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This thesis deals with value sets, i.e. the question of what the set of values that a set of functions can take in a prescribed point looks like.
Interest in such problems has been around for a long time; a first answer was given by the Schwarz lemma in the 19th century, and soon various refinements were proven.
Since the 1930s, a powerful method for solving such problems has been developed, namely Loewner theory. We make extensive use of this tool, as well as variation methods which go back to Schiffer to examine the following questions:
We describe the set of values a schlicht normalised function on the unit disc with prescribed derivative at the origin can take by applying Pontryagin's maximum principle to the radial Loewner equation.
We then determine the value ranges for the set of holomorphic, normalised, and bounded functions that have only real coefficients in their power series expansion around 0, and for the smaller set of functions which are additionally typically real.
Furthermore, we describe the values a univalent self-mapping of the upper half-plane with hydrodynamical normalization which is symmetric with respect to the imaginary axis can take.
Lastly, we give a necessary condition for a schlicht bounded function f on the unit disc to have extremal derivative in a point z where its value f(z) is fixed by using variation methods.
The thesis focuses on the valuation of firms in a system context where cross-holdings of the firms in liabilities and equities are allowed and, therefore, systemic risk can be modeled on a structural level. A main property of such models is that for the determination of the firm values a pricing equilibrium has to be found. While there exists a small but growing amount of research on the existence and the uniqueness of such price equilibria, the literature is still somewhat inconsistent. An example for this fact is that different authors define the underlying financial system on differing ways. Moreover, only few articles pay intense attention on procedures to find the pricing equilibria. In the existing publications, the provided algorithms mainly reflect the individual authors' particular approach to the problem. Additionally, all existing methods do have the drawback of potentially infinite runtime.
For these reasons, the objects of this thesis are as follows. First, a definition of a financial system is introduced in its most general form in Chapter 2. It is shown that under a fairly mild regularity condition the financial system has a unique existing payment equilibrium. In Chapter 3, some extensions and differing definitions of financial systems that exist in literature are presented and it is shown how these models can be embedded into the general model from the proceeding chapter. Second, an overview of existing valuation algorithms to find the equilibrium is given in Chapter 4, where the existing methods are generalized and their corresponding mathematical properties are highlighted. Third, a complete new class of valuation algorithms is developed in Chapter 4 that includes the additional information whether a firm is in default or solvent under a current payment vector. This results in procedures that are able find the solution of the system in a finite number of iteration steps. In Chapter 5, the developed concepts of Chapter 4 are applied to more general financial systems where more than one seniority level of debt is present. Chapter 6 develops optimal starting vectors for non-finite algorithms and Chapter 7 compares the existing and the new developed algorithms concerning their efficiency in an extensive simulation study covering a wide range of possible settings for financial systems.
Extreme value theory aims at modeling extreme but rare events from a probabilistic point of view. It is well-known that so-called generalized Pareto distributions, which are briefly reviewed in Chapter 1, are the only reasonable probability distributions suited for modeling observations above a high threshold, such as waves exceeding the height of a certain dike, earthquakes having at least a certain intensity, and, after applying a simple transformation, share prices falling below some low threshold. However, there are cases for which a generalized Pareto model might fail. Therefore, Chapter 2 derives certain neighborhoods of a generalized Pareto distribution and provides several statistical tests for these neighborhoods, where the cases of observing finite dimensional data and of observing continuous functions on [0,1] are considered. By using a notation based on so-called D-norms it is shown that these tests consistently link both frameworks, the finite dimensional and the functional one. Since the derivation of the asymptotic distributions of the test statistics requires certain technical restrictions, Chapter 3 analyzes these assumptions in more detail. It provides in particular some examples of distributions that satisfy the null hypothesis and of those that do not. Since continuous copula processes are crucial tools for the functional versions of the proposed tests, it is also discussed whether those copula processes actually exist for a given set of data. Moreover, some practical advice is given how to choose the free parameters incorporated in the test statistics. Finally, a simulation study in Chapter 4 compares the in total three different test statistics with another test found in the literature that has a similar null hypothesis. This thesis ends with a short summary of the results and an outlook to further open questions.
