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This dissertation contributes to the empirical analysis of economic development. The continuing poverty in many Sub-Saharan-African countries as well as the declining trend in growth in the advanced economies that was initiated around the turn of the millennium raises a number of new questions which have received little attention in recent empirical studies. Is culture a decisive factor for economic development? Do larger financial markets trigger positive stimuli with regard to incomes, or is the recent increase in their size in advanced economies detrimental to economic growth? What causes secular stagnation, i.e. the reduction in growth rates of the advanced economies observable over the past 20 years? What is the role of inequality in the growth process, and how do governmental attempts to equalize the income distribution affect economic development? And finally: Is the process of democratization accompanied by an increase in living standards? These are the central questions of this doctoral thesis.
To facilitate the empirical analysis of the determinants of economic growth, this dissertation introduces a new method to compute classifications in the field of social sciences. The approach is based on mathematical algorithms of machine learning and pattern recognition. Whereas the construction of indices typically relies on arbitrary assumptions regarding the aggregation strategy of the underlying attributes, utilization of Support Vector Machines transfers the question of how to aggregate the individual components into a non-linear optimization problem.
Following a brief overview of the theoretical models of economic growth provided in the first chapter, the second chapter illustrates the importance of culture in explaining the differences in incomes across the globe. In particular, if inhabitants have a lower average degree of risk-aversion, the implementation of new technology proceeds much faster compared with countries with a lower tendency towards risk. However, this effect depends on the legal and political framework of the countries, their average level of education, and their stage of development.
The initial wealth of individuals is often not sufficient to cover the cost of investments in both education and new technologies. By providing loans, a developed financial sector may help to overcome this shortage. However, the investigations in the third chapter show that this mechanism is dependent on the development levels of the economies. In poor countries, growth of the financial sector leads to better education and higher investment levels. This effect diminishes along the development process, as intermediary activity is increasingly replaced by speculative transactions. Particularly in times of low technological innovation, an increasing financial sector has a negative impact on economic development. In fact, the world economy is currently in a phase of this kind. Since the turn of the millennium, growth rates in the advanced economies have experienced a multi-national decline, leading to an intense debate about "secular stagnation" initiated at the beginning of 2015. The fourth chapter deals with this phenomenon and shows that the growth potentials of new technologies have been gradually declining since the beginning of the 2000s.
If incomes are unequally distributed, some individuals can invest less in education and technological innovations, which is why the fifth chapter identifies an overall negative effect of inequality on growth. This influence, however, depends on the development level of countries. While the negative effect is strongly pronounced in poor economies with a low degree of equality of opportunity, this influence disappears during the development process. Accordingly, redistributive polices of governments exert a growth-promoting effect in developing countries, while in advanced economies, the fostering of equal opportunities is much more decisive.
The sixth chapter analyzes the growth effect of the political environment and shows that the ambiguity of earlier studies is mainly due to unsophisticated measurement of the degree of democratization. To solve this problem, the chapter introduces a new method based on mathematical algorithms of machine learning and pattern recognition. While the approach can be used for various classification problems in the field of social sciences, in this dissertation it is applied for the problem of democracy measurement. Based on different country examples, the chapter shows that the resulting SVMDI is superior to other indices in modeling the level of democracy. The subsequent empirical analysis emphasizes a significantly positive growth effect of democracy measured via SVMDI.
A Knowledge-based Hybrid Statistical Classifier for Reconstructing the Chronology of the Quran
(2011)
Computationally categorizing Quran’s chapters has been mainly confined to the determination of chapters’ revelation places. However this broad classification is not sufficient to effectively and thoroughly understand and interpret the Quran. The chronology of revelation would not only improve comprehending the philosophy of Islam, but also the easiness of implementing and memorizing its laws and recommendations. This paper attempts estimating possible chapters’ dates of revelation through their lexical frequency profiles. A hybrid statistical classifier consisting of stemming and clustering algorithms for comparing lexical frequency profiles of chapters, and deriving dates of revelation has been developed. The classifier is trained using some chapters with known dates of revelation. Then it classifies chapters with uncertain dates of revelation by computing their proximity to the training ones. The results reported here indicate that the proposed methodology yields usable results in estimating dates of revelation of the Quran’s chapters based on their lexical contents.
