredenbeck, Anton A1 - Zevering, Jasper A1 - Arzberger, Fabian A1 - Reyes Mantilla, Camilo Andrés T1 - DAEDALUS - Descent And Exploration in Deep Autonomy of Lava Underground Structures BT - Open Space Innovation Platform (OSIP) Lunar Caves-System Study N2 - The DAEDALUS mission concept aims at exploring and characterising the entrance and initial part of Lunar lava tubes within a compact, tightly integrated spherical robotic device, with a complementary payload set and autonomous capabilities. The mission concept addresses specifically the identification and characterisation of potential resources for future ESA exploration, the local environment of the subsurface and its geologic and compositional structure. A sphere is ideally suited to protect sensors and scientific equipment in rough, uneven environments. It will house laser scanners, cameras and ancillary payloads. The sphere will be lowered into the skylight and will explore the entrance shaft, associated caverns and conduits. Lidar (light detection and ranging) systems produce 3D models with high spatial accuracy independent of lighting conditions and visible features. Hence this will be the primary exploration toolset within the sphere. The additional payload that can be accommodated in the robotic sphere consists of camera systems with panoramic lenses and scanners such as multi-wavelength or single-photon scanners. A moving mass will trigger movements. The tether for lowering the sphere will be used for data communication and powering the equipment during the descending phase. Furthermore, the connector tether-sphere will host a WIFI access point, such that data of the conduit can be transferred to the surface relay station. During the exploration phase, the robot will be disconnected from the cable, and will use wireless communication. Emergency autonomy software will ensure that in case of loss of communication, the robot will continue the nominal mission. T3 - Forschungsberichte in der Robotik = Research Notes in Robotics - 21 KW - Lunar Caves KW - Spherical Robot KW - Lunar Exploration KW - Mapping KW - 3D Laser Scanning KW - Mond KW - Daedalus-Projekt KW - Lava Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-227911 SN - 978-3-945459-33-1 SN - 1868-7466 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rößler, Sebastian A1 - Witt, Marius S. A1 - Ikonen, Jaakko A1 - Brown, Ian A. A1 - Dietz, Andreas J. T1 - Remote sensing of snow cover variability and its influence on the runoff of Sápmi's rivers JF - Geosciences N2 - The boreal winter 2019/2020 was very irregular in Europe. While there was very little snow in Central Europe, the opposite was the case in northern Fenno-Scandia, particularly in the Arctic. The snow cover was more persistent here and its rapid melting led to flooding in many places. Since the last severe spring floods occurred in the region in 2018, this raises the question of whether more frequent occurrences can be expected in the future. To assess the variability of snowmelt related flooding we used snow cover maps (derived from the DLR's Global SnowPack MODIS snow product) and freely available data on runoff, precipitation, and air temperature in eight unregulated river catchment areas. A trend analysis (Mann-Kendall test) was carried out to assess the development of the parameters, and the interdependencies of the parameters were examined with a correlation analysis. Finally, a simple snowmelt runoff model was tested for its applicability to this region. We noticed an extraordinary variability in the duration of snow cover. If this extends well into spring, rapid air temperature increases leads to enhanced thawing. According to the last flood years 2005, 2010, 2018, and 2020, we were able to differentiate between four synoptic flood types based on their special hydrometeorological and snow situation and simulate them with the snowmelt runoff model (SRM). KW - remote sensing KW - snow parameters KW - snow variability KW - MODIS KW - snow hydrology KW - spring flood KW - Sápmi KW - Mann-Kendall test KW - snowmelt runoff model Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-234261 SN - 2076-3263 VL - 11 IS - 3 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Stanley, Jean-Daniel A1 - Ullmann, Tobias A1 - Lange-Athinodorou, Eva T1 - Holocene aridity-induced interruptions of human activity along a fluvial channel in Egypt's northern delta JF - Quaternary N2 - Geoarchaeological information presented here pertains to a subsidiary Nile channel that once flowed west of the main Sebennitic distributary and discharged its water and sediments at Egypt’s then north-central deltaic coast. Periodical paleoclimatic episodes during the later Middle and Upper Holocene included decreased rainfall and increased aridity that reduced the Nile’s flow levels and thus likely disrupted nautical transport and anthropogenic activity along this channel. Such changes in this deltaic sector, positioned adjacent to the Levantine Basin in the Eastern Mediterranean, can be attributed to climatic shifts triggered as far as the North Atlantic to the west, and African highland source areas of the Egyptian Nile to the south. Of special interest in a study core recovered along the channel are several sediment sequences without anthropogenic material that are interbedded between strata comprising numerous potsherds. The former are interpreted here as markers of increased regional aridity and reduced Nile flow which could have periodically disrupted the regional distribution of goods and nautical activities. Such times occurred ~5000 years B.P., ~4200–4000 years B.P., ~3200–2800 years B.P., ~2300–2200 years B.P., and more recently. Periods comparable to these are also identified by altered proportions of pollen, isotopic and compositional components in different radiocarbon-dated Holocene cores recovered elsewhere in the Nile delta, the Levantine region to the east and north of Egypt, and in the Faiyum depression south of the delta. KW - Nile delta KW - Sebennitic KW - paleoenvironment KW - paleoclimate KW - Nile flow KW - geoarchaeology Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-250285 SN - 2571-550X VL - 4 IS - 4 ER -