The present thesis considers the development and analysis of arbitrary Lagrangian-Eulerian
discontinuous Galerkin (ALE-DG) methods with time-dependent approximation spaces for
conservation laws and the Hamilton-Jacobi equations.
Fundamentals about conservation laws, Hamilton-Jacobi equations and discontinuous Galerkin
methods are presented. In particular, issues in the development of discontinuous Galerkin (DG)
methods for the Hamilton-Jacobi equations are discussed.
The development of the ALE-DG methods based on the assumption that the distribution of
the grid points is explicitly given for an upcoming time level. This assumption allows to construct a time-dependent local affine linear mapping to a reference cell and a time-dependent
finite element test function space. In addition, a version of Reynolds’ transport theorem can be
proven.
For the fully-discrete ALE-DG method for nonlinear scalar conservation laws the geometric
conservation law and a local maximum principle are proven. Furthermore, conditions for slope
limiters are stated. These conditions ensure the total variation stability of the method. In addition, entropy stability is discussed. For the corresponding semi-discrete ALE-DG method,
error estimates are proven. If a piecewise $\mathcal{P}^{k}$ polynomial approximation space is used on the reference cell, the sub-optimal $\left(k+\frac{1}{2}\right)$ convergence for monotone fuxes and the optimal $(k+1)$ convergence for an upwind flux are proven in the $\mathrm{L}^{2}$-norm. The capability of the method is shown by numerical examples for nonlinear conservation laws.
Likewise, for the semi-discrete ALE-DG method for nonlinear Hamilton-Jacobi equations, error
estimates are proven. In the one dimensional case the optimal $\left(k+1\right)$ convergence and in the two dimensional case the sub-optimal $\left(k+\frac{1}{2}\right)$ convergence are proven in the $\mathrm{L}^{2}$-norm, if a piecewise $\mathcal{P}^{k}$ polynomial approximation space is used on the reference cell. For the fullydiscrete method, the geometric conservation is proven and for the piecewise constant forward Euler step the convergence of the method to the unique physical relevant solution is discussed.
Mathematical modelling, simulation, and optimisation are core methodologies for future
developments in engineering, natural, and life sciences. This work aims at applying these
mathematical techniques in the field of biological processes with a focus on the wine
fermentation process that is chosen as a representative model.
In the literature, basic models for the wine fermentation process consist of a system of
ordinary differential equations. They model the evolution of the yeast population number
as well as the concentrations of assimilable nitrogen, sugar, and ethanol. In this thesis,
the concentration of molecular oxygen is also included in order to model the change of
the metabolism of the yeast from an aerobic to an anaerobic one. Further, a more sophisticated
toxicity function is used. It provides simulation results that match experimental
measurements better than a linear toxicity model. Moreover, a further equation for the
temperature plays a crucial role in this work as it opens a way to influence the fermentation
process in a desired way by changing the temperature of the system via a cooling
mechanism. From the view of the wine industry, it is necessary to cope with large scale
fermentation vessels, where spatial inhomogeneities of concentrations and temperature
are likely to arise. Therefore, a system of reaction-diffusion equations is formulated in
this work, which acts as an approximation for a model including computationally very
expensive fluid dynamics.
In addition to the modelling issues, an optimal control problem for the proposed
reaction-diffusion fermentation model with temperature boundary control is presented
and analysed. Variational methods are used to prove the existence of unique weak solutions
to this non-linear problem. In this framework, it is possible to exploit the Hilbert
space structure of state and control spaces to prove the existence of optimal controls.
Additionally, first-order necessary optimality conditions are presented. They characterise
controls that minimise an objective functional with the purpose to minimise the final
sugar concentration. A numerical experiment shows that the final concentration of sugar
can be reduced by a suitably chosen temperature control.
The second part of this thesis deals with the identification of an unknown function
that participates in a dynamical model. For models with ordinary differential equations,
where parts of the dynamic cannot be deduced due to the complexity of the underlying
phenomena, a minimisation problem is formulated. By minimising the deviations of simulation
results and measurements the best possible function from a trial function space
is found. The analysis of this function identification problem covers the proof of the
differentiability of the function–to–state operator, the existence of minimisers, and the
sensitivity analysis by means of the data–to–function mapping. Moreover, the presented
function identification method is extended to stochastic differential equations. Here, the
objective functional consists of the difference of measured values and the statistical expected
value of the stochastic process solving the stochastic differential equation. Using a
Fokker-Planck equation that governs the probability density function of the process, the
probabilistic problem of simulating a stochastic process is cast to a deterministic partial
differential equation. Proofs of unique solvability of the forward equation, the existence of
minimisers, and first-order necessary optimality conditions are presented. The application
of the function identification framework to the wine fermentation model aims at finding
the shape of the toxicity function and is carried out for the deterministic as well as the
stochastic case.
