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The steadily increasing usage of smart meters generates a valuable amount of high-resolution data about the individual energy consumption and production of local energy systems. Private households install more and more photovoltaic systems, battery storage and big consumers like heat pumps. Thus, our vision is to augment these collected smart meter time series of a complete system (e.g., a city, town or complex institutions like airports) with simulatively added previously named components. We, therefore, propose a novel digital twin of such an energy system based solely on a complete set of smart meter data including additional building data. Based on the additional geospatial data, the twin is intended to represent the addition of the abovementioned components as realistically as possible. Outputs of the twin can be used as a decision support for either system operators where to strengthen the system or for individual households where and how to install photovoltaic systems and batteries. Meanwhile, the first local energy system operators had such smart meter data of almost all residential consumers for several years. We acquire those of an exemplary operator and discuss a case study presenting some features of our digital twin and highlighting the value of the combination of smart meter and geospatial data.
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. The best method to prevent CRC is with a colonoscopy. During this procedure, the gastroenterologist searches for polyps. However, there is a potential risk of polyps being missed by the gastroenterologist. Automated detection of polyps helps to assist the gastroenterologist during a colonoscopy. There are already publications examining the problem of polyp detection in the literature. Nevertheless, most of these systems are only used in the research context and are not implemented for clinical application. Therefore, we introduce the first fully open-source automated polyp-detection system scoring best on current benchmark data and implementing it ready for clinical application. To create the polyp-detection system (ENDOMIND-Advanced), we combined our own collected data from different hospitals and practices in Germany with open-source datasets to create a dataset with over 500,000 annotated images. ENDOMIND-Advanced leverages a post-processing technique based on video detection to work in real-time with a stream of images. It is integrated into a prototype ready for application in clinical interventions. We achieve better performance compared to the best system in the literature and score a F1-score of 90.24% on the open-source CVC-VideoClinicDB benchmark.
Utilizing multiple access networks such as 5G, 4G, and Wi-Fi simultaneously can lead to increased robustness, resiliency, and capacity for mobile users. However, transparently implementing packet distribution over multiple paths within the core of the network faces multiple challenges including scalability to a large number of customers, low latency, and high-capacity packet processing requirements. In this paper, we offload congestion-aware multipath packet scheduling to a smartNIC. However, such hardware acceleration faces multiple challenges due to programming language and platform limitations. We implement different multipath schedulers in P4 with different complexity in order to cope with dynamically changing path capacities. Using testbed measurements, we show that our CMon scheduler, which monitors path congestion in the data plane and dynamically adjusts scheduling weights for the different paths based on path state information, can process more than 3.5 Mpps packets 25 μs latency.
Knowledge about ransomware is important for protecting sensitive data and for participating in public debates about suitable regulation regarding its security. However, as of now, this topic has received little to no attention in most school curricula. As such, it is desirable to analyze what citizens can learn about this topic outside of formal education, e.g., from news articles. This analysis is both relevant to analyzing the public discourse about ransomware, as well as to identify what aspects of this topic should be included in the limited time available for this topic in formal education. Thus, this paper was motivated both by educational and media research. The central goal is to explore how the media reports on this topic and, additionally, to identify potential misconceptions that could stem from this reporting. To do so, we conducted an exploratory case study into the reporting of 109 media articles regarding a high-impact ransomware event: the shutdown of the Colonial Pipeline (located in the east of the USA). We analyzed how the articles introduced central terminology, what details were provided, what details were not, and what (mis-)conceptions readers might receive from them. Our results show that an introduction of the terminology and technical concepts of security is insufficient for a complete understanding of the incident. Most importantly, the articles may lead to four misconceptions about ransomware that are likely to lead to misleading conclusions about the responsibility for the incident and possible political and technical options to prevent such attacks in the future.
In this thesis, we are interested in numerically preserving stationary solutions of balance laws. We start by developing finite volume well-balanced schemes for the system of Euler equations and the system of MHD equations with gravitational source term. Since fluid models and kinetic models are related, this leads us to investigate AP schemes for kinetic equations and their ability to preserve stationary solutions. Kinetic models typically have a stiff term, thus AP schemes are needed to capture good solutions of the model. For such kinetic models, equilibrium solutions are reached after large time. Thus we need a new technique to numerically preserve stationary solutions for AP schemes. We find a criterion for SP schemes for kinetic equations which states, that AP schemes under a particular discretization are also SP. In an attempt to mimic our result for kinetic equations in the context of fluid models, for the isentropic Euler equations we developed an AP scheme in the limit of the Mach number going to zero. Our AP scheme is proven to have a SP property under the condition that the pressure is a function of the density and the latter is obtained as a solution of an elliptic equation. The properties of the schemes we developed and its criteria are validated numerically by various test cases from the literature.