Advanced Analytics in Operations Management and Information Systems: Methods and Applications
(2019)
The digital transformation of business and society presents enormous potentials for companies across all sectors. Fueled by massive advances in data generation, computing power, and connectivity, modern organizations have access to gigantic amounts of data. Companies seek to establish data-driven decision cultures to leverage competitive advantages in terms of efficiency and effectiveness. While most companies focus on descriptive tools such as reporting, dashboards, and advanced visualization, only a small fraction already leverages advanced analytics (i.e., predictive and prescriptive analytics) to foster data-driven decision-making today. Therefore, this thesis set out to investigate potential opportunities to leverage prescriptive analytics in four different independent parts.
As predictive models are an essential prerequisite for prescriptive analytics, the first two parts of this work focus on predictive analytics. Building on state-of-the-art machine learning techniques, we showcase the development of a predictive model in the context of capacity planning and staffing at an IT consulting company. Subsequently, we focus on predictive analytics applications in the manufacturing sector. More specifically, we present a data science toolbox providing guidelines and best practices for modeling, feature engineering, and model interpretation to manufacturing decision-makers. We showcase the application of this toolbox on a large data-set from a German manufacturing company.
Merely using the improved forecasts provided by powerful predictive models enables decision-makers to generate additional business value in some situations. However, many complex tasks require elaborate operational planning procedures. Here, transforming additional information into valuable actions requires new planning algorithms. Therefore, the latter two parts of this thesis focus on prescriptive analytics. To this end, we analyze how prescriptive analytics can be utilized to determine policies for an optimal searcher path problem based on predictive models. While rapid advances in artificial intelligence research boost the predictive power of machine learning models, a model uncertainty remains in most settings. The last part of this work proposes a prescriptive approach that accounts for the fact that predictions are imperfect and that the arising uncertainty needs to be considered. More specifically, it presents a data-driven approach to sales-force scheduling. Based on a large data set, a model to predictive the benefit of additional sales effort is trained. Subsequently, the predictions, as well as the prediction quality, are embedded into the underlying team orienteering problem to determine optimized schedules.
Diese retrospektive Studie untersuchte Patientenakten des elektronischen Karteikartensystems einer privaten Zahnarztpraxis von Patienten, welche zur Kontrolluntersuchung oder wegen Schmerzen vorstellig waren. Ziel der Studie war das Entwickeln von Methoden zur Vorhersage der Behandlungszeit für zukünftige Termine anhand verschiedener Patienteninformationen. Mittels statistischer deskriptiver Auswertung wurden die erfassten Daten untersucht und Korrelationen in Hinblick auf die Behandlungsdauer zwischen den verschiedenen Attributen hergestellt. Es wurden verschiedene Methoden zur Vorherbestimmung der Behandlungsdauer aufgestellt und auf ihr Optimierungspotential getestet. Die Methode mit dem höchsten Optimierungswert war ein Ansatz maschinellen Lernens. Der entworfene Algorithmus berechnete Behandlungszeiten der Testgruppe anhand eines Neuronalen Netzes, welches durch Trainieren mit den Daten der Untersuchungsgruppe erstellt wurde.
Active galactic nuclei (AGN) are among the brightest and most frequent sources on the extragalactic X-ray and gamma-ray sky. Their central supermassive blackhole generates an enormous luminostiy through accretion of the surrounding gas. A few AGN harbor highly collimated, powerful jets in which are observed across the entire electromagnetic spectrum. If their jet axis is seen in a small angle to our line-of-sight (these objects are then called blazars) jet emission can outshine any other emission component from the system. Synchrotron emission from electrons and positrons clearly prove the existence of a relativistic leptonic component in the jet plasma. But until today, it is still an open question whether heavier particles, especially protons, are accelerated as well. If this is the case, AGN would be prime candidates for extragalactic PeV neutrino sources that are observed on Earth. Characteristic signatures for protons can be hidden in the variable high-energy emission of these objects. In this thesis I investigated the broadband emission, particularly the high-energy X-ray and gamma-ray emission of jetted AGN to address open questions regarding the particle acceleration and particle content of AGN jets, or the evolutionary state of the AGN itself. For this purpose I analyzed various multiwavelength observations from optical to gamma-rays over a period of time using a combination of state-of-the-art spectroscopy and timing analysis. By nature, AGN are highly variable. Time-resolved spectral analysis provided a new dynamic view of these sources which helped to determine distinct emission processes that are difficult to disentangle from spectral or timing methods alone.
