TY - JOUR A1 - Koehler, Jonas A1 - Bauer, André A1 - Dietz, Andreas J. A1 - Kuenzer, Claudia T1 - Towards forecasting future snow cover dynamics in the European Alps — the potential of long optical remote-sensing time series JF - Remote Sensing N2 - Snow is a vital environmental parameter and dynamically responsive to climate change, particularly in mountainous regions. Snow cover can be monitored at variable spatial scales using Earth Observation (EO) data. Long-lasting remote sensing missions enable the generation of multi-decadal time series and thus the detection of long-term trends. However, there have been few attempts to use these to model future snow cover dynamics. In this study, we, therefore, explore the potential of such time series to forecast the Snow Line Elevation (SLE) in the European Alps. We generate monthly SLE time series from the entire Landsat archive (1985–2021) in 43 Alpine catchments. Positive long-term SLE change rates are detected, with the highest rates (5–8 m/y) in the Western and Central Alps. We utilize this SLE dataset to implement and evaluate seven uni-variate time series modeling and forecasting approaches. The best results were achieved by Random Forests, with a Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.79 and a Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 258 m, Telescope (0.76, 268 m), and seasonal ARIMA (0.75, 270 m). Since the model performance varies strongly with the input data, we developed a combined forecast based on the best-performing methods in each catchment. This approach was then used to forecast the SLE for the years 2022–2029. In the majority of the catchments, the shift of the forecast median SLE level retained the sign of the long-term trend. In cases where a deviating SLE dynamic is forecast, a discussion based on the unique properties of the catchment and past SLE dynamics is required. In the future, we expect major improvements in our SLE forecasting efforts by including external predictor variables in a multi-variate modeling approach. KW - forecast KW - Earth Observation KW - time series KW - Snow Line Elevation KW - Alps KW - mountains KW - environmental modeling KW - machine learning Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-288338 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 14 IS - 18 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Rossi, Angelo Pio A1 - Maurelli, Francesco A1 - Unnithan, Vikram A1 - Dreger, Hendrik A1 - Mathewos, Kedus A1 - Pradhan, Nayan A1 - Corbeanu, Dan-Andrei A1 - Pozzobon, Riccardo A1 - Massironi, Matteo A1 - Ferrari, Sabrina A1 - Pernechele, Claudia A1 - Paoletti, Lorenzo A1 - Simioni, Emanuele A1 - Maurizio, Pajola A1 - Santagata, Tommaso A1 - Borrmann, Dorit A1 - Nüchter, Andreas A1 - Bredenbeck, Anton A1 - Zevering, Jasper A1 - Arzberger, Fabian A1 - Reyes Mantilla, Camilo Andrés T1 - DAEDALUS - Descent And Exploration in Deep Autonomy of Lava Underground Structures BT - Open Space Innovation Platform (OSIP) Lunar Caves-System Study N2 - The DAEDALUS mission concept aims at exploring and characterising the entrance and initial part of Lunar lava tubes within a compact, tightly integrated spherical robotic device, with a complementary payload set and autonomous capabilities. The mission concept addresses specifically the identification and characterisation of potential resources for future ESA exploration, the local environment of the subsurface and its geologic and compositional structure. A sphere is ideally suited to protect sensors and scientific equipment in rough, uneven environments. It will house laser scanners, cameras and ancillary payloads. The sphere will be lowered into the skylight and will explore the entrance shaft, associated caverns and conduits. Lidar (light detection and ranging) systems produce 3D models with high spatial accuracy independent of lighting conditions and visible features. Hence this will be the primary exploration toolset within the sphere. The additional payload that can be accommodated in the robotic sphere consists of camera systems with panoramic lenses and scanners such as multi-wavelength or single-photon scanners. A moving mass will trigger movements. The tether for lowering the sphere will be used for data communication and powering the equipment during the descending phase. Furthermore, the connector tether-sphere will host a WIFI access point, such that data of the conduit can be transferred to the surface relay station. During the exploration phase, the robot will be disconnected from the cable, and will use wireless communication. Emergency autonomy software will ensure that in case of loss of communication, the robot will continue the nominal mission. T3 - Forschungsberichte in der Robotik = Research Notes in Robotics - 21 KW - Lunar Caves KW - Spherical Robot KW - Lunar Exploration KW - Mapping KW - 3D Laser Scanning KW - Mond KW - Daedalus-Projekt KW - Lava Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:bvb:20-opus-227911 SN - 978-3-945459-33-1 SN - 1868-7466 ER -