Extreme value theory is concerned with the stochastic modeling of rare and extreme events. While fundamental theories of classical stochastics - such as the laws of small numbers or the central limit theorem - are used to investigate the asymptotic behavior of the sum of random variables, extreme value theory focuses on the maximum or minimum of a set of observations. The limit distribution of the normalized sample maximum among a sequence of independent and identically distributed random variables can be characterized by means of so-called max-stable distributions.
This dissertation concerns with different aspects of the theory of max-stable random vectors and stochastic processes. In particular, the concept of 'differentiability in distribution' of a max-stable process is introduced and investigated. Moreover, 'generalized max-linear models' are introduced in order to interpolate a known max-stable random vector by a max-stable process. Further, the connection between extreme value theory and multivariate records is established. In particular, so-called 'complete' and 'simple' records are introduced as well as it is examined their asymptotic behavior.
Proximal methods are iterative optimization techniques for functionals, J = J1 + J2, consisting of a differentiable part J2 and a possibly nondifferentiable part J1. In this thesis proximal methods for finite- and infinite-dimensional optimization problems are discussed. In finite dimensions, they solve l1- and TV-minimization problems that are effectively applied to image reconstruction in magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Convergence of these methods in this setting is proved. The proposed proximal scheme is compared to a split proximal scheme and it achieves a better signal-to-noise ratio. In addition, an application that uses parallel imaging is presented.
In infinite dimensions, these methods are discussed to solve nonsmooth linear and bilinear elliptic and parabolic optimal control problems. In particular, fast convergence of these methods is proved. Furthermore, for benchmarking purposes, truncated proximal schemes are compared to an inexact semismooth Newton method. Results of numerical experiments are presented to demonstrate the computational effectiveness of our proximal schemes that need less computation time than the semismooth Newton method in most cases. Results of numerical experiments are presented that successfully validate the theoretical estimates.
Based on the work of Eisenberg and Noe [2001], Suzuki [2002], Elsinger [2009] and Fischer [2014], we consider a generalization of Merton's asset valuation approach where n firms are linked by cross-ownership of equities and liabilities. Each firm is assumed to have a single outstanding liability, whereas its assets consist of one system-exogenous asset, as well as system-endogenous assets comprising some fraction of other firms' equity and liability, respectively. Following Fischer [2014], one can obtain no-arbitrage prices of equity and the recovery claims of liabilities as solutions of a fixed point problem, and hence obtain no-arbitrage prices of the `firm value' of each firm, which is the value of the firm's liability plus the firm's equity.
In a first step, we consider the two-firm case where explicit formulae for the no-arbitrage prices of the firm values are available (cf. Suzuki [2002]). Since firm values are derivatives of exogenous asset values, the distribution of firm values at maturity can be determined from the distribution of exogenous asset values. The Merton model and most of its known extensions do not account for the cross-ownership structure of the assets owned by the firm. Therefore the assumption of lognormally distributed exogenous assets leads to lognormally distributed firm values in such models, as the values of the liability and the equity add up to the exogenous asset's value (which has lognormal distribution by assumption). Our work therefore starts from lognormally distributed exogenous assets and reveals how cross-ownership, when correctly accounted for in the valuation process, affects the distribution of the firm value, which is not lognormal anymore. In a simulation study we examine the impact of several parameters (amount of cross-ownership of debt and equity, ratio of liabilities to expected exogenous assets value) on the differences between the distribution of firm values obtained from our model and correspondingly matched lognormal distributions. It becomes clear that the assumption of lognormally distributed firm values may lead to both over- and underestimation of the “true" firm values (within the cross-ownership model) and consequently of bankruptcy risk, too.