Firstly, this thesis tackles the problem of source classification in order to facilitate the search for interesting sources in large data archives and characterize new transient sources. I use spectral and timing analysis methods and supervised machine learning algorithms to design an automated source classification pipeline. The test and training sample were based on the third XMM-Newton point source catalog (3XMM-DR6). The set of input features for the machine learning algorithm was derived from an automated spectral modeling of all sources in the 3XMM-DR6, summing up to 137200 individual detections. The spectral features were complemented by results of a basic timing analysis as well as multiwavelength information provided by catalog cross-matches. The training of the algorithm and application to a test sample showed that the definition of the training sample was crucial: Despite oversampling minority source types with synthetic data to balance out the training sample, the algorithm preferably predicted majority source types for unclassified objects. In general, the training process showed that the combination of spectral, timing and multiwavelength features performed best with the lowest misclassification rate of \\sim2.4\\%.
The methods of time-resolved spectroscopy was then used in two studies to investigate the properties of two individual AGN, Mrk 421 and PKS 2004-447, in detail. Both objects belong to the class of gamma-ray emitting AGN. A very elusive sub-class are gamma-ray emitting Narrow Line Seyfert 1 (gNLS1) galaxies. These sources have been discovered as gamma-ray sources only recently in 2010 and a connection to young radio galaxies especially compact steep spectrum (CSS) radio sources has been proposed. The only gNLS1 on the Southern Hemisphere so far is PKS2004-447 which lies at the lower end of the luminosity distribution of gNLS1. The source is part of the TANAMI VLBI program and is regularly monitored at radio frequencies. In this thesis, I presented and analyzed data from a dedicated multiwavelength campaign of PKS 2004-447 which I and my collaborators performed during 2012 and which was complemented by individual observations between 2013 and 2016. I focussed on the detailed analysis of the X-ray emission and a first analysis of its broadband spectrum from radio to gamma-rays. Thanks to the dynamic SED I could show that earlier studies misinterpreted the optical spectrum of the source which had led to an underestimation of the high-energy emission and had ignited a discussion on the source class. I show that the overall spectral properties are consistent with dominating jet emission comprised of synchrotron radiation and inverse Compton scattering from accelerated leptons. The broadband emission is very similar to typical examples of a certain type of blazars (flat-spectrum radio quasars) and does not present any unusual properties in comparison. Interestingly, the VLBI data showed a compact jet structure and a steep radio spectrum consistent with a compact steep spectrum source. This classified PKS 2004-447 as a young radio galaxy, in which the jet is still developing.
The investigation of Mrk 421 introduced the blazar monitoring program which I and collaborator have started in 2014. By observing a blazar simultaneously from optical, X-ray and gamma-ray bands during a VHE outbursts, the program aims at providing extraordinary data sets to allow for the generation of a series of dynamical SEDs of high spectral and temporal resolution. The program makes use of the dense VHE monitoring by the FACT telescope. So far, there are three sources in our sample that we have been monitoring since 2014. I presented the data and the first analysis of one of the brightest and most variable blazar, Mrk 421, which had a moderate outbreak in 2015 and triggered our program for the first time. With spectral timing analysis, I confirmed a tight correlation between the X-ray and TeV energy bands, which indicated that these jet emission components are causally connected. I discovered that the variations of the optical band were both correlated and anti-correlated with the high-energy emission, which suggested an independent emission component. Furthermore, the dynamic SEDs showed two different flaring behaviors, which differed in the presence or lack of a peak shift of the low-energy emission hump. These results further supported the hypothesis that more than one emission region contributed to the broadband emission of Mrk 421 during the observations.
Overall,the studies presented in this thesis demonstrated that time-resolved spectroscopy is a powerful tool to classify both source types and emission processes of astronomical objects, especially relativistic jets in AGN, and thus provide a deeper understanding and new insights of their physics and properties.
Context-specific Consistencies in Information Extraction: Rule-based and Probabilistic Approaches
(2015)
Large amounts of communication, documentation as well as knowledge and information are stored in textual documents. Most often, these texts like webpages, books, tweets or reports are only available in an unstructured representation since they are created and interpreted by humans. In order to take advantage of this huge amount of concealed information and to include it in analytic processes, it needs to be transformed into a structured representation. Information extraction considers exactly this task. It tries to identify well-defined entities and relations in unstructured data and especially in textual documents.
Interesting entities are often consistently structured within a certain context, especially in semi-structured texts. However, their actual composition varies and is possibly inconsistent among different contexts. Information extraction models stay behind their potential and return inferior results if they do not consider these consistencies during processing. This work presents a selection of practical and novel approaches for exploiting these context-specific consistencies in information extraction tasks. The approaches direct their attention not only to one technique, but are based on handcrafted rules as well as probabilistic models.