The emerging serverless computing may meet Edge Cloud in a beneficial manner as the two offer flexibility and dynamicity in optimizing finite hardware resources. However, the lack of proper study of a joint platform leaves a gap in literature about consumption and performance of such integration. To this end, this paper identifies the key questions and proposes a methodology to answer them.
Scalability is often mentioned in literature, but a stringent definition is missing. In particular, there is no general scalability assessment which clearly indicates whether a system scales or not or whether a system scales better than another. The key contribution of this article is the definition of a scalability index (SI) which quantifies if a system scales in comparison to another system, a hypothetical system, e.g., linear system, or the theoretically optimal system. The suggested SI generalizes different metrics from literature, which are specialized cases of our SI. The primary target of our scalability framework is, however, benchmarking of two systems, which does not require any reference system. The SI is demonstrated and evaluated for different use cases, that are (1) the performance of an IoT load balancer depending on the system load, (2) the availability of a communication system depending on the size and structure of the network, (3) scalability comparison of different location selection mechanisms in fog computing with respect to delays and energy consumption; (4) comparison of time-sensitive networking (TSN) mechanisms in terms of efficiency and utilization. Finally, we discuss how to use and how not to use the SI and give recommendations and guidelines in practice. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work which provides a general SI for the comparison and benchmarking of systems, which is the primary target of our scalability analysis.
Climate models are the tool of choice for scientists researching climate change. Like all models they suffer from errors, particularly systematic and location-specific representation errors. One way to reduce these errors is model output statistics (MOS) where the model output is fitted to observational data with machine learning. In this work, we assess the use of convolutional Deep Learning climate MOS approaches and present the ConvMOS architecture which is specifically designed based on the observation that there are systematic and location-specific errors in the precipitation estimates of climate models. We apply ConvMOS models to the simulated precipitation of the regional climate model REMO, showing that a combination of per-location model parameters for reducing location-specific errors and global model parameters for reducing systematic errors is indeed beneficial for MOS performance. We find that ConvMOS models can reduce errors considerably and perform significantly better than three commonly used MOS approaches and plain ResNet and U-Net models in most cases. Our results show that non-linear MOS models underestimate the number of extreme precipitation events, which we alleviate by training models specialized towards extreme precipitation events with the imbalanced regression method DenseLoss. While we consider climate MOS, we argue that aspects of ConvMOS may also be beneficial in other domains with geospatial data, such as air pollution modeling or weather forecasts.
Environmental issues have emerged especially since humans burned fossil fuels, which led to air pollution and climate change that harm the environment. These issues’ substantial consequences evoked strong efforts towards assessing the state of our environment.
Various environmental machine learning (ML) tasks aid these efforts. These tasks concern environmental data but are common ML tasks otherwise, i.e., datasets are split (training, validatition, test), hyperparameters are optimized on validation data, and test set metrics measure a model’s generalizability. This work focuses on the following environmental ML tasks: Regarding air pollution, land use regression (LUR) estimates air pollutant concentrations at locations where no measurements are available based on measured locations and each location’s land use (e.g., industry, streets). For LUR, this work uses data from London (modeled) and Zurich (measured). Concerning climate change, a common ML task is model output statistics (MOS), where a climate model’s output for a study area is altered to better fit Earth observations and provide more accurate climate data. This work uses the regional climate model (RCM) REMO and Earth observations from the E-OBS dataset for MOS. Another task regarding climate is grain size distribution interpolation where soil properties at locations without measurements are estimated based on the few measured locations. This can provide climate models with soil information, that is important for hydrology. For this task, data from Lower Franconia is used.
Such environmental ML tasks commonly have a number of properties: (i) geospatiality, i.e., their data refers to locations relative to the Earth’s surface. (ii) The environmental variables to estimate or predict are usually continuous. (iii) Data can be imbalanced due to relatively rare extreme events (e.g., extreme precipitation). (iv) Multiple related potential target variables can be available per location, since measurement devices often contain different sensors. (v) Labels are spatially often only sparsely available since conducting measurements at all locations of interest is usually infeasible. These properties present challenges but also opportunities when designing ML methods for such tasks.