In a second step, the bankruptcy risk of one firm within the system is analyzed in more detail in a further simulation study, revealing that the correct incorporation of cross-ownership in the valuation procedure is the more important, the tighter the cross-ownership structure between the two firms. Furthermore, depending on the considered type of cross-ownership (debt or equity), the assumption of lognormally distributed firm values is likely to result in an over- resp. underestimation of the actual probability of default. In a similar vein, we consider the Value-at-Risk (VaR) of a firm in the system, which we calculate as the negative α-quantile of the firm value at maturity minus the firm's risk neutral price in t=0, i.e. we consider the (1-α)100%-VaR of the change in firm value. If we let the cross-ownership fractions (i.e. the fraction that one firm holds of another firm's debt or equity) converge to 1 (which is the supremum of the possible values that cross-ownership fractions can take), we can prove that in a system of two firms, the lognormal model will over- resp. underestimate both univariate and bivariate probabilities of default under cross-ownership of debt only resp. cross-ownership of equity only. Furthermore, we provide a formula that allows us to check for an arbitrary scenario of cross-ownership and any non-negative distribution of exogenous assets whether the approximating lognormal model will over- or underestimate the related probability of default of a firm. In particular, any given non-negative distribution of exogenous asset values (non-degenerate in a certain sense) can be transformed into a new, “extreme" distribution of exogenous assets yielding such a low or high actual probability of default that the approximating lognormal model will over- and underestimate this risk, respectively.
After this analysis of the univariate distribution of firm values under cross-ownership in a system of two firms with bivariately lognormally distributed exogenous asset values, we consider the copula of these firm values as a distribution-free measure of the dependency between these firm values. Without cross-ownership, this copula would be the Gaussian copula. Under cross-ownership, we especially consider the behaviour of the copula of firm values in the lower left and upper right corner of the unit square, and depending on the type of cross-ownership and the considered corner, we either obtain error bounds as to how good the copula of firm values under cross-ownership can be approximated with the Gaussian copula, or we see that the copula of firm values can be written as the copula of two linear combinations of exogenous asset values (note that these linear combinations are not lognormally distributed). These insights serve as a basis for our analysis of the tail dependence coefficient of firm values under cross-ownership. Under cross-ownership of debt only, firm values remain upper tail independent, whereas they become perfectly lower tail dependent if the correlation between exogenous asset values exceeds a certain positive threshold, which does not depend on the exact level of cross-ownership. Under cross-ownership of equity only, the situation is reverse in that firm values always remain lower tail independent, but upper tail independence is preserved if and only if the right tail behaviour of both firms’ values is determined by the right tail behaviour of the firms’ own exogenous asset value instead of the respective other firm’s exogenous asset value.
Next, we return to systems of n≥2 firms and analyze sensitivities of no-arbitrage prices of equity and the recovery claims of liabilities with respect to the model parameters. In the literature, such sensitivities are provided with respect to exogenous asset values by Gouriéroux et al. [2012], and we extend the existing results by considering how these no-arbitrage prices depend on the cross-ownership fractions and the level of liabilities. For the former, we can show that all prices are non-decreasing in any cross-ownership fraction in the model, and by use of a version of the Implicit Function Theorem we can also determine exact derivatives. For the latter, we show that the recovery value of debt and the equity value of a firm are non-decreasing and non-increasing in the firm's nominal level of liabilities, respectively, but the firm value is in general not monotone in the firm's level of liabilities. Furthermore, no-arbitrage prices of equity and the recovery claims of liabilities of a firm are in general non-monotone in the nominal level of liabilities of other firms in the system. If we confine ourselves to one type of cross-ownership (i.e. debt or equity), we can derive more precise relationships. All the results can be transferred to risk-neutral prices before maturity.