A new rule-based system called UIMA Ruta has been developed in order to provide optimal conditions for rule engineers. This system consists of a compact rule language with a high expressiveness and strong development support. Both elements facilitate rapid development of information extraction applications and improve the general engineering experience, which reduces the necessary efforts and costs when specifying rules.
The advantages and applicability of UIMA Ruta for exploiting context-specific consistencies are illustrated in three case studies. They utilize different engineering approaches for including the consistencies in the information extraction task. Either the recall is increased by finding additional entities with similar composition, or the precision is improved by filtering inconsistent entities. Furthermore, another case study highlights how transformation-based approaches are able to correct preliminary entities using the knowledge about the occurring consistencies.
The approaches of this work based on machine learning rely on Conditional Random Fields, popular probabilistic graphical models for sequence labeling. They take advantage of a consistency model, which is automatically induced during processing the document. The approach based on stacked graphical models utilizes the learnt descriptions as feature functions that have a static meaning for the model, but change their actual function for each document. The other two models extend the graph structure with additional factors dependent on the learnt model of consistency. They include feature functions for consistent and inconsistent entities as well as for additional positions that fulfill the consistencies.
The presented approaches are evaluated in three real-world domains: segmentation of scientific references, template extraction in curricula vitae, and identification and categorization of sections in clinical discharge letters. They are able to achieve remarkable results and provide an error reduction of up to 30% compared to usually applied techniques.
This dissertation consists of three independent, self-contained research papers that investigate how state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms can be used in combination with operations management models to consider high dimensional data for improved planning decisions. More specifically, the thesis focuses on the question concerning how the underlying decision support models change structurally and how those changes affect the resulting decision quality.
Over the past years, the volume of globally stored data has experienced tremendous growth. Rising market penetration of sensor-equipped production machinery, advanced ways to track user behavior, and the ongoing use of social media lead to large amounts of data on production processes, user behavior, and interactions, as well as condition information about technical gear, all of which can provide valuable information to companies in planning their operations. In the past, two generic concepts have emerged to accomplish this. The first concept, separated estimation and optimization (SEO), uses data to forecast the central inputs (i.e., the demand) of a decision support model. The forecast and a distribution of forecast errors are then used in a subsequent stochastic optimization model to determine optimal decisions. In contrast to this sequential approach, the second generic concept, joint estimation-optimization (JEO), combines the forecasting and optimization step into a single optimization problem. Following this approach, powerful machine learning techniques are employed to approximate highly complex functional relationships and hence relate feature data directly to optimal decisions.
The first article, “Machine learning for inventory management: Analyzing two concepts to get from data to decisions”, chapter 2, examines performance differences between implementations of these concepts in a single-period Newsvendor setting. The paper first proposes a novel JEO implementation based on the random forest algorithm to learn optimal decision rules directly from a data set that contains historical sales and auxiliary data. Going forward, we analyze structural properties that lead to these performance differences. Our results show that the JEO implementation achieves significant cost improvements over the SEO approach. These differences are strongly driven by the decision problem’s cost structure and the amount and structure of the remaining forecast uncertainty.
The second article, “Prescriptive call center staffing”, chapter 3, applies the logic of integrating data analysis and optimization to a more complex problem class, an employee staffing problem in a call center. We introduce a novel approach to applying the JEO concept that augments historical call volume data with features like the day of the week, the beginning of the month, and national holiday periods. We employ a regression tree to learn the ex-post optimal staffing levels based on similarity structures in the data and then generalize these insights to determine future staffing levels. This approach, relying on only few modeling assumptions, significantly outperforms a state-of-the-art benchmark that uses considerably more model structure and assumptions.
The third article, “Data-driven sales force scheduling”, chapter 4, is motivated by the problem of how a company should allocate limited sales resources. We propose a novel approach based on the SEO concept that involves a machine learning model to predict the probability of winning a specific project. We develop a methodology that uses this prediction model to estimate the “uplift”, that is, the incremental value of an additional visit to a particular customer location. To account for the remaining uncertainty at the subsequent optimization stage, we adapt the decision support model in such a way that it can control for the level of trust in the predicted uplifts. This novel policy dominates both a benchmark that relies completely on the uplift information and a robust benchmark that optimizes the sum of potential profits while neglecting any uplift information.