In the past, environmental ML tasks have been tackled with conventional ML methods, such as linear regression or random forests (RFs). However, the field of ML has made tremendous leaps beyond these classic models through deep learning (DL). In DL, models use multiple layers of neurons, producing increasingly higher-level feature representations with growing layer depth. DL has made previously infeasible ML tasks feasible, improved the performance for many tasks in comparison to existing ML models significantly, and eliminated the need for manual feature engineering in some domains due to its ability to learn features from raw data. To harness these advantages for environmental domains it is promising to develop novel DL methods for environmental ML tasks.
This thesis presents methods for dealing with special challenges and exploiting opportunities inherent to environmental ML tasks in conjunction with DL. To this end, the proposed methods explore the following techniques: (i) Convolutions as in convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to exploit reoccurring spatial patterns in geospatial data. (ii) Posing the problems as regression tasks to estimate the continuous variables. (iii) Density-based weighting to improve estimation performance for rare and extreme events. (iv) Multi-task learning to make use of multiple related target variables. (v) Semi–supervised learning to cope with label sparsity. Using these techniques, this thesis considers four research questions: (i) Can air pollution be estimated without manual feature engineering? This is answered positively by the introduction of the CNN-based LUR model MapLUR as well as the off-the-shelf LUR solution OpenLUR. (ii) Can colocated pollution data improve spatial air pollution models? Multi-task learning for LUR is developed for this, showing potential for improvements with colocated data. (iii) Can DL models improve the quality of climate model outputs? The proposed DL climate MOS architecture ConvMOS demonstrates this. Additionally, semi-supervised training of multilayer perceptrons (MLPs) for grain size distribution interpolation is presented, which can provide improved input data. (iv) Can DL models be taught to better estimate climate extremes? To this end, density-based weighting for imbalanced regression (DenseLoss) is proposed and applied to the DL architecture ConvMOS, improving climate extremes estimation. These methods show how especially DL techniques can be developed for environmental ML tasks with their special characteristics in mind. This allows for better models than previously possible with conventional ML, leading to more accurate assessment and better understanding of the state of our environment.
In recent history, normalized digital surface models (nDSMs) have been constantly gaining importance as a means to solve large-scale geographic problems. High-resolution surface models are precious, as they can provide detailed information for a specific area. However, measurements with a high resolution are time consuming and costly. Only a few approaches exist to create high-resolution nDSMs for extensive areas. This article explores approaches to extract high-resolution nDSMs from low-resolution Sentinel-2 data, allowing us to derive large-scale models. We thereby utilize the advantages of Sentinel 2 being open access, having global coverage, and providing steady updates through a high repetition rate. Several deep learning models are trained to overcome the gap in producing high-resolution surface maps from low-resolution input data. With U-Net as a base architecture, we extend the capabilities of our model by integrating tailored multiscale encoders with differently sized kernels in the convolution as well as conformed self-attention inside the skip connection gates. Using pixelwise regression, our U-Net base models can achieve a mean height error of approximately 2 m. Moreover, through our enhancements to the model architecture, we reduce the model error by more than 7%.
The landscape of today’s programming languages is manifold. With the diversity of applications, the difficulty of adequately addressing and specifying the used programs increases. This often leads to newly designed and implemented domain-specific languages. They enable domain experts to express knowledge in their preferred format, resulting in more readable and concise programs. Due to its flexible and declarative syntax without reserved keywords, the logic programming language Prolog is particularly suitable for defining and embedding domain-specific languages.
This thesis addresses the questions and challenges that arise when integrating domain-specific languages into Prolog. We compare the two approaches to define them either externally or internally, and provide assisting tools for each. The grammar of a formal language is usually defined in the extended Backus–Naur form. In this work, we handle this formalism as a domain-specific language in Prolog, and define term expansions that allow to translate it into equivalent definite clause grammars. We present the package library(dcg4pt) for SWI-Prolog, which enriches them by an additional argument to automatically process the term’s corresponding parse tree. To simplify the work with definite clause grammars, we visualise their application by a web-based tracer.
