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The present dissertation includes three research papers dealing with the following banking topics: (dis-) incentives and risk taking, earnings management and the regulation of supervisory boards.
„Do cooperative banks suffer from moral hazard behaviour? Evidence in the context of efficiency and risk“:
We use Granger-causality techniques to evaluate the intertemporal relationships among risk, efficiency and capital. We use two different measures of bank efficiency, i.e., cost and profit efficiency, since these measures reflect different managerial abilities. One is the ability to manage costs, and the other is the ability to maximize profits. We find that lower cost and profit efficiency Granger-cause increases in liquidity risk. We also identify that credit risk negatively Granger-causes cost and profit efficiency. Most importantly, our results show a positive relationship between capital and credit risk, thus displaying that moral hazard (due to limited liability and deposit insurance) does not apply to our sample of cooperative banks. On the contrary, we find evidence that banks with low capital are able to improve their loan quality in subsequent periods. These findings may be important to regulators, who should consider banks’ business models when introducing new regulatory capital constraints.
„Earnings Management Modelling in the Banking Industry – Evaluating valuable approaches“:
Accounting research has separately studied the field of Earnings Management (EM) for non-financial and financial industries. Since EM cannot be observed directly, it is important for every research question in any setting to find a verifiable proxy for EM. However, we still lack a thorough understanding of what regressors can add value to the estimation process of EM in banks. This study tries to close this gap and analyses existing model specifications of discretionary loan loss provisions (LLP) in the banking sector to identify common pattern groups and specific patterns used. Thereupon, we use an US-dataset from 2005-2015 and apply prevalent test procedures to examine the extent of measurement errors, extreme performance and omitted-variable biases and predictive power of the discretionary proxies of each of the models. Our results indicate that a thorough understanding about the methodological modelling process of EM in the banking industry is important. The currently established models to estimate EM are appropriate yet optimizable. In particular, we identify non-performing asset patterns as the most important group, while loan loss allowances and net charge offs can add some value, though do not seem to be indispensable. In addition, our results show that non-linearity of certain regressors can be an issue, which should be addressed in future research, while we identify some omitted and possibly correlated variables that might add value to specifications in identifying non-discretionary LLP. Results also indicate that a dynamic model and endogeneity robust estimation approach is not necessarily linked to better prediction power.
„Board Regulation and its Impact on Composition and Effects – Evidence from German Cooperative Bank“:
This study employs a system GMM framework to examine the impact of potential regulatory intervention regarding the occupations of supervisory board members in cooperative banks. To achieve insights the study proceeds in two different ways. First, the author investigates the changes in board structure prior and following to the German Act to Strengthen Financial Market and Insurance Supervision (FinVAG). Second, the author estimates the influence of Ph.D. degree holders and occupational concentration on bank-risk changes in consideration of the implementation of FinVAG. Therefore, the sample consists of 246 German cooperative banks from 2006-2011. Regarding bank-risk the author applies four different measures: credit-, equity-, liquidity-risk and the Z-Score, with the former three also being addressed in FinVAG. Results indicate that the implementation of FinVAG results in structural changes in board composition, especially at the expense of farmers. In addition, the implementation affects all risk-measures and relations between risk-measures and supervisory board characteristics in a risk-reducing and therefore intended way.
To disentangle the complex relationship between board characteristics and risk measures the study utilizes a two-step system GMM estimator to account for unobserved heterogeneity, and simultaneity in order to reduce endogeneity problems. The findings may be especially relevant for stakeholders, regulators, supervisors and managers.
Die Logik der bisher erforschten und beschriebenen Management- und Führungstheorien müssen sich im Zeitalter der Digitalisierung weiterentwickeln. Die ursprüngliche Forschungsfrage nach einer wirksamen Implementierung von strategischen Entscheidungen passt nicht mehr zur Realität von disruptiven Veränderungen in der sogenannten VUCA Welt (Volatile, uncertain, complex, ambiguous).
Die Arbeit ist mutig und wertvoll, weil sie die Lücke zwischen neuen Entwicklungen in der Praxis und fehlenden umfassenden Theoriekonzepten in den Management-, Führungs- und Organisationswissenschaften offenlegt und zu schließen hilft.
Der erste Teil der Arbeit fasst die aktuellen Erkenntnisse rund um strategische Entscheidungsfindung in Unternehmen, globale Megatrends als Rahmenbedingung und Change-Management als Umsetzungshilfe zusammen. Die Schlussfolgerung aus dieser holistischen Betrachtung ist, dass die Forschungsfrage rückwärts gerichtet die Realität des 20. Jahrhunderts adressiert und für das Zeitalter der Digitalisierung keine hilfreiche Antwort bietet.
Vielmehr geht es um die weiter entwickelte Forschungsfrage, wie anpassungsfähige Organisationen entwickelt und gepflegt werden können. Solche Organisationen überleben disruptive Veränderungen nicht nur irgendwie, sondern sind so gestaltet, dass sie diese nutzen, um immer wieder neue Antworten auf sich entwickelnde Kundenbedürfnisse und in der internen Organisation zu finden.
Diese anpassungsfähige oder adaptive Organisation hat fünf wesentliche Dimensionen, die im zentralen Teil der Arbeit beleuchtet werden. Alle Themen entwickeln sich derzeit laufend weiter, so dass es noch keine letztgültige Antwort gibt welche Methoden sich durchsetzen werden.
Im Sinne eines holistischen Transformationsmanagements gibt das letzte Kapitel Hinweise auf die Herangehensweise, um die eigene Organisation in ihrer Anpassungsfähigkeit weiter zu entwickeln.
Die gründliche Diskussion einer Fülle von konzeptionellen Ansätzen in Verbindung mit einer bemerkenswerten Erfahrung der Autorin erlaubt es, die auftretende Problemstellung profunder anzugehen als bei einer rein akademischen Herangehensweise.