The results of this thesis show that decision support models in operations management can be transformed fundamentally by considering additional data and benefit through better decision quality respectively lower mismatch costs. The way how machine learning algorithms can be integrated into these decision support models depends on the complexity and the context of the underlying decision problem. In summary, this dissertation provides an analysis based on three different, specific application scenarios that serve as a foundation for further analyses of employing machine learning for decision support in operations management.
Autonomous cars and artificial intelligence that beats humans in Jeopardy or Go are glamorous examples of the so-called Second Machine Age that involves the automation of cognitive tasks [Brynjolfsson and McAfee, 2014]. However, the larger impact in terms of increasing the efficiency of industry and the productivity of society might come from computers that improve or take over business decisions by using large amounts of available data. This impact may even exceed that of the First Machine Age, the industrial revolution that started with James Watt’s invention of an efficient steam engine in the late eighteenth century. Indeed, the prevalent phrase that calls data “the new oil” indicates the growing awareness of data’s importance. However, many companies, especially those in the manufacturing and traditional service industries, still struggle to increase productivity using the vast amounts of
data [for Economic Co-operation and Development, 2018].
One reason for this struggle is that companies stick with a traditional way of using data for decision support in operations management that is not well suited to automated decision-making. In traditional inventory and capacity management, some data – typically just historical demand data – is used to estimate a model that makes predictions about uncertain planning parameters, such as customer demand. The planner then has two tasks: to adjust the prediction with respect to additional information that was not part of the data but still might influence demand and to take the remaining uncertainty into account and determine a safety buffer based on the underage and overage costs. In the best case, the planner determines the safety buffer based on an optimization model that takes the costs and the distribution of historical forecast errors into account; however, these decisions are usually based on a planner’s experience and intuition, rather than on solid data analysis.
This two-step approach is referred to as separated estimation and optimization (SEO). With SEO, using more data and better models for making the predictions would improve only the first step, which would still improve decisions but would not automize (and, hence, revolutionize) decision-making. Using SEO is like using a stronger horse to pull the plow: one still has to walk behind.
The real potential for increasing productivity lies in moving from predictive to prescriptive approaches, that is, from the two-step SEO approach, which uses predictive models in the estimation step, to a prescriptive approach, which integrates the optimization problem with the estimation of a model that then provides a direct functional relationship between the data and the decision. Following Akcay et al. [2011], we refer to this integrated approach as joint estimation-optimization (JEO). JEO approaches prescribe decisions, so they can automate the decision-making process. Just as the steam engine replaced manual work, JEO approaches replace cognitive work.
The overarching objective of this dissertation is to analyze, develop, and evaluate new ways for how data can be used in making planning decisions in operations management to unlock the potential for increasing productivity. In doing so, the thesis comprises five self-contained research articles that forge the bridge from predictive to prescriptive approaches. While the first article focuses on how sensitive data like condition data from machinery can be used to make predictions of spare-parts demand, the remaining articles introduce, analyze, and discuss prescriptive approaches to inventory and capacity management.
All five articles consider approach that use machine learning and data in innovative ways to improve current approaches to solving inventory or capacity management problems. The articles show that, by moving from predictive to prescriptive approaches, we can improve data-driven operations management in two ways: by making decisions more accurate and by automating decision-making. Thus, this dissertation provides examples of how digitization and the Second Machine Age can change decision-making in companies to increase efficiency and productivity.
Environmental issues have emerged especially since humans burned fossil fuels, which led to air pollution and climate change that harm the environment. These issues’ substantial consequences evoked strong efforts towards assessing the state of our environment.
Various environmental machine learning (ML) tasks aid these efforts. These tasks concern environmental data but are common ML tasks otherwise, i.e., datasets are split (training, validatition, test), hyperparameters are optimized on validation data, and test set metrics measure a model’s generalizability. This work focuses on the following environmental ML tasks: Regarding air pollution, land use regression (LUR) estimates air pollutant concentrations at locations where no measurements are available based on measured locations and each location’s land use (e.g., industry, streets). For LUR, this work uses data from London (modeled) and Zurich (measured). Concerning climate change, a common ML task is model output statistics (MOS), where a climate model’s output for a study area is altered to better fit Earth observations and provide more accurate climate data. This work uses the regional climate model (RCM) REMO and Earth observations from the E-OBS dataset for MOS. Another task regarding climate is grain size distribution interpolation where soil properties at locations without measurements are estimated based on the few measured locations. This can provide climate models with soil information, that is important for hydrology. For this task, data from Lower Franconia is used.