The external integration of domain-specific languages requires the programmer to keep the grammar, parser, and interpreter in sync. In many cases, domain-specific languages can instead be directly embedded into Prolog by providing appropriate operator definitions. In addition, we propose syntactic extensions for Prolog to expand its expressiveness, for instance to state logic formulas with their connectives verbatim. This allows to use all tools that were originally written for Prolog, for instance code linters and editors with syntax highlighting. We present the package library(plammar), a standard-compliant parser for Prolog source code, written in Prolog. It is able to automatically infer from example sentences the required operator definitions with their classes and precedences as well as the required Prolog language extensions. As a result, we can automatically answer the question: Is it possible to model these example sentences as valid Prolog clauses, and how?
We discuss and apply the two approaches to internal and external integrations for several domain-specific languages, namely the extended Backus–Naur form, GraphQL, XPath, and a controlled natural language to represent expert rules in if-then form. The created toolchain with library(dcg4pt) and library(plammar) yields new application opportunities for static Prolog source code analysis, which we also present.
Packets sent over a network can either get lost or reach their destination. Protocols like TCP try to solve this problem by resending the lost packets. However, retransmissions consume a lot of time and are cumbersome for the transmission of critical data. Multipath solutions are quite common to address this reliability issue and are available on almost every layer of the ISO/OSI model. We propose a solution based on a P4 network to duplicate packets in order to send them to their destination via multiple routes. The last network hop ensures that only a single copy of the traffic is further forwarded to its destination by adopting a concept similar to Bloom filters. Besides, if fast delivery is requested we provide a P4 prototype, which randomly forwards the packets over different transmission paths. For reproducibility, we implement our approach in a container-based network emulation system called Kathará.
Summary
Blood oxygen saturation is an important clinical parameter, especially in postoperative hospitalized patients, monitored in clinical practice by arterial blood gas (ABG) and/or pulse oximetry that both are not suitable for a long-term continuous monitoring of patients during the entire hospital stay, or beyond. Technological advances developed recently for consumer-grade fitness trackers could—at least in theory—help to fill in this gap, but benchmarks on the applicability and accuracy of these technologies in hospitalized patients are currently lacking. We therefore conducted at the postanaesthesia care unit under controlled settings a prospective clinical trial with 201 patients, comparing in total >1,000 oxygen blood saturation measurements by fitness trackers of three brands with the ABG gold standard and with pulse oximetry. Our results suggest that, despite of an overall still tolerable measuring accuracy, comparatively high dropout rates severely limit the possibilities of employing fitness trackers, particularly during the immediate postoperative period of hospitalized patients.
Highlights
•The accuracy of O2 measurements by fitness trackers is tolerable (RMSE ≲4%)
•Correlation with arterial blood gas measurements is fair to moderate (PCC = [0.46; 0.64])
•Dropout rates of fitness trackers during O2 monitoring are high (∼1/3 values missing)
•Fitness trackers cannot be recommended for O2 measuring during critical monitoring
Service orchestration requires enormous attention and is a struggle nowadays. Of course, virtualization provides a base level of abstraction for services to be deployable on a lot of infrastructures. With container virtualization, the trend to migrate applications to a micro-services level in order to be executable in Fog and Edge Computing environments increases manageability and maintenance efforts rapidly. Similarly, network virtualization adds effort to calibrate IP flows for Software-Defined Networks and eventually route it by means of Network Function Virtualization. Nevertheless, there are concepts like MAPE-K to support micro-service distribution in next-generation cloud and network environments. We want to explore, how a service distribution can be improved by adopting machine learning concepts for infrastructure or service changes. Therefore, we show how federated machine learning is integrated into a cloud-to-fog-continuum without burdening single nodes.
The ongoing digitization of historical photographs in archives allows investigating the quality, quantity, and distribution of these images. However, the exact interior and exterior camera orientations of these photographs are usually lost during the digitization process. The proposed method uses content-based image retrieval (CBIR) to filter exterior images of single buildings in combination with metadata information. The retrieved photographs are automatically processed in an adapted structure-from-motion (SfM) pipeline to determine the camera parameters. In an interactive georeferencing process, the calculated camera positions are transferred into a global coordinate system. As all image and camera data are efficiently stored in the proposed 4D database, they can be conveniently accessed afterward to georeference newly digitized images by using photogrammetric triangulation and spatial resection. The results show that the CBIR and the subsequent SfM are robust methods for various kinds of buildings and different quantity of data. The absolute accuracy of the camera positions after georeferencing lies in the range of a few meters likely introduced by the inaccurate LOD2 models used for transformation. The proposed photogrammetric method, the database structure, and the 4D visualization interface enable adding historical urban photographs and 3D models from other locations.