Finally, following Gouriéroux et al. [2012] and as a kind of extension to the above sensitivity results, we consider how immediate changes in exogenous asset values of one or more firms at maturity affect the financial health of a system of n initially solvent firms. We start with some theoretical considerations on what we call the contagion effect, namely the change in the endogenous asset value of a firm caused by shocks on the exogenous assets of firms within the system. For the two-firm case, an explicit formula is available, making clear that in general (and in particular under cross-ownership of equity only), the effect of contagion can be positive as well as negative, i.e. it can both, mitigate and exacerbate the change in the exogenous asset value of a firm. On the other hand, we cannot generally say that a tighter cross-ownership structure leads to bigger absolute contagion effects. Under cross-ownership of debt only, firms cannot profit from positive shocks beyond the direct effect on exogenous assets, as the contagion effect is always non-positive. Next, we are concerned with spillover effects of negative shocks on a subset of firms to other firms in the system (experiencing non-negative shocks themselves), driving them into default due to large losses in their endogenous asset values. Extending the results of Glasserman and Young [2015], we provide a necessary condition for the shock to cause such an event. This also yields an upper bound for the probability of such an event. We further investigate how the stability of a system of firms exposed to multiple shocks depends on the model parameters in a simulation study. In doing so, we consider three network types (incomplete, core-periphery and ring network) with simultaneous shocks on some of the firms and wiping out a certain percentage of their exogenous assets. Then we analyze for all three types of cross-ownership (debt only, equity only, both debt and equity) how the shock intensity, the shock size, and network parameters as the number of links in the network and the proportion of a firm's debt or equity held within the system of firms influences several output parameters, comprising the total number of defaults and the relative loss in the sum of firm values, among others. Comparing our results to the studies of Nier et al. [2007], Gai and Kapadia [2010] and Elliott et al. [2014], we can only partly confirm their results with respect to the number of defaults. We conclude our work with a theoretical comparison of the complete network (where each firm holds a part of any other firm) and the ring network with respect to the number of defaults caused by a shock on a single firm, as it is done by Allen and Gale [2000]. In line with the literature, we find that under cross-ownership of debt only, complete networks are “robust yet fragile" [Gai and Kapadia, 2010] in that moderate shocks can be completely withstood or drive the firm directly hit by the shock in default, but as soon as the shock exceeds a certain size, all firms are simultaneously in default. In contrast to that, firms default one by one in the ring network, with the first “contagious default" (i.e. a default of a firm not directly hit by the shock) already occurs for smaller shock sizes than under the complete network.
Dysfunction of dopaminergic neurotransmission has been implicated in HIV infection. We showed previously increased dopamine (DA) levels in CSF of therapy-naïve HIV patients and an inverse correlation between CSF DA and CD4 counts in the periphery, suggesting adverse effects of high levels of DA on HIV infection. In the current study including a total of 167 HIV-positive and negative donors from Germany and South Africa (SA), we investigated the mechanistic background for the increase of CSF DA in HIV individuals. Interestingly, we found that the DAT 10/10-repeat allele is present more frequently within HIV individuals than in uninfected subjects. Logistic regression analysis adjusted for gender and ethnicity showed an odds ratio for HIV infection in DAT 10/10 allele carriers of 3.93 (95 % CI 1.72–8.96; p = 0.001, Fishers exact test). 42.6 % HIV-infected patients harbored the DAT 10/10 allele compared to only 10.5 % uninfected DAT 10/10 carriers in SA (odds ratio 6.31), whereas 68.1 versus 40.9 %, respectively, in Germany (odds ratio 3.08). Subjects homozygous for the 10-repeat allele had higher amounts of CSF DA and reduced DAT mRNA expression but similar disease severity compared with those carrying other DAT genotypes. These intriguing and novel findings show the mutual interaction between DA and HIV, suggesting caution in the interpretation of CNS DA alterations in HIV infection solely as a secondary phenomenon to the virus and open the door for larger studies investigating consequences of the DAT functional polymorphism on HIV epidemiology and progression of disease.
Die Arbeit beschäftigt sich mit dem Einsatz von Origami im Schulunterricht. Genauer beschreibt sie eine Unterrichtssequenz zur Flachfaltbarkeit, einem Teilgebiet des mathematischen Papierfaltens, für den Mathematikunterricht in der Oberstufe an Gymnasien und höheren Schulen. Es werden konkrete Handlungsanweisungen sowie Alternativen ausgeführt und begründet und mit vielen Grafiken erläutert. Ferner werden Ziele dieser Unterrichtssequenz gemäß KMK-Bildungsstandards dargelegt. Anschließend wird ein mathematischer Blick auf die Beschäftigung mit der Flachfaltbarkeit sowie eine Einordnung in die aktuelle Forschungslage gegeben.