Such environmental ML tasks commonly have a number of properties: (i) geospatiality, i.e., their data refers to locations relative to the Earth’s surface. (ii) The environmental variables to estimate or predict are usually continuous. (iii) Data can be imbalanced due to relatively rare extreme events (e.g., extreme precipitation). (iv) Multiple related potential target variables can be available per location, since measurement devices often contain different sensors. (v) Labels are spatially often only sparsely available since conducting measurements at all locations of interest is usually infeasible. These properties present challenges but also opportunities when designing ML methods for such tasks.
In the past, environmental ML tasks have been tackled with conventional ML methods, such as linear regression or random forests (RFs). However, the field of ML has made tremendous leaps beyond these classic models through deep learning (DL). In DL, models use multiple layers of neurons, producing increasingly higher-level feature representations with growing layer depth. DL has made previously infeasible ML tasks feasible, improved the performance for many tasks in comparison to existing ML models significantly, and eliminated the need for manual feature engineering in some domains due to its ability to learn features from raw data. To harness these advantages for environmental domains it is promising to develop novel DL methods for environmental ML tasks.
This thesis presents methods for dealing with special challenges and exploiting opportunities inherent to environmental ML tasks in conjunction with DL. To this end, the proposed methods explore the following techniques: (i) Convolutions as in convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to exploit reoccurring spatial patterns in geospatial data. (ii) Posing the problems as regression tasks to estimate the continuous variables. (iii) Density-based weighting to improve estimation performance for rare and extreme events. (iv) Multi-task learning to make use of multiple related target variables. (v) Semi–supervised learning to cope with label sparsity. Using these techniques, this thesis considers four research questions: (i) Can air pollution be estimated without manual feature engineering? This is answered positively by the introduction of the CNN-based LUR model MapLUR as well as the off-the-shelf LUR solution OpenLUR. (ii) Can colocated pollution data improve spatial air pollution models? Multi-task learning for LUR is developed for this, showing potential for improvements with colocated data. (iii) Can DL models improve the quality of climate model outputs? The proposed DL climate MOS architecture ConvMOS demonstrates this. Additionally, semi-supervised training of multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) for grain size distribution interpolation is presented, which can provide improved input data. (iv) Can DL models be taught to better estimate climate extremes? To this end, density-based weighting for imbalanced regression (DenseLoss) is proposed and applied to the DL architecture ConvMOS, improving climate extremes estimation. These methods show how especially DL techniques can be developed for environmental ML tasks with their special characteristics in mind. This allows for better models than previously possible with conventional ML, leading to more accurate assessment and better understanding of the state of our environment.
Künstliche Intelligenz (KI) dringt vermehrt in sensible Bereiche des alltäglichen menschlichen Lebens ein. Es werden nicht mehr nur noch einfache Entscheidungen durch intelligente Systeme getroffen, sondern zunehmend auch komplexe Entscheidungen. So entscheiden z. B. intelligente Systeme, ob Bewerber in ein Unternehmen eingestellt werden sollen oder nicht. Oftmals kann die zugrundeliegende Entscheidungsfindung nur schwer nachvollzogen werden und ungerechtfertigte Entscheidungen können dadurch unerkannt bleiben, weshalb die Implementierung einer solchen KI auch häufig als sogenannte Blackbox bezeichnet wird. Folglich steigt die Bedrohung, durch unfaire und diskriminierende Entscheidungen einer KI benachteiligt behandelt zu werden. Resultieren diese Verzerrungen aus menschlichen Handlungen und Denkmustern spricht man von einer kognitiven Verzerrung oder einem kognitiven Bias. Aufgrund der Neuigkeit dieser Thematik ist jedoch bisher nicht ersichtlich, welche verschiedenen kognitiven Bias innerhalb eines KI-Projektes auftreten können. Ziel dieses Beitrages ist es, anhand einer strukturierten Literaturanalyse, eine gesamtheitliche Darstellung zu ermöglichen. Die gewonnenen Erkenntnisse werden anhand des in der Praxis weit verbreiten Cross-Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) Modell aufgearbeitet und klassifiziert. Diese Betrachtung zeigt, dass der menschliche Einfluss auf eine KI in jeder Entwicklungsphase des Modells gegeben ist und es daher wichtig ist „mensch-ähnlichen“ Bias in einer KI explizit zu untersuchen.