How to Model and Predict the Scalability of a Hardware-In-The-Loop Test Bench for Data Re-Injection?
(2023)
This paper describes a novel application of an empirical network calculus model based on measurements of a hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) test system. The aim is to predict the performance of a HIL test bench for open-loop re-injection in the context of scalability. HIL test benches are distributed computer systems including software, hardware, and networking devices. They are used to validate complex technical systems, but have not yet been system under study themselves. Our approach is to use measurements from the HIL system to create an empirical model for arrival and service curves. We predict the performance and design the previously unknown parameters of the HIL simulator with network calculus (NC), namely the buffer sizes and the minimum needed pre-buffer time for the playback buffer. We furthermore show, that it is possible to estimate the CPU load from arrival and service-curves based on the utilization theorem, and hence estimate the scalability of the HIL system in the context of the number of sensor streams.
Improved wall temperature prediction for the LUMEN rocket combustion chamber with neural networks
(2023)
Accurate calculations of the heat transfer and the resulting maximum wall temperature are essential for the optimal design of reliable and efficient regenerative cooling systems. However, predicting the heat transfer of supercritical methane flowing in cooling channels of a regeneratively cooled rocket combustor presents a significant challenge. High-fidelity CFD calculations provide sufficient accuracy but are computationally too expensive to be used within elaborate design optimization routines. In a previous work it has been shown that a surrogate model based on neural networks is able to predict the maximum wall temperature along straight cooling channels with convincing precision when trained with data from CFD simulations for simple cooling channel segments. In this paper, the methodology is extended to cooling channels with curvature. The predictions of the extended model are tested against CFD simulations with different boundary conditions for the representative LUMEN combustor contour with varying geometries and heat flux densities. The high accuracy of the extended model’s predictions, suggests that it will be a valuable tool for designing and analyzing regenerative cooling systems with greater efficiency and effectiveness.
The introduction of new types of frequency spectrum in 6G technology facilitates the convergence of conventional mobile communications and radar functions. Thus, the mobile network itself becomes a versatile sensor system. This enables mobile network operators to offer a sensing service in addition to conventional data and telephony services. The potential benefits are expected to accrue to various stakeholders, including individuals, the environment, and society in general. The paper discusses technological development, possible integration, and use cases, as well as future development areas.
An important but very time consuming part of the research process is literature review. An already large and nevertheless growing ground set of publications as well as a steadily increasing publication rate continue to worsen the situation. Consequently, automating this task as far as possible is desirable. Experimental results of systems are key-insights of high importance during literature review and usually represented in form of tables. Our pipeline KIETA exploits these tables to contribute to the endeavor of automation by extracting them and their contained knowledge from scientific publications. The pipeline is split into multiple steps to guarantee modularity as well as analyzability, and agnosticim regarding the specific scientific domain up until the knowledge extraction step, which is based upon an ontology. Additionally, a dataset of corresponding articles has been manually annotated with information regarding table and knowledge extraction. Experiments show promising results that signal the possibility of an automated system, while also indicating limits of extracting knowledge from tables without any context.
Lidar pose tracking of a tumbling spacecraft using the smoothed normal distribution transform
(2023)
Lidar sensors enable precise pose estimation of an uncooperative spacecraft in close range. In this context, the iterative closest point (ICP) is usually employed as a tracking method. However, when the size of the point clouds increases, the required computation time of the ICP can become a limiting factor. The normal distribution transform (NDT) is an alternative algorithm which can be more efficient than the ICP, but suffers from robustness issues. In addition, lidar sensors are also subject to motion blur effects when tracking a spacecraft tumbling with a high angular velocity, leading to a loss of precision in the relative pose estimation. This work introduces a smoothed formulation of the NDT to improve the algorithm’s robustness while maintaining its efficiency. Additionally, two strategies are investigated to mitigate the effects of motion blur. The first consists in un-distorting the point cloud, while the second is a continuous-time formulation of the NDT. Hardware-in-the-loop tests at the European Proximity Operations Simulator demonstrate the capability of the proposed methods to precisely track an uncooperative spacecraft under realistic conditions within tens of milliseconds, even when the spacecraft tumbles with a significant angular rate.